ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Frank P
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8441 Postby Frank P » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:05 pm

panamatropicwatch wrote:Hermine's eye is looking impressive on enhanced satellite.

Image


Eye appears to be tightening up on radar as well.. WOW... that is a great IR sat photo of a strengthening hurricane!
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8442 Postby Frank P » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:07 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
Frank P wrote:
NDG wrote:
Yeap, another big NE wobble.

224130 2854N 08453W 6963 03026 9826 +156 +082 044001 004 013 000 03

Looks NNE to NE to me on radar... radar tells the story now on movement..


no recon does.. :)

not sure if I agree with ya, in a large eye recon could be several miles off on the exact center of the eye.. radar shows you the eye in its entirety once it is in full range of the coast... but we can agree to disagree... :)
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8443 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:08 pm

RazorTracks wrote:


I saved and enhanced the last frame of that satellite image to make up for some of the darkness, and, well, I'll just let it tell the story:

Image

I'd say that's the best the eye has looked thus far.

Holy Cow, I've been at work all day...just .. wow
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8444 Postby Jimsot » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:09 pm

HurricaneBelle wrote:
TPAcane wrote:I think people tend to forget or have never experienced SUSTAINED high winds. That was a quick blast and it was kinda scary. For those near the eye of a hurricane it is surreal. You think how does a structure stand the pressure. Even a strong 60MPH sustained storm is frightening let alone a CAT 1. A lot of folks who have never experienced this and hopefully never will...they think these bands are a hurricane...never to experience the fright under a CDO. For those that say this is just a wimpy CAT 1...75-80mph or even 50mph sustained winds are very unnerving if not downright frightening. These bands always remind me of a big monster breathing, like a beast taunting, giving the storm almost a life force of its own...huffing and puffing. Always in awe....and again...prayers to those where this is headed....truly anything other than a strong winter cold front is not fun...


This is why it always aggravates me when, say, a tropical storm is brewing and someone says "oh we get a 40 MPH wind in a summer thunderstorm". Yeah, for about one minute or less with some gusts. Not hours of 40 MPH winds, which is a completely different thing.



With Hurricane Earl on Anguilla in 2010 we had 39 plus for about 36 hours with 75 plus for maybe 8 hours. It's not fun.
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8445 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:09 pm

If this had 12-18 more hours over water...wow
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8446 Postby idaknowman » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:10 pm

400!
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8447 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:13 pm

That line that came through temple terrace was weak...looked worse than it was. Had some gusts 30mph
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8448 Postby ronjon » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:13 pm

Looks on RADAR that the eye is tightening up -still ramping up .
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8449 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:13 pm

Sorry, deleted the image...I do think this will be east of Appilachiacola, but still west of NHC....It has a little more E in the NNE right now.
Last edited by deltadog03 on Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:19 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8450 Postby TPAcane » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:13 pm

Does anyone think the rapid consolidation of the eye currently happening is in regard to proximity to the coast and really connecting with that Jet Streak to its NE?
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8451 Postby Jag95 » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:13 pm

She certainly got her act together before crossing the coast. Looks like about another 1.5 hours for landfall judging by the radar. Stay safe over there.
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Recon

#8452 Postby HenkL » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:14 pm

URNT15 KNHC 012303
AF304 1409A HERMINE HDOB 05 20160901
225330 3007N 08657W 8374 01604 0073 +160 +147 033027 027 014 000 00
225400 3007N 08654W 8371 01605 0072 +159 +153 028027 028 017 001 00
225430 3006N 08652W 8374 01600 0071 +161 +141 037028 028 018 000 00
225500 3006N 08649W 8379 01597 0068 +165 +135 044029 029 017 001 00
225530 3005N 08647W 8371 01601 0066 +166 +134 046030 031 017 001 02
225600 3005N 08645W 8373 01600 0069 +162 +144 044029 030 019 000 00
225630 3004N 08642W 8372 01600 0069 +159 +147 046031 031 019 000 00
225700 3004N 08640W 8374 01597 0069 +155 +149 048031 032 017 000 00
225730 3003N 08638W 8375 01597 0070 +154 +147 044032 032 019 000 00
225800 3003N 08635W 8372 01596 0069 +155 +147 045031 032 019 000 00
225830 3003N 08633W 8375 01593 0067 +155 +146 050030 031 017 001 00
225900 3002N 08631W 8375 01594 0066 +154 +147 050029 030 020 001 00
225930 3002N 08628W 8373 01593 0062 +159 +150 047028 028 020 001 00
230000 3001N 08626W 8372 01593 0061 +160 +149 043027 028 021 000 00
230030 3001N 08623W 8376 01588 0056 +167 +143 043028 029 022 000 00
230100 3000N 08621W 8372 01591 0057 +164 +142 049028 029 022 000 00
230130 3000N 08619W 8375 01589 0058 +158 +144 049026 028 022 000 00
230200 2959N 08616W 8374 01587 0057 +160 +140 043026 027 022 001 00
230230 2959N 08614W 8384 01576 0054 +162 +138 049030 031 023 000 00
230300 2959N 08612W 8370 01589 0052 +162 +144 060031 033 023 000 00
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8453 Postby jdjaguar » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:14 pm

stormhunter7 wrote:Image


Think we can call that an eye now?

I'm with Wx
Cat 2 at landfall

Sticking to my earlier prediction

Alligator Point

1:00 am
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8454 Postby Steve » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:15 pm

I think from a historical perspective, people are blowing the potential and look out of proportion. TWC was hawking the buoy the center just past by and promoted the gusts. Sustained was 50s which is plenty strong enough, but I'm thinking the NHC has been overplaying intensity for at least a few years. I haven't really seen a lot of sustained winds with any recent tropical systems measured on land. Obviously the winds will usually be stronger over water.

This is a cool storm but it's not some vicious Cat 3/4/5. Dry air slots have mixed in, there is no real core and the eye is ragged. It looks like a high end TS/low end H. I'm not downing on it, but people should keep their perspective.
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8455 Postby chaser1 » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:15 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:If this had 12-18 more hours over water...wow


Thank heaven it didn't! Been peaking at sat. pics all day while busy with work. Figured a nighttime landfall with a borderline hurricane. This is not looking borderline; At least not in the last couple of hours. Aric, you ever fly on down here to chase this? Anyone else out there in or near Wakulla county with video/pics?
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8456 Postby JtSmarts » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:16 pm

Frank P wrote:
panamatropicwatch wrote:Hermine's eye is looking impressive on enhanced satellite.

Image


Eye appears to be tightening up on radar as well.. WOW... that is a great IR sat photo of a strengthening hurricane!


Compare that to the HWRF Simulated IR from 0z.

Image
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Recon

#8457 Postby HenkL » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:16 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 012313
AF304 1409A HERMINE HDOB 06 20160901
230330 2958N 08609W 8414 01542 0047 +170 +141 072036 037 025 000 00
230400 2958N 08607W 8433 01523 0045 +173 +135 072038 039 026 000 00
230430 2957N 08605W 8433 01519 0043 +171 +140 069040 041 026 000 00
230500 2957N 08603W 8429 01520 0041 +173 +142 065036 039 026 001 00
230530 2956N 08600W 8430 01521 0040 +170 +144 067034 035 026 000 00
230600 2956N 08558W 8432 01516 0040 +167 +143 064033 034 027 000 00
230630 2955N 08556W 8438 01511 0045 +160 +147 063033 035 028 001 00
230700 2955N 08554W 8436 01511 //// +160 //// 068032 032 030 001 01
230730 2955N 08552W 8432 01512 //// +160 //// 070031 033 031 000 01
230800 2954N 08551W 8430 01512 //// +160 //// 073034 035 032 001 01
230830 2954N 08549W 8429 01511 //// +160 //// 074034 035 032 002 01
230900 2954N 08548W 8429 01511 //// +162 //// 075035 036 033 003 01
230930 2954N 08546W 8434 01508 //// +162 //// 073033 034 032 003 01
231000 2953N 08544W 8429 01510 //// +165 //// 075035 035 032 003 01
231030 2953N 08543W 8433 01508 0033 +168 //// 072035 036 032 003 01
231100 2952N 08542W 8429 01508 //// +167 //// 069035 036 030 002 01
231130 2951N 08540W 8425 01514 0025 +168 //// 067034 035 030 002 01
231200 2950N 08539W 8432 01503 0024 +170 +167 070035 035 030 001 03
231230 2949N 08538W 8429 01506 0022 +169 +163 070034 035 031 000 00
231300 2948N 08537W 8425 01508 0020 +172 +162 068034 035 029 001 00

(Someone else please take over)
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8458 Postby ronjon » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:16 pm

Anybody got a nice detailed map of the panhandle coastline so we can tell where these locations are?
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8459 Postby johngaltfla » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:16 pm

Well, that last squall line just got me. Lost internet for about 40 minutes but lost about a 30 ft section of one of my oak trees. The old oak canopy just got thinner with that microburst.
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Re: ATL: HERMINE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8460 Postby caneman » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:16 pm

At indian Shores we had a max wind gust of 78!! Sustained wind has really picked up now. We always get the worse wind when it gets north of us and from the s.e. quad. Took a quick drive to the convenience store and saw a good amount of large tree branches down.
Last edited by caneman on Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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