ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

These east wobbles make it more likely that Hermine will return to the ocean rather than run the beaches?

yeppers

[RL3AO]

P-Surge and the inundation graphics are not run for special advisories. However, the warning graphic is controlled by forecasters. The warning has been extended southward due to the expanded windfield which will show up in the next run of the inundation graphic.

[Aric Dunn]

the center just became very clear on newest sat image.convection trying to develop around it. not a true eye though.

[Bizzles]

http://www.visitpanamacitybeach.com/webcam/

Panama City Beach Web Cam

[alienstorm]

Clear eye in radar now (courtesy of MyRadar app)

[Nimbus]

I was surprised they posted Tropical storm warnings south of Edgemont key.
Pinellas county has had some spotty power outages from the squalls bringing down dead wood but otherwise really no wind issues.

If there is a storm surge problem in Tampa bay it should be happening now close to high tide at 2:41 PM

[jdjaguar]

77kt fl

if my math is correct that equates to 70.6 mph surface?

[Stormnut]

Surprised no tornado watches for those outer bands

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 011755
AF307 1309A HERMINE HDOB 29 20160901
174600 2639N 08440W 8422 01560 0080 +169 +169 220071 074 050 012 00
174630 2639N 08438W 8427 01550 0088 +163 +163 214071 074 054 017 03
174700 2638N 08436W 8425 01546 0087 +162 +162 211068 071 053 017 00
174730 2638N 08434W 8433 01541 0089 +161 +161 209070 071 053 023 00
174800 2638N 08432W 8422 01554 0087 +165 +165 208071 072 049 021 03
174830 2637N 08431W 8432 01543 0084 +160 //// 207071 072 049 007 01
174900 2637N 08429W 8431 01547 0077 +164 +162 208069 072 049 006 00
174930 2636N 08427W 8422 01557 0079 +163 //// 211068 069 050 006 01
175000 2636N 08425W 8435 01544 0073 +170 +160 214068 070 049 006 00
175030 2635N 08423W 8432 01550 0079 +171 +168 212067 071 048 005 00
175100 2635N 08421W 8432 01551 0082 +169 //// 208068 071 045 006 01
175130 2635N 08419W 8429 01555 0082 +169 +169 205068 070 050 009 00
175200 2634N 08418W 8431 01554 0093 +163 +163 201070 071 048 011 00
175230 2634N 08416W 8418 01566 0091 +172 +172 202069 073 048 015 00
175300 2633N 08414W 8428 01556 0095 +164 //// 197068 071 050 015 01
175330 2633N 08414W 8428 01556 0093 +160 +160 198071 073 050 014 00
175400 2633N 08411W 8431 01554 0092 +158 +158 196069 071 047 010 00
175430 2632N 08409W 8426 01561 0090 +162 +162 198068 070 044 009 03
175500 2632N 08407W 8431 01556 0092 +164 //// 199065 066 045 008 01
175530 2632N 08406W 8432 01557 0086 +168 +165 199064 065 043 005 00
$$
;

[SEASON_CANCELED]

I was surprised they posted Tropical storm warnings south of Edgemont key.
Pinellas county has had some spotty power outages from the squalls bringing down dead wood but otherwise really no wind issues.

If there is a storm surge problem in Tampa bay it should be happening now close to high tide at 2:41 PM

Worse yet to come or is this it?

[NJWxHurricane]

Cousin reporting as far west as Crawfordville area is getting heavy rain with gusty winds.

[JKingTampa]

I was surprised they posted Tropical storm warnings south of Edgemont key.
Pinellas county has had some spotty power outages from the squalls bringing down dead wood but otherwise really no wind issues.

If there is a storm surge problem in Tampa bay it should be happening now close to high tide at 2:41 PM

Worse yet to come or is this it?

Well considering they just issued the Warning and the strongest winds have been to the south and east of the storm I would say they would continue to pick up at least a little.

[tropicwatch]

How come recon didn't go far in the southwest quadrant and turned sharply to the east?

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 1:55pm EDT:

[psyclone]

There tends to be a strong bias toward syncing up coastal warnings with marine legs so taking the warning south to Englewood encompassed the central marine leg of the Ruskin CWA. you'll notice that Englewood is a frequently used breakpoint. that breakpoint was also used in Colin.

[ConvergenceZone]

How is this only a tropical storm? Are there eyes like this in Tropical Storms?

[caneman]

I was surprised they posted Tropical storm warnings south of Edgemont key.
Pinellas county has had some spotty power outages from the squalls bringing down dead wood but otherwise really no wind issues.

If there is a storm surge problem in Tampa bay it should be happening now close to high tide at 2:41 PM

Most of our wind alway occurs when the storm is,North of us.

[Florida1118]

I was surprised they posted Tropical storm warnings south of Edgemont key.
Pinellas county has had some spotty power outages from the squalls bringing down dead wood but otherwise really no wind issues.

If there is a storm surge problem in Tampa bay it should be happening now close to high tide at 2:41 PM

Most of our wind alway occurs when the storm is,North of us.

The NWS local zone forecasts reflect this. Strongest winds will be on Friday.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 011805
AF307 1309A HERMINE HDOB 30 20160901
175600 2631N 08404W 8427 01565 0086 +168 +168 199064 065 042 004 01
175630 2631N 08402W 8424 01567 0092 +173 +172 198062 065 041 006 00
175700 2630N 08400W 8431 01559 0086 +173 +166 200061 063 042 004 00
175730 2630N 08359W 8430 01565 0089 +172 +154 201059 060 043 004 00
175800 2630N 08357W 8430 01565 0090 +176 +143 201060 061 043 003 00
175830 2629N 08355W 8427 01572 0091 +176 +150 198060 061 041 002 03
175900 2631N 08354W 8433 01568 0090 +177 +152 195059 060 /// /// 03
175930 2632N 08354W 8429 01570 0090 +177 +144 196057 058 /// /// 03
180000 2632N 08356W 8437 01557 0088 +176 +137 197057 057 040 002 03
180030 2633N 08358W 8428 01563 0086 +172 +153 194057 057 042 007 00
180100 2635N 08359W 8430 01562 0085 +171 +163 196059 061 043 007 00
180130 2636N 08401W 8430 01556 0095 +170 +170 194058 061 040 007 00
180200 2637N 08402W 8430 01560 0094 +168 +168 195063 064 040 008 00
180230 2639N 08404W 8430 01558 0087 +166 +164 194064 065 044 005 00
180300 2640N 08405W 8426 01561 0084 +167 +164 194066 067 043 007 00
180330 2641N 08407W 8430 01555 0089 +164 +164 194067 067 044 008 00
180400 2643N 08408W 8434 01548 0096 +153 +153 191069 069 045 018 00
180430 2644N 08410W 8429 01551 0092 +165 +165 194066 070 050 018 03
180500 2645N 08411W 8444 01538 0091 +170 +170 198071 072 049 016 00
180530 2647N 08412W 8424 01555 0089 +168 +168 194069 071 048 011 00
$$
;

[AxaltaRacing24]

How is this only a tropical storm? Are there eyes like this in Tropical Storms?

It is barely under hurricane strength. A 70 MPH TS should normally look more like a cat 1 than a typical TS.