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ATL: MATTHEW - Models
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
18Z GFS running
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
GFS more NW at 36 hours by just a hair.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Raebie wrote:Did it just go right over Jamaica?
That's a trend animation from previous runs to the current run. Current run is east of Jamaica.
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weathaguyry
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Kind of like a slower version of the 6z run IMO, lets see, because 6z had a catastrophic situation for the OBX all the way up to the NE
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
yes that was sept 30th 06z it went over jamaica but still kept it of fl coast.Raebie wrote:Thanks. And thank God.
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alienstorm
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
GFS@ Hr 54 shows much more High Pressure to the north of Matthew
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Appears NW of 12z with ironically slightly less ridging at 60 hours.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
alienstorm wrote:GFS@ Hr 54 shows much more High Pressure to the north of Matthew
Yes it does and it looks like Matthew almost makes an immediate NW turn after crossing Cuba
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
alienstorm wrote:GFS@ Hr 54 shows much more High Pressure to the north of Matthew
I see less...am I missing something???
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Kazmit
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Gets really uncertain after exiting the Bahamas. Models stretch from the East Coast all the way to Bermuda.
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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brunota2003
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
sandy18 wrote:brunota2003 wrote:A 936mb hurricane making landfall directly over MHX (Newport/Morehead City, NC NWS office) right at 00Z (they are an upper air site.........) at hour 138. Starting to get into the "Uh oh" realm...
I live in Newport NC getting a little worried here
Just make sure you check over your hurricane plans and supplies over the next couple of days! I grew up in Havelock, right down the road from you!
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
identical at 78 hours.
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Aric Dunn wrote:identical at 78 hours.
Looks like less ridging to the north. Matthew crawling through the Bahamas.
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Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Aric Dunn wrote:identical at 78 hours.
Yep, but the ridge to the NE is a little weaker due to a stronger low off of the NE US. Maybe this will mean a more eastward track later vs the 12Z GFS?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
A tiny bit east at hour 90:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=atl&pkg=z500aNorm&runtime=2016100218&fh=90&xpos=0&ypos=200
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=atl&pkg=z500aNorm&runtime=2016100218&fh=90&xpos=0&ypos=200
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Trend
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