ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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GCANE
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#921 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2016 8:25 pm

No recurve for GFDL

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#922 Postby SFLcane » Mon Sep 26, 2016 8:28 pm

gatorcane wrote:18Z GFDL 500mb with plenty of ridging north of the Caribbean to drive it west, but if it went out a little further, might start to turn more NW since there is a weakness:

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Might be to late there to avoid impacts in South Florida
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#923 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Sep 26, 2016 8:33 pm

00z Model Guidance:

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18z GEFS Ensembles:

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12z GEPS Ensembles:

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#924 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Sep 26, 2016 9:57 pm

Man, this model thread just died....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#925 Postby BigB0882 » Mon Sep 26, 2016 9:58 pm

I assume people were tuning into the debates.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#926 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Sep 26, 2016 9:59 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Man, this model thread just died....


Debate on TV or Monday Night Football
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#927 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Sep 26, 2016 10:10 pm

Also we are in a lull period. The 00Z runs come out soon though. GFS should be anytime, Euro in about 3 hours.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#928 Postby stormlover2013 » Mon Sep 26, 2016 10:13 pm

Lull period??? That debate made time fly by!!!!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#929 Postby stormreader » Mon Sep 26, 2016 10:21 pm

I may stay up for a little while. Guessing that the GFS ensembles will trend further west.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#930 Postby OuterBanker » Mon Sep 26, 2016 10:33 pm

I'm on vacation in North Myrtle Beach. Friend had to use points so went with them.
Watched the debates also and realized I'd much rather be here.
We already have had to deal with Hermine which turned out to be a whole lot more than expected.
Have to admit that the future Matt is looking better than any other storm this season.
Hoping that it doesn't bother anyone and am glad that so far that the models at least are leaving the Outer Banks out of it.
Should be interesting to track.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#931 Postby Alyono » Mon Sep 26, 2016 10:44 pm

through 42 hours, the 0Z MU is weaker and a bit faster
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#932 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Sep 26, 2016 10:56 pm

Alyono wrote:through 42 hours, the 0Z MU is weaker and a bit faster


Still weaker and further west through 72 hours
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#933 Postby Alyono » Mon Sep 26, 2016 10:59 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:
Alyono wrote:through 42 hours, the 0Z MU is weaker and a bit faster


Still weaker and further west through 72 hours


at 84 hours, stronger and west
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#934 Postby SFLcane » Mon Sep 26, 2016 10:59 pm

plenty of ridging here..

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#935 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 26, 2016 11:02 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#936 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Sep 26, 2016 11:03 pm

Definitely farther west this run, seems to be caving to the Euro slowly
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#937 Postby BigB0882 » Mon Sep 26, 2016 11:04 pm

Let's see if the GFS plows straight through another ridge or not.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#938 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 26, 2016 11:04 pm

Looks like it will be a very similar run.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#939 Postby chaser1 » Mon Sep 26, 2016 11:04 pm

:double: Ruh Row.... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... 2&ypos=150

New 0Z GFS 500 mb anomaly chart. This is really beginning to appear as if the GFS is gonna have to slide further west on this run. Looks like a more likely trap for Cuba and Florida and/or N. Gulf
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#940 Postby SFLcane » Mon Sep 26, 2016 11:07 pm

How this going to intensify with this shear waiting! GFS RI bogus

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