ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#761 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:21 pm

Tangled up in SA at 102 hours, pressure at 995mb compared to 988mb the previous run, which was further north. Good grief.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#762 Postby OntarioEggplant » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:23 pm

I'm going to laugh if this goes into Costa Rica or Nicaragua.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#763 Postby blp » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:23 pm

Much faster and weaker on this run.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#764 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:23 pm

Still moving west.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#765 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:23 pm

I think this will end up further west this run looking at the 500MB pattern...
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:23 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#766 Postby Alyono » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:23 pm

Landfall number 2... Columbia
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#767 Postby blp » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:23 pm

OntarioEggplant wrote:I'm going to laugh if this goes into Costa Rica or Nicaragua.


Well then we would be back to were we where on Thursday lol.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#768 Postby toad strangler » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:24 pm

Still moving W and riding real low through 120 hrs
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#769 Postby SeGaBob » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:24 pm

OntarioEggplant wrote:I'm going to laugh if this goes into Costa Rica or Nicaragua.

Then we'll be back at square 1.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#770 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:24 pm

OntarioEggplant wrote:I'm going to laugh if this goes into Costa Rica or Nicaragua.


Based on the 500mb that I'm seeing I'm going to guess it will be up and out over Central Cuba and the Bahamas with a close call the Florida. Pretty good weakness being shown over FLA.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#771 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:24 pm

Alyono wrote:Landfall number 2... Columbia


wow and to think a trough can still scoop it up from way down there is quite unbelievable. It takes a special trough for sure!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#772 Postby SFLcane » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:26 pm

Hmm possibly trending towards ensembles
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#773 Postby tatertawt24 » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:26 pm

OntarioEggplant wrote:I'm going to laugh if this goes into Costa Rica or Nicaragua.


:lol: Not making any predictions or anything, but I've just had a weird feeling since this invest formed that it was going to troll us all.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#774 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:27 pm

Still moving west to a little south of west at 126h, down to 990mb.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#775 Postby LarryWx » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:27 pm

The 12Z Euro looks to go well west of the last 3 runs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#776 Postby sma10 » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:28 pm

Yes, quite clearly the UK/EURO camp is suggesting something entirely different than GFS
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#777 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:28 pm

Sticking to it's guns, hard right turn at 132h, north northeast, down to 982mb. Good grief again.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#778 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:29 pm

Starting the turn at 144 hours...

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#779 Postby toad strangler » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:29 pm

not due N but looks like a solid NW turn between 120 and 144
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#780 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Mon Sep 26, 2016 1:31 pm

toad strangler wrote:not due N but looks like a solid NW turn between 120 and 144


Looks NNW to me. Following ensembles?
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