ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[JKingTampa]

The big band slowly creeping toward the nature coast/tampa bay is taking it's time getting...meaning when it does it's gonna stay awhile. our winds outside of rain are stronger than they were during that last big band so this could get ugly. Blue flash potential with power outages are likely coming from Citrus to Pinellas if this holds together and eases on in. throw in some extreme rainfall rates too.

Looks like it will probably hold together quite nicely. Actually from radar looks like it could still be getting a bit stronger.

[Aric Dunn]

water has topped the sea wall .. free flowing..

http://hurricanetrack.com/cam2.html

[ConvergenceZone]

I am fairly confident intensification has stopped.

Went through Issac and the same thing happened in regards to intensification up until landfall.

Well, the NHC didn't really expect much more intensification anyway, so it's doing exactly what it suppose to have done.......Nonetheless, tons of rain. It's going to be very ugly as well for the East Coast......It appears to almost stall or move very slowly day 4 and 5......

[Zarniwoop]

water has topped the sea wall .. free flowing..

http://hurricanetrack.com/cam2.html

No, a lot of the wave crests are going over. But, if the sea comes up a foot, it will be pretty wet.

[LarryWx]

Here in SAV, I'm just getting the first outer squalls related to Hermine with some thunder/lightning, very gusty winds, and torrential rains.

Larry, you closed to the coast?

I'm about 12-13 miles from the coast as a bird flies.

[BRweather]

Looks like cloud tops have quickly warmed for the time being. Sure they will cool again

[BRweather]

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092016
A. 02/01:31:00Z
B. 29 deg 22 min N
084 deg 33 min W
C. 850 mb 1298 m
D. 48 kt
E. 036 deg 24 nm
F. 139 deg 66 kt
G. 036 deg 25 nm
H. 984 mb
I. 17 C / 1521 m
J. 21 C / 1523 m
K. 18 C / NA
L. SPIRAL
M. E36/28/18
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 4 nm
P. AF304 1409A HERMINE OB 09


There it is

[Frank P]

water has topped the sea wall .. free flowing..

http://hurricanetrack.com/cam2.html

No, a lot of the wave crests are going over. But, if the sea comes up a foot, it will be pretty wet.

Waves are starting to pound the back of that building pretty good right now too...

[mpic]

What will it look like in Augusta? Will they be on the "dry" side?

[cycloneye]

HURRICANE HERMINE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
900 PM EDT THU SEP 01 2016

...10 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE...

The automated station on the Tyndall Tower south of Apalachicola
recently reported a sustained wind of 55 mph (89 km/h) and a wind
gust of 73 mph (117 km/h) at an elevation of 115 ft (35 m). During
the past hour, wind gusts of 52 mph (83 km/h) occurred at Keaton
Beach and Clearwater Beach, and 51 mph (81 km/h) at Cedar Key.


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EDT...1000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 84.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SE OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM WSW OF KEATON BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

$$

Forecaster Beven

[Agua]

http://hurricanetrack.com/cam2.html So while we are watching this live cam , what is the business all lit up still with power? Is it a restaurant I'm assuming?

Yeah, just swing in for a soft shell po-boy.

[tropicwatch]

WMBB in Panama City will be live in a minute. Reporter had to go clear his throat:)
https://www.facebook.com/WMBBTV/videos/10153848816861658/?ref=notif&notif_t=live_video&notif_id=1472690409430285

[BRweather]

...10 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE...

The automated station on the Tyndall Tower south of Apalachicola
recently reported a sustained wind of 55 mph (89 km/h) and a wind
gust of 73 mph (117 km/h) at an elevation of 115 ft (35 m). During
the past hour, wind gusts of 52 mph (83 km/h) occurred at Keaton
Beach and Clearwater Beach, and 51 mph (81 km/h) at Cedar Key.


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EDT...1000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 84.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SE OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM WSW OF KEATON BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

[Agua]

Feel sorry for these folks who are finding out what life after a hurricane is about. Going to suck for them. Plus huge deductibles if they own property.

[TimeZone]

Certainly didn't deepen as much as I thought it would the last few hours. Seems to have all but halted. Not a bad little system, if this had gotten it's act together earlier this could've gotten real ugly.

[BRweather]

Certainly didn't deepen as much as I thought it would the last few hours. Seems to have all but halted. Not a bad little system, if this had gotten it's act together earlier this could've gotten real ugly.

agreed. Another 24 hours over water would have been really interesting

[LarryWx]

Here in SAV, I already got nearly 2" in the bucket from just a half hour of very heavy rains from the first outer squalls! Unreal!

[northjaxpro]

First major outer band moving through NE Florida right now. Hermine really impressed today, very close to Cat 2 intensity of right now. Loos like landfall will be around midnight. Just under an inch at the start.

[SoupBone]

Feel sorry for these folks who are finding out what life after a hurricane is about. Going to suck for them. Plus huge deductibles if they own property.

Absolutely. After going through Andrew, Katrina, Gustav, and countless more, watching that live video of Cedar Key makes me cringe. I used to think an incoming storm would be a cool thing to experience, but I want no part of these things anymore. Thinking of you guys dealing with this.

[MrStormX]

Certainly didn't deepen as much as I thought it would the last few hours. Seems to have all but halted. Not a bad little system, if this had gotten it's act together earlier this could've gotten real ugly.

This deepened a lot more than I ever thought it would. If you had told me that we would have a landfalling hurricane with a well defined eye last night, I would have laughed.