Texas Fall-2016

[JDawg512]

Seeing a lot of scattered showers and some thunderstorms west of Waco through Junction. Some interesting nimbus towers bubbling up over Austin. Small thin towers. Pretty neat to look at.

[Brent]

Fall is starting how summer ended... with thunder!

[weatherdude1108]

Seeing a lot of scattered showers and some thunderstorms west of Waco through Junction. Some interesting nimbus towers bubbling up over Austin. Small thin towers. Pretty neat to look at.

I saw some of those outside of work! They are pretty cool looking.

[aggiecutter]

I am gonna go with Sept 21st for the first 59. I expect it to correspond to a recurving typhoon as usual. I'll say Oct 12th for the first 49. Heck while I'm at it I'll say Nov 8th for the first freeze. Looks like we will be looking at a -EPO and cool ENSO cold season so repeated cold shots and near normal precip seems likely. So glad it is finally Fall though early Sept in Texas is not really Fall like, but it is on the doorstep.

Todd Warren of NBC 6 Shreveport agrees with you on the date of the first freeze. He thinks the fall will be near normal temperature wise, and below normal for precipitation

https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=1088079554614799

[Ralph's Weather]

It sure looked like I was gonna get some rain yesterday evening with all that was along I30, but I recorded 0". I love seeing 65 from the NWS for titles morning; I wonder if we can make the low 60s outside of town. The moisture in the ground may prevent it, but maybe it will be still enough for fog and that won't matter as much.

[gboudx]

It sure looked like I was gonna get some rain yesterday evening with all that was along I30, but I recorded 0". I love seeing 65 from the NWS for titles morning; I wonder if we can make the low 60s outside of town. The moisture in the ground may prevent it, but maybe it will be still enough for fog and that won't matter as much.

Ha I know the feeling. That line exploded just to my east and then south to I30. The thunder was loud but no drops for us. It was about 4 miles south of us. Then storms blew up in Collin county heading south, maybe 3 miles north of me, so it looked sure to get dumped on. Then it spit out an outflow to the southwest and the storms collapsed. We did get enough rain to barely make the street wet though.

[JDawg512]

Well I've reverted back to my post a few days ago in the summer thread. It looks like a fairly dry 2 weeks. I know some in the area have seen rain today but nothing here at my place and it doesn't look like I will see any.

Rain chances only decrease from here on out. EWX afternoon long range has nothing of interest.

[weatherdude1108]

Well I've reverted back to my post a few days ago in the summer thread. It looks like a fairly dry 2 weeks. I know some in the area have seen rain today but nothing here at my place and it doesn't look like I will see any.

Rain chances only decrease from here on out. EWX afternoon long range has nothing of interest.

Nope. Nothing. I got no rain either. Was hoping not to have to water again, but with 90s and no rain, I may have to again. Was hoping a Pacific system would send moisture this way. I can't complain much though with two full lakes Buchanan and Travis going into Fall.

[Brent]

there's hints of a front around the 11th/12th, until then looks pretty zzzzz. Hopefully the 2nd half of the month will be more interesting.

GFS has a 59 at DFW at 384 hours(September 18th), we'll see how that goes.

[South Texas Storms]

My family's house on the north side of San Antonio was near the rain bullseye today! 1.3 inches this afternoon as a storm popped up and then didn't move much for about 30 mins to an hour. Praise the Lord!

[Brent]

we have 50s on the GFS DFW meteogram again... sometime between September 13th-18th on the last 3 runs. Even if the 50s don't verify, certainly looks like widespread 60s.

[Ntxw]

we have 50s on the DFW meteogram again... sometime between September 13th-18th on the last 3 runs. Even if the 50s don't verify, certainly looks like widespread 60s.

I am ready for it! Euro has some hints

[Brent]

we have 50s on the DFW meteogram again... sometime between September 13th-18th on the last 3 runs. Even if the 50s don't verify, certainly looks like widespread 60s.

I am ready for it! Euro has some hints

18z GFS has some mid 50s at DFW September 14-16 and a couple days with highs in the 70s around then with some rain chances... more than one front too(the first one is next weekend)

Even AUS and IAH have some 50s in the same timeframe...

Change is coming guys... the signal is consistent on at least a little taste of fall

[Ralph's Weather]

65 yesterday and 64 right now at my house. I'll take that as a nice placeholder until the next front around mid month.

[Ntxw]

Euro and ens are now giving more credence to mid month front. Pretty substantial (for time of year) one.

[Brent]

Euro and ens are now giving more credence to mid month front. Pretty substantial (for time of year) one.

Weather apps are starting to show it too... both Weatherbug and The Weather Channel have highs around 80 and lows in the mid 60s up here around September 14-15. Temps start dropping below 90 after Friday on both.

[gpsnowman]

Euro and ens are now giving more credence to mid month front. Pretty substantial (for time of year) one.

Weather apps are starting to show it too... both Weatherbug and The Weather Channel have highs around 80 and lows in the mid 60s up here around September 14-15. Temps start dropping below 90 after Friday on both.

I hope so. The humidity is going to be rockin this week in what I hope is summers last stand. Bring on that cool dry air.

[Portastorm]

Excellent agreement this far out in guidance about that mid September cold front. Looks like the real deal! This op runs for the 0z Euro and 6z GFS show it well.

[Ntxw]

The catalyst for the mid month front will be coming from the NE PAC high poking itself into NW NA. -EPO

[Tireman4]

Excellent agreement this far out in guidance about that mid September cold front. Looks like the real deal! This op runs for the 0z Euro and 6z GFS show it well.

This could be the one Porta...