Tropical Wave in East Atlantic (Is Invest 97L)

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PTrackerLA
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#341 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:27 pm

Down to 973mb at 180 hrs

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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#342 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:27 pm

Hour 180...perhaps an escape route to the north opening up...might head for Eastern Cuba.
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#343 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:33 pm

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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#344 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:34 pm

204 hrs: 946mb.

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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#345 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:35 pm

This run is GOM bound it looks like
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#346 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:36 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:Hour 180...perhaps an escape route to the north opening up...might head for Eastern Cuba.


Escape route closed up quickly...still westbound until the next trough comes along. Depending on timing someone on the Gulf coast might end up with a very bad day.
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#347 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:39 pm

Scary looking 500mb setup at 222 hrs

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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#348 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:41 pm

Big ridge camped out over the Eastern Half of the CONUS but that also looks like a pretty big low taking shape over the Rockies. Its progression east and subsequent shift of the ridge will be critical.
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#349 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:41 pm

That 500 pattern I can see Florida getting potatoed

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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#350 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:43 pm

240 hrs, 917mb!

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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#351 Postby Alyono » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:43 pm

MU has a cat 5 in the western Caribbean
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#352 Postby drezee » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:45 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:240 hrs, 917mb!


Please hide this run from the women and children. Looks like a GOM monster coming on this run
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#353 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:47 pm

00z Canadian at 240hrs

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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#354 Postby OntarioEggplant » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:47 pm

The fact that the Euro and GFS are in complete agreement through 10 days is pretty crazy
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#355 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:47 pm

Long way out, but with the latest CMC, GFS and Euro runs we have very similar solutions at 240hrs.
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#356 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:49 pm

Somebody in the GOM is gonna get spanked cery very very hard...


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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#357 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:50 pm

Cozumel and the Yucatan take it on the chin at 288 hours...
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#358 Postby SeGaBob » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:50 pm

I'm guessing LA this time.
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#359 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:51 pm

Hate to say it but this has NOLA written all over it.
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Re: Tropical Wave in West Africa (Pouch 39L)

#360 Postby drezee » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:52 pm

SeGaBob wrote:I'm guessing LA this time.

More like Rita 2
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