ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 020323
AF304 1409A HERMINE HDOB 30 20160902
031330 2925N 08500W 8429 01472 9991 +174 //// 352041 042 036 008 01
031400 2923N 08500W 8434 01470 9987 +170 //// 345036 041 037 003 01
031430 2921N 08500W 8425 01479 9991 +168 //// 340034 035 036 004 05
031500 2919N 08500W 8430 01475 9998 +164 //// 334033 035 036 004 01
031530 2917N 08500W 8428 01479 0007 +164 //// 331034 036 035 005 01
031600 2915N 08500W 8428 01484 0011 +169 //// 324035 036 034 005 01
031630 2914N 08500W 8429 01483 0014 +172 +172 318036 036 035 009 03
031700 2912N 08500W 8430 01487 0016 +167 //// 311036 037 035 004 01
031730 2910N 08500W 8434 01486 0016 +167 //// 297040 044 035 005 01
031800 2908N 08500W 8430 01493 0019 +165 //// 295043 044 034 003 01
031830 2907N 08500W 8427 01497 0026 +170 +170 294044 045 034 007 00
031900 2905N 08500W 8440 01488 0023 +168 //// 294050 051 032 006 01
031930 2903N 08500W 8433 01495 //// +161 //// 295048 050 031 004 01
032000 2901N 08500W 8432 01502 //// +158 //// 294048 048 031 002 05
032030 2900N 08459W 8421 01517 0027 +162 +156 285047 049 /// /// 05
032100 2900N 08457W 8434 01495 0019 +164 +155 283049 050 033 003 01
032130 2900N 08455W 8428 01502 0018 +165 +156 286052 053 036 004 00
032200 2900N 08452W 8429 01498 0017 +165 +156 282053 053 035 002 00
032230 2900N 08450W 8429 01496 0015 +165 +162 280055 056 037 003 00
032300 2900N 08448W 8428 01497 0019 +169 //// 278053 055 037 003 01
$$
;

[birddogsc]

Did the sea wall just wash away on cam 2 at hurricane track?

yes, i saw it live. lights went out and huge surge of debris

Yes, gone. Then a table floats by...

[BRweather]

Looks like RECON is going to try and make it back for one more pass as it is making landfall

[ncbird]

Did the sea wall just wash away on cam 2 at hurricane track?

yes, i saw it live. lights went out and huge surge of debris

Yes, gone. Then a table floats by...

Been watching it off and on all night and its been taking a real beating there from those waves.

[BRweather]

Chris Warren, on the west side, is seeing a definite uptick in the intensity

[SunnyThoughts]

yes, i saw it live. lights went out and huge surge of debris

Yes, gone. Then a table floats by...

Been watching it off and on all night and its been taking a real beating there from those waves.[/quote

And apparently high tide there isn't for another 3 hours or so.

[Alyono]

may see a pre event in the Carolinas tomorrow. Could see 12 hours of rain before the circulation itself makes it

[Jag95]

That wctv cam is kind of slow but you can tell the wind is picking up now. Don't know whether that is I-10 or not, but quite a few semis are on the road. Nuts. Seems like they would have closed it down.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 020333
AF304 1409A HERMINE HDOB 31 20160902
032330 2900N 08445W 8431 01491 0016 +165 //// 275054 055 034 005 01
032400 2900N 08443W 8429 01493 0015 +165 //// 271056 056 036 005 01
032430 2900N 08440W 8430 01490 0013 +165 //// 267056 057 036 004 01
032500 2900N 08438W 8433 01487 0004 +167 +161 266056 057 036 003 01
032530 2900N 08436W 8430 01490 0005 +168 +162 264059 059 036 003 00
032600 2900N 08433W 8437 01481 0006 +167 +161 260060 061 034 004 00
032630 2900N 08431W 8428 01492 0004 +169 +161 256062 062 035 002 00
032700 2900N 08428W 8431 01486 0004 +168 +158 253062 063 038 003 00
032730 2900N 08426W 8428 01490 0005 +168 +151 249064 065 038 003 00
032800 2900N 08424W 8432 01484 0006 +166 +148 248068 069 040 005 00
032830 2900N 08421W 8422 01494 0004 +169 +151 246068 068 041 004 03
032900 2900N 08419W 8434 01484 0003 +174 +141 245070 071 039 003 00
032930 2900N 08416W 8429 01490 0003 +175 +140 244071 072 039 003 00
033000 2900N 08414W 8431 01489 0006 +170 +144 244072 073 039 004 00
033030 2900N 08411W 8425 01494 0005 +173 +139 244073 073 041 004 00
033100 2900N 08409W 8434 01487 0006 +174 +144 243072 073 042 003 00
033130 2900N 08407W 8429 01493 0010 +169 +155 243073 074 040 003 00
033200 2900N 08404W 8439 01485 0011 +167 +164 239071 074 037 003 01
033230 2900N 08402W 8423 01506 0016 +166 +163 238071 072 037 003 05
033300 2901N 08400W 8425 01507 0019 +165 +163 235070 071 /// /// 03
$$
;

Even west of the center, FL winds support near hurricane intensity.

[txwatcher91]

may see a pre event in the Carolinas tomorrow. Could see 12 hours of rain before the circulation itself makes it

I know this hasn't been discussed much but what kind of rain and wind are we looking at up here in NC? I'm thinking some gusts 40-50 in the worst squalls and 4-8" of rain.

[BRweather]

Those intense storm south of Tallahassee look to be rotating down to Jim in Carrabelle

[birddogsc]

may see a pre event in the Carolinas tomorrow. Could see 12 hours of rain before the circulation itself makes it

Alyono - very curious about this... (I do EM for my org) and the WPC is showing 5-7 in the central Carolinas.

[Alyono]

may see a pre event in the Carolinas tomorrow. Could see 12 hours of rain before the circulation itself makes it

I know this hasn't been discussed much but what kind of rain and wind are we looking at up here in NC? I'm thinking some gusts 40-50 in the worst squalls and 4-8" of rain.

wouldn't be surprised if we see quite a bit more than that

[mpic]

may see a pre event in the Carolinas tomorrow. Could see 12 hours of rain before the circulation itself makes it

I know this hasn't been discussed much but what kind of rain and wind are we looking at up here in NC? I'm thinking some gusts 40-50 in the worst squalls and 4-8" of rain.

wouldn't be surprised if we see quite a bit more than that

will that include Charlotte?

[cdavis6287]

Raining and wind was blowing in Saint Augustine are a little bit ago now a drizzle. Supposedly gonna get the real winds around 1am to 2am.

[STRiZZY]

I drove down to irb earlier about an hour ago.. Man that was scary.. 8foot or more waves... No beach left.. Waves crashing onto the boardwalk...

High tide is 3:48 AM there and that is about the time that next squall line brings in some TS strength winds.

I'll be down there, around 25th Ave.. I want to see how far it comes up.. My buddies house is right there on the beach..

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 020343
AF304 1409A HERMINE HDOB 32 20160902
033330 2903N 08359W 8434 01490 0009 +170 +158 235072 073 039 004 00
033400 2905N 08359W 8428 01493 0005 +168 +164 235074 075 042 004 00
033430 2907N 08359W 8430 01485 0004 +165 +157 233075 076 042 003 05
033500 2909N 08359W 8429 01484 9999 +169 +154 232075 076 044 003 00
033530 2911N 08358W 8428 01481 9999 +163 +162 230075 080 044 006 00
033600 2913N 08358W 8431 01473 9992 +164 +155 231080 081 048 007 00
033630 2915N 08358W 8430 01469 9997 +157 +157 228080 081 048 007 03
033700 2917N 08357W 8427 01469 9986 +164 //// 226078 080 050 009 01
033730 2919N 08357W 8431 01458 9984 +165 +165 226080 080 052 009 03
033800 2921N 08356W 8429 01456 9979 +163 +163 222081 082 054 011 03
033830 2923N 08356W 8439 01440 9978 +163 +163 221081 082 051 018 03
033900 2925N 08356W 8427 01446 9970 +166 +166 219080 081 056 015 03
033930 2928N 08355W 8425 01445 9962 +171 +171 218074 080 055 017 03
034000 2930N 08355W 8440 01424 9956 +176 +176 220069 071 060 016 03
034030 2932N 08355W 8429 01431 9949 +176 +176 219072 073 057 019 03
034100 2934N 08354W 8432 01422 9941 +177 +177 219072 074 /// /// 03
034130 2936N 08354W 8425 01425 9932 +181 +181 216069 072 066 012 00
034200 2938N 08354W 8426 01419 9923 +187 +187 214065 069 068 015 03
034230 2940N 08353W 8434 01402 9916 +190 +190 214069 071 066 018 03
034300 2942N 08353W 8429 01408 9915 +192 +192 214067 070 067 008 00
$$
;

SW quad: 82 kt FL, 67 kt SFMR

[Alyono]

solid hurricane sfmr winds now

[BRweather]

034130 2936N 08354W 8425 01425 9932 +181 +181 216069 072 066 012 00
034200 2938N 08354W 8426 01419 9923 +187 +187 214065 069 068 015 03
034230 2940N 08353W 8434 01402 9916 +190 +190 214069 071 066 018 03
034300 2942N 08353W 8429 01408 9915 +192 +192 214067 070 067 008 00

[BRweather]

Surface winds -- 78 mph