ATL: MATTHEW - Models

[AutoPenalti]

Euro is still hindering on that phantom low...

[blp]

Watch it get slung back to the NW on the next image.

[LarryWx]

Whereas the 12Z Euro isn't showing a west trend as of hour 96, notice that the NE ridge is setting up to be stronger. This may make make it interesting for the CONUS in later maps.

[NDG]

The weird thing about the Euro is that it has even a stronger ridge than the GFS has at 72-96 hr but it has it tracking NNE, weird.

[Evil Jeremy]

Watch it get slung back to the NW on the next image.

Nope! Heads just east of due north. In line with it's equivalent point from yesterday's 12z run.

[blp]

Watch it get slung back to the NW on the next image.

Nope! Heads just east of due north. In line with it's equivalent point from yesterday's 12z run.

Watch the next one. The ridge is filling in much faster on this run. It is going to move at least to the NNW.

[OntarioEggplant]

Unless the Euro is about to shoot it WNW, this path makes zero sense

[SouthFLTropics]

Straight north at 120 into the Bahamas. Heights rising directly to the north. This might get trapped. May have to wait for the next trough to kick it out.

[wxmann_91]

The weird thing about the Euro is that it has even a stronger ridge than the GFS has at 72-96 hr but it has it tracking NNE, weird.

It's developing a separate area of low pressure south of Bermuda that creates just enough weakness to pull this northeast. Not sure how valid that low is, but it's something to watch.

[Alyono]

Like the Canadian, it is developing the wave east of Matthew, which allows a recurve

The models have been overdeveloping this feature for some time

[blp]

I think this one will be similar to yesterday's 12z with a NNW heading and then kicks out.

[LarryWx]

Based on the significantly stronger NE ridge at hour 120, i'm expecing the 12Z Euro to be west of the 0Z Euro shortly and west of yesterday's 12Z run later.

[PTrackerLA]

Ridging is much stronger to the north and east this run at 120hrs. Will it make a difference?

[drezee]

Watch it get slung back to the NW on the next image.

Nope! Heads just east of due north. In line with it's equivalent point from yesterday's 12z run.

It doesn't matter down there upstream is a new ball game folks

[SouthFLTropics]

Like the Canadian, it is developing the wave east of Matthew, which allows a recurve

The models have been overdeveloping this feature for some time

The CMC though kept Matthew closer to the CONUS, even with the development of that low.

[TheStormExpert]

The weird thing about the Euro is that it has even a stronger ridge than the GFS has at 72-96 hr but it has it tracking NNE, weird.

It's developing a separate area of low pressure south of Bermuda that creates just enough weakness to pull this northeast. Not sure how valid that low is, but it's something to watch.

The GFS and CMC are showing this low too I believe.

[Aric Dunn]

you all notice a much larger spread in the GFSL members for the 12z.. with quite a few showing that nw turn starting in the bahamas similar to the UKMET>...

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

Here we go again.

[SouthFLTropics]

Hour 144...Headed NW...Oh boy!!!