ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Sav_hurricane_hunter]

Overmight have the models trended East or West? And how accurate is the Australian Model I recently have just started hearing people mention?

[SouthernBreeze]

Break-off Blob headed to Haiti & DR.
From what I remember from a previuous Blob in Florida, there could be embedded high-helicity winds and a possibility of tornadoes.
I hope it collapses before landfall.

Looks like Matt split the blob & slung half of it up to Hispaniola - interesting! What's gonna happen to the other half a blob?

[jlauderdal]

Overmight have the models trended East or West? And how accurate is the Australian Model I recently have just started hearing people mention?

west..we dont know much about the aussie model, this will be a test case...follow nhc track

[jlauderdal]

A westward the models will go, I knew there was no way this was gonna go due North and then NNE.

weel it hasnt verfied yet but where do you think its going after cuba?

[TheStormExpert]

Better start-up that generator jlauderdal!

[Ken711]

A westward the models will go, I knew there was no way this was gonna go due North and then NNE.

It's only one Euro run, I still think it moves more north along the OBX of NC and VA.

[jlauderdal]

Better start-up that generator jlauderdal!

Seems we are heading that direction

[drewschmaltz]

It looks like that blob that Matthew held onto is going to cause major problems. Half has split up ahead which means heavy rainfall is basically starting now for Haiti. Half remains behind and will continue the onslaught. Correct me if I'm wrong but this is a very bad setup at the moment.

[BobHarlem]

It looks like that blob that Matthew held onto is going to cause major problems. Half has split up ahead which means heavy rainfall is basically starting now for Haiti. Half remains behind and will continue the onslaught. Correct me if I'm wrong but this is a very bad setup at the moment.

Haiti, and to a lesser degree Jamaica (which is also starting to get flooding) will have insane rates of rainfull from now until Wednesday morning. Bad is an understatement.

[SapphireSea]

The low over NY is digging SE again and looks to be reinforced by something coming down from the Arctic. At the same time the trough in gulf is being pinched and might cut off to an upper low. Another low in the Rockies progressing fast, we will need to see how it affects things. But looks to favor a pick up OTS.

On the flip side of this it seems that the Bermuda High is holding its position. We will have to see if it retreats any further or if it's able to hold and build. Still not clear cut yet.

[Ken711]

The low over NY is digging SE again and looks to be reinforced by something coming down from the Arctic. At the same time the trough in gulf is being pinched and might cut off to an upper low. Another low in the Rockies progressing fast, we will need to see how it affects things. But looks to favor a pick up OTS.

On the flip side of this it seems that the Bermuda High is holding its position. We will have to see if it retreats any further or if it's able to hold and build. Still not clear cut yet.

I wonder if Invest 98L could still factor into lessening the Bermuda High.

[guyclaude08]

Good Morning you guys, why on this site the picture shows a Cat 3 hurricane when on NHC website it says it's still a Cat 4 ??

[SapphireSea]

The low over NY is digging SE again and looks to be reinforced by something coming down from the Arctic. At the same time the trough in gulf is being pinched and might cut off to an upper low. Another low in the Rockies progressing fast, we will need to see how it affects things. But looks to favor a pick up OTS.

On the flip side of this it seems that the Bermuda High is holding its position. We will have to see if it retreats any further or if it's able to hold and build. Still not clear cut yet.

I wonder if Invest 98L could still factor into lessening the Bermuda High.

Certainly something to watch for. But so far it has been kind of disorganized, but I do see some more convection over it last few hours. The high axis is not weakening or moving much at the moment so it's still a non factor.

[SouthDadeFish]

IR satellite imagery shows convection in the inner-core of Matthew has intensified this morning. However, the eye still isn't completely cleared out.



I'm beginning to to wonder what role the slow forward motion of the storm played yesterday in warming the IR brightness temperatures. Now that forward motion has picked up a bit, the brightness temperatures have cooled.

[Rail Dawg]

One question right now is will the name Matthew be retired after this is all over or will it be used on another hurricane in the future?

[GCANE]

Interesting, the Breakoff Blob pretty much went poof as it hit Haiti.

[ThetaE]

IR satellite imagery shows convection in the inner-core of Matthew has intensified this morning. However, the eye still isn't completely cleared out.



I'm beginning to to wonder what role the slow forward motion of the storm played yesterday in warming the IR brightness temperatures. Now that forward motion has picked up a bit, the brightness temperatures have cooled.

Certainly, Matthew's intensified over the past few hours. Recon's about to do their first pass, so we'll see if he is stronger (or more likely, how much stronger he is).

[jhpigott]

NWS calling for "possible tropical storm conditions" Thursday and Friday in my locale (Juno Beach/Jupiter Inlet)

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... _JFUGD2aUk

[toad strangler]

NWS calling for "possible tropical storm conditions" Thursday and Friday in my locale (Juno Beach/Jupiter Inlet)

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... _JFUGD2aUk

Ditto in Port St. Lucie. At this point it's probably prudent to do it so it stays in peoples minds.

[wxman57]

NWS calling for "possible tropical storm conditions" Thursday and Friday in my locale (Juno Beach/Jupiter Inlet)

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... _JFUGD2aUk

That's "possible", but it's not currently predicted to occur. Looks like Matthew will track far enough east of southern Florida to keep TS winds offshore. NC could see 40-50 mph winds on Saturday, given the current forecast. Of course, a track closer to the NC coast during the turn could mean a lot higher winds there.