
ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Heck! The 00z GFS didn't even initialize the intensity right, 967mb? 

0 likes
- toad strangler
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4544
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
- Location: Earth
- Contact:
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
0z GFS shows Matthew kind of going back and forth between NW and NE jogs ... through 24 hours and favoring the Hati side of the gap.
0 likes
My Weather Station
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
- toad strangler
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4544
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
- Location: Earth
- Contact:
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Through 30 hours ... BOOM .. The W side of Hati devastated ... essentially the same spot as 0z last night and 12z this afternoon.


0 likes
My Weather Station
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
- DESTRUCTION5
- Category 5
- Posts: 4423
- Age: 43
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
- Location: Stuart, FL
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
toad strangler wrote:Through 30 hours ... BOOM .. The W side of Hati devastated
This Frame right here should be enough to retire Matthew come season end.
0 likes
GATOR NATION IS E V E R Y W H E R E !
- toad strangler
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4544
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
- Location: Earth
- Contact:
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Extreme E tip of Cuba through 42. Matthew doing his best to avoid terra firma.


0 likes
My Weather Station
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... ypos=254.4
NOT liking what I think i'm seeing. Copy/paste this 54 hr. GFS. At least temporarily looks to be tilting NW now.
NOT liking what I think i'm seeing. Copy/paste this 54 hr. GFS. At least temporarily looks to be tilting NW now.
0 likes
Andy D
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
- toad strangler
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4544
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
- Location: Earth
- Contact:
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
GFS on track with recent runs through 54


0 likes
My Weather Station
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
- toad strangler
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4544
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
- Location: Earth
- Contact:
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Through 60 hours 00z GFS right on track (maybe a touch NE) with previous runs today into the C Bahamas
0 likes
My Weather Station
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
72 hr. No change. Steadfast and nearly exactly on its same prior 18Z and 12Z run location. I wont bother to post the 72 map given the zero variance from the previous run.
0 likes
Andy D
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
-
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 35
- Joined: Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:28 am
- Location: Extra-Tropical-London, UK
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
78hrs has it slightly NW of 18z path. Wonder if that's going to continue shortly.
0 likes
Disclaimer: I am by no means even remotely a professional meteorologist, I'm just a Brit interested in tropical weather in the Atlantic. Always refer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) or National Weather Service (NWS) for professional advice.
- toad strangler
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4544
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
- Location: Earth
- Contact:
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
72 hours


0 likes
My Weather Station
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4806
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
- Location: South Florida
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Alyono, I know you are around here somewhere. Please talk some sense into the Ukmet before posting it.
Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk
1 likes
- toad strangler
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4544
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
- Location: Earth
- Contact:
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
84 hours slightly more progressive to the NNW


0 likes
My Weather Station
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
The logic of 00z GFS seems like: stronger ridge -> stronger steering -> a little faster movement for Matthew
0 likes
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Link below for 84hr. 0Z GFS. Very very consistent with its prior runs. Looks to be about 936mb at this point. 90 hr. just came out and Matthew seems to be behaving nicely with not surprises on this model run. Looks like, next stop Carolina's. Lets hope it doesn't pull any surprises here either.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... ypos=254.4
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... ypos=254.4
0 likes
Andy D
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
MU is significantly faster this run. This MAY allow it to get a little closer to the coast before making its northeast turn
0 likes
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
WHYB630 wrote:The logic of 00z GFS seems like: stronger ridge -> stronger steering -> a little faster movement for Matthew
Pretty much. I'm just hoping that GFS aptly has the trajectory motion right. Hopefully Matthew pulls north quickly enough before high pressure begins to not only build to its east, but before high pressure builds in strong enough to the storms north which could pose the risk of a more pronounced WNW or NW motion.
108 hr's now - still pacing on prior course more or less, moving NNW toward Carolina's with a hint of a more northward component maybe.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... ypos=254.4
0 likes
Andy D
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
- PTrackerLA
- Category 5
- Posts: 5277
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
- Location: Lafayette, LA
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Trough coming out of the Rockies is quite a bit slower and less amplified this run.
0 likes
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
00z GFS t@114: Ridge, Mid-west trough, NE high are ALL different from 18z run. Let's see how all play the role


0 likes
- FLpanhandle91
- Category 5
- Posts: 1033
- Age: 34
- Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 3:50 pm
- Location: Fort Walton Beach, FL
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Gonna smack OBX this run. Ridge difference is night and day from 18z.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests