ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[gatorcane]

large eye clearing out:

[tigerz3030]

What time tonight do you guys think Hermine will make landfall and where?

since its moving faster now.. midnight to 6am big bend area

Taylor county (Perry, FL) 2:30 am

[N2FSU]

I live in NE Tallahassee. Will give y'all updates as much as possible. Was a college Frehman here in '85 for Kate.
This isn't so much fun as a home owning adult.

[Hurricane Andrew]

What time tonight do you guys think Hermine will make landfall and where?

Alligator Point

1:00am

26 miles east of Apalachicola, 978mb, 85mph winds, 02:37am.

[NJWxHurricane]

large eye clearing out:

Link to this?

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 011826
AF307 1309A HERMINE HDOB 32 20160901
181600 2713N 08441W 8430 01523 0035 +180 +169 218054 054 051 001 00
181630 2714N 08443W 8429 01522 0033 +184 +167 215054 055 051 000 00
181700 2715N 08444W 8428 01523 0029 +185 +165 214057 057 051 000 00
181730 2716N 08445W 8433 01513 0026 +185 +164 214058 058 052 002 00
181800 2718N 08447W 8435 01504 0022 +185 +165 214056 057 052 001 00
181830 2719N 08448W 8430 01511 0022 +178 +167 215057 058 050 002 00
181900 2720N 08449W 8432 01504 0017 +179 +169 215058 059 051 000 00
181930 2721N 08450W 8430 01503 0015 +176 +171 215060 062 049 000 01
182000 2722N 08452W 8429 01502 0014 +172 +167 218063 064 049 000 00
182030 2723N 08453W 8426 01499 //// +169 //// 219065 067 049 002 01
182100 2725N 08454W 8430 01493 //// +172 //// 218066 067 049 004 01
182130 2726N 08455W 8428 01489 0005 +174 //// 218066 069 051 006 01
182200 2727N 08457W 8431 01486 0008 +176 +176 221068 070 051 009 00
182230 2728N 08458W 8424 01485 0006 +178 +178 217068 073 053 011 03
182300 2729N 08459W 8432 01480 0003 +180 +180 225070 073 057 034 00
182330 2730N 08500W 8432 01477 0004 +177 +177 222074 077 058 034 00
182400 2731N 08501W 8420 01483 0001 +171 +171 219072 076 060 031 03
182430 2733N 08503W 8441 01459 9994 +174 +174 226065 069 061 012 00
182500 2733N 08504W 8423 01472 9989 +176 +176 228063 065 064 013 03
182530 2734N 08505W 8433 01457 9982 +178 +178 231065 066 063 016 03
$$
;

77 kt FL, 64 kt SFMR. Hurricane Hermine?

[NDG]

More of N/NW movement the last couple of frames, IMO.

Yup. Prob gonna duck and dive until the coast. Lol

Why are you guys watching the wobbles, Hermine still on a NNE heading.

[RL3AO]

Three feet of inundation so far at Cedar Key.

[psyclone]

This is angling in on a perfect trajectory for max water rise in the big bend region.

[Aric Dunn]

looks like we have a closed but narrow eyewall now.. if convection builds deeper around it expect even more strengthening,

[NDG]

It should be declared a hurricane any minute now.

182330 2730N 08500W 8432 01477 0004 +177 +177 222074 077 058 034 00
182400 2731N 08501W 8420 01483 0001 +171 +171 219072 076 060 031 03
182430 2733N 08503W 8441 01459 9994 +174 +174 226065 069 061 012 00
182500 2733N 08504W 8423 01472 9989 +176 +176 228063 065 064 013 03
182530 2734N 08505W 8433 01457 9982 +178 +178 231065 066 063 016 03

[NotoSans]

SFMR winds seem to be catching up right now, with the highest unflagged winds of 61 kt. Hermine may be on the verge of becoming a hurricane.

[ronjon]

This is angling in on a perfect trajectory for max water rise in the big bend region.

Yeah most widespread coastal surge will be at high tide in early morning 2-4 am.

[Aric Dunn]

those 3 minobs should be enough for an upgrade..

182300 2729N 08459W 8432 01480 0003 +180 +180 225070 073 057 034 00
182330 2730N 08500W 8432 01477 0004 +177 +177 222074 077 058 034 00
182400 2731N 08501W 8420 01483 0001 +171 +171 219072 076 060 031 03

[canefan]

Wow does this beast look healthy compared to a few days ago!

[RL3AO]

SE "eyewall" now much stronger compared to last pass.

[jlauderdal]

we have decent surface heating today in SE florida with southerly gusts to 30...sending some healthy convection up to our friends in central florida..just about the whole state is on on todays action

[NotoSans]

77-knot flight-level winds equates to 62-knot surface winds using a 0.8 conversion factor, and that 64-knot SFMR winds were flagged. Not enough evidence for an upgrade to hurricane at the moment, but this will be upgraded within a few hours anyway.

[otterlyspicey]

I'm saying this is a 9pm-11pm EST landfall. She is seeing land and wanting it bad lol.

[Blow_Hard]

First decent rain shower here in Panama City. No wind but we aren't going to see any wind to speak of anyway.