ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[STRiZZY]

Spoke too soon! We have power!! Pizza time :p

[HenkL]

000
URNT15 KWBC 012221
NOAA3 WXWXA HERMINE HDOB 20 20160901
221200 2844N 08524W 6940 03076 9878 +122 //// 009030 038 046 022 01
221230 2844N 08527W 6923 03101 9896 +113 //// 346038 040 047 027 01
221300 2844N 08529W 6946 03079 9903 +113 //// 340040 040 044 026 01
221330 2844N 08531W 6967 03063 9912 +114 //// 339039 040 040 015 01
221400 2844N 08534W 6966 03068 9921 +113 //// 337043 045 042 003 01
221430 2844N 08536W 6972 03066 9928 +113 +112 342049 051 041 004 00
221500 2844N 08538W 6969 03076 9942 +106 //// 339048 050 041 005 01
221530 2844N 08540W 6958 03090 9940 +109 //// 345050 051 038 006 01
221600 2844N 08542W 6962 03090 9943 +111 +109 351052 053 039 006 00
221630 2844N 08545W 6972 03083 9959 +103 //// 354049 052 039 005 01
221700 2844N 08547W 6958 03103 9959 +107 +097 353045 046 039 004 00
221730 2844N 08549W 6947 03123 9963 +107 +096 352044 046 037 006 00
221800 2844N 08552W 6969 03101 9967 +108 +102 358048 049 037 004 00
221830 2844N 08554W 6970 03101 9977 +105 +098 000049 052 036 001 00
221900 2844N 08556W 6958 03119 9982 +103 +094 359051 053 038 008 00
221930 2844N 08559W 6959 03120 9979 +106 //// 005050 052 042 004 01
222000 2845N 08601W 6942 03141 9983 +105 +098 008047 050 041 003 00
222030 2845N 08603W 6937 03151 9986 +106 +081 011051 053 041 002 00
222100 2845N 08606W 6949 03141 9990 +108 +065 010051 052 038 001 00
222130 2845N 08608W 6969 03123 9991 +114 +062 007045 048 037 000 00

[weatherSnoop]

Some are also flipping back and forth to Lester, who seems bent on not weakening

[stormhunter7]

Just watched the next AF Recon plane take off in the CNN FB live video. lol

[SEASON_CANCELED]

Some are also flipping back and forth to Lester, who seems bent on not weakening

Lester doesn't have a chance wait till it gets closer. That approach to Hawaii is a graveyard for category 3s

[Steve]

It started doing a more NE jog the last couple of hours, I think the NHC landfall spot is good.

Maybe even slightly east of there

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Thinking a bit west of there unless it wants to stay in the bay for a while longer.

[TampaCE]

Here in St Pete, have water up to mid thigh in the street in front of my house. This last band that just came thru packed some pretty good winds and high rates of rainfall.

What part of St Pete?

Shore Acres. Gonna have some flooded houses here soon if this doesn't let up.

[Duddy]

This makes me remember when the Weather Channel used to play the epic song, "Eye on the Storm". It was their storm alert theme for 2005 and 2008. And looking outside now, there's another band coming in.

'Storm Alert' is actually my ringtone. Haha.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xbxdyg5IvV0

[TimeZone]

It started doing a more NE jog the last couple of hours, I think the NHC landfall spot is good.

I concur, I don't think it's going to make landfall as far NW as some are thinking.

[JaxGator]

Looks more like a gulf system you would see in Late October, rather than early September.

Kinda like Hurricane Charley but that was August 13th. This is an impressive storm as well.

[STRiZZY]

Tree debris everywhere in my neighborhood in Largo. Nothing that significant that I can see though.

[tallywx]

It started doing a more NE jog the last couple of hours, I think the NHC landfall spot is good.

Maybe even slightly east of there

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

According to recon fixes in the past hour it's moved 10 ticks to the north and only 2 ticks to the east. That's more N than even NNE. That line extrapolates to Lanark Village or Alligator Point (west of track).

[windnrain]

Very cool surge cam, Cedar Key:

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/YASbYUZFccF

[Hammy]

A bit odd that the plane is only reporting about mid-range TS winds in the last few passes--did this weaken or are they avoiding the strongest area for some reason?

[Kazmit]

When Hermine becomes non-tropical over land, they'll continue advisories. Seems like the best thing to do.
After Hermine becomes a post-tropical cyclone,
NHC will continue to issue its full suite of advisory and warning
products for as long as the system remains a significant threat to
land.

[JaxGator]

This makes me remember when the Weather Channel used to play the epic song, "Eye on the Storm". It was their storm alert theme for 2005 and 2008. And looking outside now, there's another band coming in.

'Storm Alert' is actually my ringtone. Haha.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xbxdyg5IvV0

Sweet. The remix of both versions is good too.

[Dean4Storms]

This buoy gusting to 66kts.... Has to be close to the SE Eyewall.

Edit....68kts.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42036

[ronjon]

Very heavy squall as I speak in hernando beach..wind gusts to 60 mph..torrential rain... hoping I don't lose power..winds have really come up the last hour

[HenkL]

000
URNT15 KWBC 012231
NOAA3 WXWXA HERMINE HDOB 21 20160901
222200 2845N 08610W 6968 03127 0000 +111 +062 001043 045 036 000 00
222230 2845N 08613W 6969 03128 0010 +106 +056 004046 046 036 000 00
222300 2846N 08615W 6963 03137 0013 +104 +065 002046 048 036 000 03
222330 2847N 08615W 6968 03131 0012 +106 +062 003044 044 031 000 03
222400 2848N 08613W 6969 03128 0006 +109 +051 004046 046 /// /// 03
222430 2846N 08611W 6971 03126 0000 +112 +060 001044 046 037 000 03
222500 2844N 08609W 6968 03128 9993 +117 +066 358041 042 036 000 03
222530 2843N 08607W 6971 03121 9995 +112 +057 005049 051 036 000 00
222600 2843N 08605W 6960 03130 9991 +109 +079 009048 048 038 000 00
222630 2843N 08602W 6963 03121 9991 +104 +089 008048 049 039 001 00
222700 2843N 08600W 6937 03153 9983 +107 +095 008049 049 040 001 00
222730 2843N 08558W 6942 03140 9974 +108 //// 000046 049 040 010 01
222800 2843N 08555W 6941 03139 9977 +100 //// 356049 054 044 013 01
222830 2843N 08553W 6945 03130 9973 +105 +092 354052 052 042 005 00
222900 2843N 08551W 6949 03124 9973 +104 +097 352049 051 038 003 00
222930 2843N 08548W 6963 03105 9972 +105 +090 345050 051 039 005 00
223000 2843N 08546W 6937 03134 9961 +108 +096 348050 050 039 005 00
223030 2843N 08543W 6952 03112 9954 +109 +106 349049 051 038 007 00
223100 2843N 08541W 6945 03114 9942 +113 +109 349051 053 041 008 00
223130 2843N 08538W 6938 03117 9932 +116 //// 338047 051 046 017 01

[Nimbus]

It started doing a more NE jog the last couple of hours, I think the NHC landfall spot is good.

Maybe even slightly east of there

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

According to recon fixes in the past hour it's moved 10 ticks to the north and only 2 ticks to the east. That's more N than even NNE. That line extrapolates to Lanark Village or Alligator Point (west of track).

Official track has the stronger eyewall missing Tallahassee to the east, radar imagery is showing the high altitude convection tighten around the eyewall. Last minute forecast tweaks might be real helpful.