ATL: MATTHEW - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
SeGaBob wrote:Moving W at 120
This Euro run may make it past 80W. It is already to the furthest west point of the prior run.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
looks to turn WNW at 144, interesting.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
NOT what the Florida Chamber of Commerce is wanting to see approaching the first week of Oct.
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Andy D
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Yeah , NNW now at 77W. But will it later turn back WNW due to rebuilding ridging to its north later?
I don't see how that new upper low will appear near the Miss. River later on this run like it did on the run from 24 hours ago.
I don't see how that new upper low will appear near the Miss. River later on this run like it did on the run from 24 hours ago.
Last edited by LarryWx on Tue Sep 27, 2016 1:35 am, edited 2 times in total.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Anyone out there planning on a little Key West deep sea fishing around Oct 6? Bring Dramamine 
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Andy D
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HurricaneEric
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Almost landfall at hour 168, due north into Jamaica
Last edited by HurricaneEric on Tue Sep 27, 2016 1:39 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Irene '99, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Irma '17 (storms I remember my area getting hurricane force winds/gusts).
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and shouldn't be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the experts.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
I don't know Larry but purely based on this run, I'd say that a consistent NNW looks likely right up to the next short wave moving east out of W. CONUS. I could see E. Gulf briefly before turning more northerly toward Ceder Key on this run anyways.
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Andy D
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USTropics
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
It barely moves for 24 hours, this would be catastrophic for Jamaica if it were to verify:
144 hours:
168 hours:
144 hours:
168 hours:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
This 0Z Euro run is the furthest west of the last five Euro runs fwiw. So, there's still a west trend on the Euro albeit slow.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Seems to me that a bit more of a northwest motion should be occurring, rather than a more northerly (or NNW) as depicted. Either way, trending more Westward.
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Andy D
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Uh oh, look at 192. Thumb ridge appears to its north as it turns back NNW.
Probably would be turning more NW shortly.
Probably would be turning more NW shortly.
Last edited by LarryWx on Tue Sep 27, 2016 1:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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SeGaBob
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Going to be very close, looks to be some shallow ridging there. Cuba landfall as well at 192 hours:
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HurricaneFrances04
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
There is no trough over the Mississippi River on this run.
Last edited by HurricaneFrances04 on Tue Sep 27, 2016 1:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
This feels like deja vu all over again when thinking about the west trend on last night's 0Z Euro. This will almost surely go past 80W.
Last edited by LarryWx on Tue Sep 27, 2016 1:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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