ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hammy]

Circulation looks somewhat broad but closed

I was hoping I was wrong but it did indeed miss the circulation. Does anybody know when the next flight is?

[Hurricaneman]

Circulation looks somewhat broad but closed

I was hoping I was wrong but it did indeed miss the circulation. Does anybody know when the next flight is?

In the morning I believe

[stormreader]

Circulation looks somewhat broad but closed

If that is the case then it's time to call it. Wind and pressure already support TD if not TS.

[abajan]

Circulation looks somewhat broad but closed

I was hoping I was wrong but it did indeed miss the circulation. Does anybody know when the next flight is?

From the last post in the Recon thread, it looks like 7:30 AM EST.

[stormreader]

Storms beginning to pop and wrap on west side of developing llc.

[SouthernBreeze]

Completely unverified & from another storm forum - they mention a recon flight at 1AM?

[Alyono]

Completely unverified & from another storm forum - they mention a recon flight at 1AM?

no nighttime low level invests. That is perhaps the fastest way to crash a plane

[SouthernBreeze]

Completely unverified & from another storm forum - they mention a recon flight at 1AM?

no nighttime low level invests. That is perhaps the fastest way to crash a plane

OK, Thanks for info!

[SFLcane]

This is closed now

[Hammy]

This is closed now

Thinking 11am upgrade likely?

[OuterBanker]

I'm on vacation so I don't have any time for this. Return Saturday, then I'll wail a gnash my teeth.

[stormreader]

This is closed now

Thinking 11am upgrade likely?

I think it may be time!

[caribsue]

This is closed now

Thinking 11am upgrade likely?

I think it may be time!

Looks closed.... Will they issue a special bulletin or wait for the 2am

[Alyono]

looks open still

http://manati.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/asca ... Bas100.png

In fact, it's not even that close to being closed at the moment. We have southeasterly winds where we should have southwesterlies

[caribsue]

Thanks for that clarification ....

[Aric Dunn]

last hour or so looks like a low level circ is taking shape roughly here with the recent convection building. the MLC is to the NE but not far.

recon takes off in soon at least according to the plan of the day. if they canceled it then it was not mentioned. if so the not 930Z take off is next one.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml

[Aric Dunn]

SO just found this.. looks like they will fly.. unless they changed it again..

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES.
3. REMARKS: MISSION FOR 28/0530Z IS NOW A SINGLE FIX MISSION.

[caribsue]

last hour or so looks like a low level circ is taking shape roughly here with the recent convection building. the MLC is to the NE but not far.

recon takes off in soon at least according to the plan of the day. if they canceled it then it was not mentioned. if so the not 930Z take off is next one.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml

Wow that means that that circulation is just about east of us here in Barbados

[Aric Dunn]

last hour or so looks like a low level circ is taking shape roughly here with the recent convection building. the MLC is to the NE but not far.

recon takes off in soon at least according to the plan of the day. if they canceled it then it was not mentioned. if so the not 930Z take off is next one.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml

[img]http://s16.postimg.org/74lkpo6ud/rgb0_lalo.gif[/ig]

Wow that means that that circulation is just about east of us here in Barbados

its quite likely. watch the convection in that area over the next few hours. a LLC can form or migrate anywhere some sustained convection builds. but looking at the low level cloud lines and inflow that area has the most vorticity. of course given it being night time can see the lowest levels but still
850mb ish.

[caribsue]

last hour or so looks like a low level circ is taking shape roughly here with the recent convection building. the MLC is to the NE but not far.

recon takes off in soon at least according to the plan of the day. if they canceled it then it was not mentioned. if so the not 930Z take off is next one.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml

[img]http://s16.postimg.org/74lkpo6ud/rgb0_lalo.gif[/ig]

Wow that means that that circulation is just about east of us here in Barbados

its quite likely. watch the convection in that area over the next few hours. a LLC can form or migrate anywhere some sustained convection builds. but looking at the low level cloud lines and inflow that area has the most vorticity. of course given it being night time can see the lowest levels but still
850mb ish.

Thank you Aric, just there are people here starting to let their guards down saying danger over it's headed north and will miss us....