ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[caneman]

Mad beach Web cam. We're on low tide now though: http://www.baynews9.com/weather/web-cams.html

[Steve]

I can't believe they didn't upgrade this yet being this close to official hurricane status. At least for the general publics sake so it may be taken more seriously for those that need the reassurance of what this is capapble of doing. For all the "it's only a tropical storm" folks, ya know...

This isn't a hurricane yet, look at storms like Gilbert and Allen, those were hurricanes this thing is clearly structurally a tropical storm.

Clearly you were not correct

He wasn't. But neither are those who equate "appearance" with a hurricane or the need to panic ignorant masses into action. Hurricanes are (should be) based on science, not fear mongering or appearance. I know you agree with me on that.

[Evil Jeremy]

Next recon mission just took off from Tampa.

[Aric Dunn]

its a football

[jdjaguar]

chargurl wrote:
Any chance she will go more northward into Georgia after getting on land?


Yes. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... l#contents


Thanks. My husband is driving to Omaha, Georgia, (near Ft. Benning) on Friday evening. Wondering what he can expect. We are in Gainesville, Georgia.

barring any last minute track shifts (likelihood low), he should expect minimal effects from the storm, as it will be southeast of him moving NE and into SC by that time

[otterlyspicey]

I take back my prediction of a 9pm-11pm landfall and change it to a 730pm-930pm. She really needs to slow down if she has ANY chance of being close to forecasted landfall time.

[Aric Dunn]

nice visual of the wind direction with height also how much stronger the winds are above the surface. once some heavy convection develops it would likely bring that to the ground..

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/re ... ERMINE.png

[terrapintransit]

FINALLY! It was just confirmed a hurricane by the NHC.

This isn't a hurricane yet, look at storms like Gilbert and Allen, those were hurricanes this thing is clearly structurally a tropical storm.

Clearly you were not correct

He wasn't. But neither are those who equate "appearance" with a hurricane or the need to panic ignorant masses into action. Hurricanes are (should be) based on science, not fear mongering or appearance. I know you agree with me on that.

[funster]

Not sure why but they always seem to come in a little ahead of schedule.

[NDG]

[Aric Dunn]

convection in the eyewall is beginning to deepen.. its making a run for it..

[JtSmarts]

Storms like this tend to continue the deepening process a little inland.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 011915
AF307 1309A HERMINE HDOB 37 20160901
190600 2804N 08607W 8429 01482 9989 +184 +150 347050 051 046 004 00
190630 2802N 08607W 8428 01486 9993 +178 +149 348049 050 046 005 00
190700 2800N 08607W 8425 01486 0002 +162 +160 345055 056 045 007 00
190730 2758N 08606W 8434 01477 0006 +159 +159 346055 056 045 009 00
190800 2756N 08606W 8429 01484 0008 +158 +158 342057 057 046 007 00
190830 2754N 08606W 8430 01487 0005 +160 +159 342056 057 047 005 00
190900 2752N 08605W 8427 01488 0005 +164 +161 340057 057 047 005 00
190930 2750N 08605W 8431 01489 0008 +159 //// 335054 055 047 003 01
191000 2748N 08605W 8429 01492 //// +160 //// 329054 056 045 003 01
191030 2746N 08604W 8429 01494 0007 +172 +151 326056 057 046 002 00
191100 2744N 08604W 8427 01497 0010 +175 +147 323055 057 043 004 00
191130 2742N 08604W 8434 01492 0022 +170 +170 318053 055 041 008 00
191200 2740N 08603W 8427 01500 0018 +167 +163 310052 055 041 007 00
191230 2738N 08603W 8433 01501 0018 +174 +156 302050 051 042 006 00
191300 2736N 08603W 8430 01504 0022 +169 +163 303047 049 041 004 03
191330 2734N 08602W 8425 01513 //// +162 //// 294047 047 /// /// 05
191400 2734N 08600W 8429 01509 0023 +168 +159 295047 047 /// /// 05
191430 2736N 08559W 8430 01501 0017 +171 +156 293047 048 046 003 00
191500 2737N 08557W 8430 01497 0015 +171 +158 298050 053 045 005 00
191530 2738N 08556W 8437 01485 0009 +170 +162 304056 059 046 007 00
$$
;

[deltadog03]

This is how I see this as of now.

[Dave C]

Lack of deep convection good news for now, let's hope it stays that way till landfall!

[Steve]

Looks to me like Hermine is zeroing in on Apalachee Bay - probably Franklin or Wakulla Counties but maybe as far west as Gulf Co. or as far east as Taylor Co. Last weekend when I said I didn't think it was going to hit the Peninsula (though gave it 20-30% chance), I was pointing up to the Panhandle. This is probably a hair farther east than I thought it would come in, but it's pretty close anyway. Y'all be careful up that way!

[emeraldislenc]

When should the heavy rain arrive in Eastern NC?

[SunnyThoughts]

http://climate.cod.edu/hanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=Florida-vis-1-24&checked=&prodDim=100&overDim=100

[NJWxHurricane]

What would a faster moving storm mean for us at the Jersey Shore?

[Aric Dunn]

pressure is going to be quite a bit lower this pass 989 with 40 knots of wind.