ATL: MATTHEW - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
pgoss11
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 702
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 3:55 pm

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3541 Postby pgoss11 » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:12 pm

This run is way to close for comfort. Any more west trends and Florida is under the gun..probably even the Carolinas
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20036
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3542 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:12 pm

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
CalmBeforeStorm
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 600
Age: 72
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2004 7:55 pm
Location: Stuart, Florida

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3543 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:12 pm

So I shouldn't be worried in Stuart Florida now???? :double:
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3544 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:13 pm

Blown Away wrote:126 hrs... Cat 4 @100 miles E of Florida... NNW movement... Cat 4

:eek: a couple of more shifts and SE Florida is getting hurricane conditions based on GFS
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3545 Postby wxmann_91 » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:13 pm

Thumb ridge developing north of Matthew. Going to be really close.
0 likes   

User avatar
BensonTCwatcher
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1046
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:11 pm
Location: Southport NC

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3546 Postby BensonTCwatcher » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:14 pm

Hey were did the escape path low go? That looks like a blocking ridge
0 likes   

User avatar
FLpanhandle91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1035
Age: 34
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 3:50 pm
Location: Fort Walton Beach, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3547 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:14 pm

Image
0 likes   

Socalhurcnegirl227
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 267
Age: 36
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2016 6:39 pm
Location: Santa Barbara, CA

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3548 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:14 pm

According to a tweet from @ryanmaue four minutes ago

"As eye continues to clear, hurricane matthew has satellite appearance of almost catagory 5. Waiting on recon..."
0 likes   
"I'm a wandress, i'm a one night stand,
dont belong to no city, dont belong to no man
i'm the violence in the pouring rain,
I'm a hurricane"

User avatar
TheDreamTraveler
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 642
Joined: Sun Aug 22, 2010 3:10 am
Location: PA

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3549 Postby TheDreamTraveler » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:15 pm

Huge shift west

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10165
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3550 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:15 pm

132 hrs... 100 miles E of Vero... Might be Cat 5 or very close...
Last edited by Blown Away on Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

User avatar
FLpanhandle91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1035
Age: 34
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 3:50 pm
Location: Fort Walton Beach, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3551 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:16 pm

hour 132 :eek: :eek: :eek:

Image
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20036
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3552 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:16 pm

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3553 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:16 pm

No escape. Heading NNW parallel to the sloped East Florida coast. High stronger with each run. Matthew slower and more west with each run.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3554 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:17 pm

CalmBeforeStorm wrote:So I shouldn't be worried in Stuart Florida now???? :double:


Not many will know where that besides us. :lol:
0 likes   
GATOR NATION IS E V E R Y W H E R E !

User avatar
TheDreamTraveler
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 642
Joined: Sun Aug 22, 2010 3:10 am
Location: PA

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3555 Postby TheDreamTraveler » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:17 pm

Still moving closer to Florida at hour 144. Wow
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20036
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3556 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:18 pm

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

OuterBanker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1750
Joined: Wed Feb 26, 2003 10:53 am
Location: Nags Head, NC
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3557 Postby OuterBanker » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:18 pm

On vacation at the pool in Myrtle Beach. Been gone all afternoon. Last check had Matthew safely OTS before approaching NC and points north as well as safely off FL and the conus. Is that still the scenario? I feel sorry for the islands. But I pray that the conus is out of the picture.
0 likes   

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10165
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3558 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:18 pm

144 hrs... Cat 5 just E of Cape Canaveral... NNW movement... :eek: :eek:
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3559 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:18 pm

This sums up the past three GFS runs:

Image
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

TimeZone

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3560 Postby TimeZone » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:19 pm

This is gonna be real close for someone.... still don't think we'll see a landfall this run, but the trend is worrisome.
0 likes   


Return to “2016”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests