ATL: MATTHEW - Models
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
The trend here is that the ridge is stronger every run.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
looking start new cmc taking more west toward Jamaica ok what going with cmc?http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=watl&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2016100200&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=212
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
I think it's too fast so the trend is meaningless, but we should know in a day or so. Position is nearly a day ahead for the euro and as wxman97 pointed out this is why the solutions are different.


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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
00z GFS... @50 mile W shift through 120 hours... Go figure... 

Last edited by Blown Away on Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
126hrs, similar location to last run, but upper pattern is different from 18z run
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
toad strangler wrote:Through 96
Very close
Too close for a four day run!!! Especially with the current uncertainty.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Now east of previous run. I'm done for the night. Hopefully we have more clarity tomorrow.


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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Trough faster this run. Should keep it far enough off of the Carolinas to keep hurricane force winds offshore.
Will have to wait and see on New England
Will have to wait and see on New England
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
FLpanhandle91 wrote:Literally identical to 18z in terms of location at 126 hours.
Yeah, headed towards the Carolinas it would appear.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
my weather man say track depend if high build faster to west and forecast
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Alyono wrote:Trough faster this run. Should keep it far enough off of the Carolinas to keep hurricane force winds offshore.
Will have to wait and see on New England
Matt is also faster than 18z...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
.
Last edited by toad strangler on Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
toad strangler wrote:Funny run. A bit West closer to FL and then East away from SC / NC
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
174 looks like an OTS. Hopefully the upper pattern doesn't get blocky so it won't turn back to new England 

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
The UKMET windshield wipering continues
HURRICANE MATTHEW ANALYSED POSITION : 13.2N 73.6W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 02.10.2016 0 13.2N 73.6W 993 43
1200UTC 02.10.2016 12 14.1N 74.3W 993 47
0000UTC 03.10.2016 24 14.5N 75.2W 990 42
1200UTC 03.10.2016 36 15.6N 75.0W 982 55
0000UTC 04.10.2016 48 17.0N 74.3W 975 60
1200UTC 04.10.2016 60 18.9N 73.9W 974 59
0000UTC 05.10.2016 72 20.7N 73.9W 975 62
1200UTC 05.10.2016 84 22.2N 74.4W 975 62
0000UTC 06.10.2016 96 23.6N 75.0W 972 63
1200UTC 06.10.2016 108 24.9N 75.7W 965 71
0000UTC 07.10.2016 120 26.4N 75.9W 956 71
1200UTC 07.10.2016 132 27.7N 76.1W 949 72
0000UTC 08.10.2016 144 28.9N 75.9W 944 73
HURRICANE MATTHEW ANALYSED POSITION : 13.2N 73.6W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 02.10.2016 0 13.2N 73.6W 993 43
1200UTC 02.10.2016 12 14.1N 74.3W 993 47
0000UTC 03.10.2016 24 14.5N 75.2W 990 42
1200UTC 03.10.2016 36 15.6N 75.0W 982 55
0000UTC 04.10.2016 48 17.0N 74.3W 975 60
1200UTC 04.10.2016 60 18.9N 73.9W 974 59
0000UTC 05.10.2016 72 20.7N 73.9W 975 62
1200UTC 05.10.2016 84 22.2N 74.4W 975 62
0000UTC 06.10.2016 96 23.6N 75.0W 972 63
1200UTC 06.10.2016 108 24.9N 75.7W 965 71
0000UTC 07.10.2016 120 26.4N 75.9W 956 71
1200UTC 07.10.2016 132 27.7N 76.1W 949 72
0000UTC 08.10.2016 144 28.9N 75.9W 944 73
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
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