ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

I have to admit I am quite surprised NHC dix not o st Hurricane Watches at 11:00 advisory., especially given more west shift of the track closer I to the penonsula even more. Alot of time is going to be needed to evacuate the areas all up and down the Florida East Coast.

[artist]

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FOR THOSE THAT ARE NEW TO HURRICANES IN THE AREAS TO POSSIBlY BE IMPACTED-

Storm2k seasoned hurricane riders have been putting lists together for years and all sorts of useful information for newbies in the
Hurricane Preparations Forum at link above. Remember is it better to prepare and not get hit than to not prepare and be caught with your pants down.
Also, there are threads regarding what to do for your pets as well. If you are ordered to evacuate-don't leave them behind. There are shelters that will take them. Be prepared. Don't panic. And good luck and prayers to all.

[SeGaBob]

Local met said the track shifted east at it's closest approach to Ga. That didn't sound right to me...

[Patrick99]

Yeah, it's not like anyone can do anything at 11pm, anyway. Might as well wait. Plus..while I get what the discussion said, I'd like to see it actually make a significant left turn before going into prep mode.

[sponger]

Hopefully the current strengthening cycle is over. The eye is no longer clear and Haiti needs a break.

[weathaguyry]

I have family near Cooper City, in Broward. They are pretty far inland, what should they do to prepare?

Fuel all vehicles, make sure hurricans supplies up to date (canned food/water)

Thank you! I will contact them right now.

[psyclone]

Will boca raton, delray and boynton beach get hurricane force winds.

West Palm shows a 1 in 5 shot at hurricane force winds per the latest advisory

[JaxGator]

The expect weakening due to shear as it approaches Florida so maybe a bit of good news there.

Hope so (for the Carolinas) but Matthew would approach Florida by 72-84 hours (3-3 1/2 days) before the shear would kick in.

[CourierPR]

I have to admit I am quite surprised NHC dix not o st Hurricane Watches at 11:00 advisory., especiallt given the morewest shift of the track. A lot of time isgoi g to be needed to evacuate the areas all up and down the Florida East Coast.

Remember, there is still time for that and those decisions are the money decisions in the millions of dollars range. NHC has to be careful.

[eastcoastFL]

Im in southern martin county and I'm trying to decide if I should go around putting up shutters tomorrow evening.

My local forecast shows TS conditions thursday and hurricane conditions possible thursday night.

The shift west with the models has me a bit on edge but I'm still hoping for this thing to stay far off our shores.

Btw: I've been around this community since 2002 mainly just reading but Im an avid weather watcher and enjoy tracking these storms and trying my hand at amateur meteorology during hurricane season and our active thunderstorm season here in SFLA.

I'm in Martin County as well, Jensen Beach area. We're planning on putting up the shutters after work tomorrow. Better safe than sorry!

Thats what I'll probably end up doing tomorrow after work. I have to do them for a few family members so it'll be a busy day. Wonder if the stores will get crazy tomorrow...

[caneseddy]

Already went to Publix and got my supplies so good to go...all I need is to get gas which I'll get tomorrow night after work and class (unless FIU cancels classes tomorrow night)...parents are coming during the day to help with the shutters while I'm at work; I'm ready for what may happen..hoping for the best

[WPBWeather]

I have to admit I am quite surprised NHC dix not o st Hurricane Watches at 11:00 advisory., especiallt given the morewest shift of the track. A lot of time isgoi g to be needed to evacuate the areas all up and down the Florida East Coast.

Remember, there is still time for that and those decisions are the money decisions in the millions of dollars range. NHC has to be careful.

Hope its only millions...

[miamijaaz]

I have to admit I am quite surprised NHC dix not o st Hurricane Watches at 11:00 advisory., especially given more west shift of the track closer I to the penonsula even more. Alot of time is going to be needed to evacuate the areas all up and down the Florida East Coast.

Again, I think the Keys are factoring into that decision. While the current models don't seem to pose a direct threat to the Keys, they HAVE been trending West all day. I suspect they want one more model run to see if the West trend continues before settling on where to place Hurricane Watches. If I am not mistaken, a Hurricane Watch on the Keys triggers a mandatory evacuation, so it's not a decision to make haphazardly. On the other hand, it takes 48 hours or so to evacuate the Keys...

[Blown Away]

Very tough track to buy along Florida East Coast... Storm coming into Florida from the SE during October is so rare, makes it hard to buy!!! I guess Matt is setting a new record no matter what...

[CrazyC83]

I have to admit I am quite surprised NHC dix not o st Hurricane Watches at 11:00 advisory., especially given more west shift of the track closer I to the penonsula even more. Alot of time is going to be needed to evacuate the areas all up and down the Florida East Coast.

Again, I think the Keys are factoring into that decision. While the current models don't seem to pose a direct threat to the Keys, they HAVE been trending West all day. I suspect they want one more model run to see if the West trend continues before settling on where to place Hurricane Watches. If I am not mistaken, a Hurricane Watch on the Keys triggers a mandatory evacuation, so it's not a decision to make haphazardly. On the other hand, it takes 48 hours or so to evacuate the Keys...

Assuming models settle down, a Tropical Storm Watch should be sufficient for the Keys, with the Hurricane Watch starting at the Card Sound Bridge.

[Blown Away]

I have to admit I am quite surprised NHC dix not o st Hurricane Watches at 11:00 advisory., especially given more west shift of the track closer I to the penonsula even more. Alot of time is going to be needed to evacuate the areas all up and down the Florida East Coast.

Again, I think the Keys are factoring into that decision. While the current models don't seem to pose a direct threat to the Keys, they HAVE been trending West all day. I suspect they want one more model run to see if the West trend continues before settling on where to place Hurricane Watches. If I am not mistaken, a Hurricane Watch on the Keys triggers a mandatory evacuation, so it's not a decision to make haphazardly. On the other hand, it takes 48 hours or so to evacuate the Keys...

I guess you error on caution to make folks alert, but no guidance even comes close to the Keys...

[Evil Jeremy]

I have to admit I am quite surprised NHC dix not o st Hurricane Watches at 11:00 advisory., especially given more west shift of the track closer I to the penonsula even more. Alot of time is going to be needed to evacuate the areas all up and down the Florida East Coast.

Again, I think the Keys are factoring into that decision. While the current models don't seem to pose a direct threat to the Keys, they HAVE been trending West all day. I suspect they want one more model run to see if the West trend continues before settling on where to place Hurricane Watches. If I am not mistaken, a Hurricane Watch on the Keys triggers a mandatory evacuation, so it's not a decision to make haphazardly. On the other hand, it takes 48 hours or so to evacuate the Keys...

Even worse, they will be at the bottom of the evacuation pile. They have nowhere to go but North, and will have to put up with the rest of the Floridians also evacuating.

[stephen23]

To me it appears the EWRC has almost completed and eye is beginning to clear out again. Also an uptick of heavy convection starting in feeder bands. Still appears to be strengthening to me

[sponger]

If this stays off Florida, the impacts will be manageable. The idea of it coming in South of me reminds me of spending 3 days on the dirty side of Francis. It was not pleasant. Neither was losing power for a week. That was Tropical Storm force winds. This could be a lot worse. Tomorrow will be a big update for the state.

[SouthFLTropics]

Very tough track to buy along Florida East Coast... Storm coming into Florida from the SE during October is so rare, makes it hard to buy!!! I guess Matt is setting a new record no matter what...

I agree that it is a tough sell...But based on the scientific data this is what it shows. Normally an approaching storm from the SE in October will get safely kicked out to sea but right now we are running about 3-4 weeks behind for Fall. Step outside tonight and feel the humidity. It feels like August out there.