ATL: MATTHEW - Models
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
NNW through 192 hours...
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
HP expanding SE on 18z vs 12z... Either block or sharper NE turn...
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SeGaBob
Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Blown Away wrote:HP expanding SE on 18z vs 12z... Either block or sharper NE turn...
Let's go with the sharper turn.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Blown Away wrote:HP expanding SE on 18z vs 12z... Either block or sharper NE turn...
Yeah there is a slight difference in that it is moving NNW through Bahamas instead of NNE.
Looks to stay east of Florida again and hits same area Joaquin hit last year.
Last edited by gatorcane on Sun Sep 25, 2016 5:35 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
If it is going to miss the Conus on this run, I don't think it will be moving fast. This is no synch miss just yet for the conus.
Last edited by LarryWx on Sun Sep 25, 2016 5:53 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Still just W of N through 204 hours... May be turning...
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
NNE movement at hour 210:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=atl&pkg=z500a&runtime=2016092518&fh=210&xpos=0&ypos=200
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=atl&pkg=z500a&runtime=2016092518&fh=210&xpos=0&ypos=200
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Why do people call a storm a fish when it rakes numerous islands causing untold amount of damage? To me it sounds pretty rude. Let's stop the one liners, the waving goodbye crap, and the fish talk. It's meaningless annoying chatter. Thanks.
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USTropics
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
That is one potent low pressure system in the NATL too, down to 962mb, definitely the strongest I've seen in any of the GFS runs so far:
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Two lowest pressures so far.
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DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Blown Away wrote:Still just W of N through 204 hours... May be turning...
Once you hit the 150 marker it's all about throwing darts. Error margins massive over 200 hrs. And that would only take 150 miles further west to ruin FL day
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Levi Cowan @TropicalTidbits 11m11 minutes ago
GFS joining the trend of slowing 97L down in the Caribbean compared to previous forecasts:
GFS joining the trend of slowing 97L down in the Caribbean compared to previous forecasts:
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
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M a r k
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SeGaBob
Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
It isn't moving fast at all, but it looks to me like it will avoid the conus east coast on this 18Z GFS run.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
A major storm hitting Haiti could kill 20000 people. If you call that a fish you should turn in your humanity card.
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