ATL: MATTHEW - Models

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

landfall in Eastern Long Island then on to Rhode Island again I see.

[TheDreamTraveler]

I think this is the 4th run in a row of the GFS showing it getting captured into the Northeast now. It just carves out the entire east coast and makes landfall in the northeast.

[Dean4Storms]

Now that was an epic model run!

[Hurricaneman]

I hope the Euro doesn't show a Florida landfall on up through the Carolinas as a major, it is worth watching the 0ZEuro come out

[RL3AO]

I can't believe that trough just went negative tilt and did that. Matthew takes the scenic coastal tour of the entire eastern CONUS that run.

That next trough looks like a beast. Strongest of the season so far.

[NC George]

So it's not just Florida in the US that might be sweating bullets in the coming days..

Any time Florida is in the crosshairs, I'm always worried here in NC, a la Floyd.

[ConvergenceZone]

Now that was an epic model run!

Agreed. That was a serious epic model run. It will be interesting to see if the EURO trends West. Still expecting an out to sea run with the EURO, but let's see if it goes further west

[AxaltaRacing24]

 https://twitter.com/Weathermansam77/status/782077583659769856

[Bocadude85]

Am I missing something?
David came ashore, Matthew still looks offshore

David DID NOT come ashore in SFL.. it skirted the coast and went north.. that's what I was referring to.

It was along the coast at Jensen Beach. We are parsing words here.
Suffice to say; my point is that the model run doesn't even show Matthew at the coast.

Hurricane David made landfall in Palm Beach County

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_David#

[BobHarlem]

Man that GFS run with that intensity would force almost all the Southeast coast to evacuate.

[SunnyThoughts]

Man that GFS run with that intensity would force almost all the Southeast coast to evacuate.

Yeah, can you imagine the multitude of power outages and evacuations that would have to happen? Mindboggling

[AxaltaRacing24]

Man that GFS run with that intensity would force almost all the Southeast coast to evacuate.

Yeah, can you imagine the multitude of power outages and evacuations that would have to happen? Mindboggling

With another shift west SFL's evacuations next week would make Rita look like lunch hour traffic considering the drought.

[Hurricaneman]

SE coast, it would cause mass evacs from Miami to Boston

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

EC does a stall @222 hours, does a shift to the SSW, suggesting the hurricane encounters a different steering environment @ 222hrs.

[northjaxpro]

My Lord, I have been in this business for a long while, but folks in my memory, I can not ever recall seeing such an intense Cat 5 tropical cyclone being modeled by one of our major models knocking on.the doorstep of the Florida East Coast within 5 days. That was a frightening run!!


No question this will most definitely grab the attention of everyone! Man I pray something comes like a deep trough pulls this beast away. Too discomforting for yours truly

[fci]

My Lord, I have been in this business for a long while, but folks in my memory, I can not ever recall seeing such an intense Cat 5 tropical cyclone being modeled by one of our major models knocking on.the doorstep of the Florida East Coast within 5 days. That was a frightening run!!


No question this will most definitely grab the attention of everyone! Man I pray something comes like a deep trough pulls this beast away. Too discomforting for yours truly

I think that the last one was Floyd

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

SE coast, it would cause mass evacs from Miami to Boston

If it hits at high tide, well I don't even want to think of the storm surge in places such as Buzzards Bay south of Boston. I also hope most of the strength is spent by the time it gets here, if it gets here. My inlet, on the east shore of Passamaquoddy Bay, is prone to flood at the best of times.

[shah83]

What scared me the most about this run is the rain up north. Does a Joaquin, but faster and over a larger area of land. The rainfall totals will be lower, but the speed of accumulation, from about Tidewater, all the way to Quebec City will create deadly flash floods over a huge area. Way worse than Irene or Igor. Hudson River Valley would be horribly impacted as well.

[Blinhart]

Looks Like Matthew might just want take a ride along I-95 or even the new bike path that is getting built from Miami to Portland, Me. This could cause catastrophic damage and deaths and become the most deadly and costly storm in history.

[HurricaneFrances04]

I remember Ike was a 5 day threat to SE Florida . In fact, there was a NHC forecast or 2 that showed landfall near Miami as a major hurricane.