ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[AxaltaRacing24]

Very tough track to buy along Florida East Coast... Storm coming into Florida from the SE during October is so rare, makes it hard to buy!!! I guess Matt is setting a new record no matter what...

This is not really an October pattern though. Not yet at least.

[abajan]

Very tough track to buy along Florida East Coast... Storm coming into Florida from the SE during October is so rare, makes it hard to buy!!! I guess Matt is setting a new record no matter what...

Just don't let climatology cloud your thinking. Current conditions trump climatology.

[miamijaaz]

Agree with you both. That said, I sure don't want to be the NHC right now having to make that decision...

[RL3AO]

The current track is still about 72 hours from SE Florida. Even watches tomorrow is going to be fairly early.

[TimeZone]

Not looking quite as impressive as it did a couple of hours ago. Perhaps intensity has leveled off.

[AutoPenalti]

Very tough track to buy along Florida East Coast... Storm coming into Florida from the SE during October is so rare, makes it hard to buy!!! I guess Matt is setting a new record no matter what...

Just don't let climatology cloud your thinking. Current conditions trump climatology.

This. This. And a million times this.

[CrazyC83]

Regarding storms from the SE in October, Hurricane King in 1950 is a good analog for that.

[fci]

Looks like NHC wants to wait until 5am to make a decision on watches/warnings for Florida coast. Don't blame them, but it's cutting it close.

Makes total sense. Watches when your are 48 hours out and that's about right.
Besides not much would happen overnight so the difference between 11:00 PM and 5:00 AM is negligible.
I'm not doing shutters until Wednesday even if there is a watch on Tuesday.
just checked the "how close will it be" and for me in Palm Beach County it is 90 miles at 1:00 AM Friday down from 119 miles from the 5:00 PM and 197 miles from the 11:00 AM.
Getting too close for comfort and the trend is not being my friend.

[Floridagal]

I have family near Cooper City, in Broward. They are pretty far inland, what should they do to prepare?

The obvious things-food, water, gas, batteries, flashlight, candles. A weather radio. Power outages can happen fairly quickly even inland as trees go down. Tornadoes are a very real possibility...you will want to monitor this. I make sure my yard is free of anything that can blow around or away. A manual can opener-learned that lesson the hard way after Charley. People are going to go through far, far worse, but I was without power for 9 days after Charley. It is unpleasant to say the least. Have the basic necessities and you'll adapt.

[sponger]

Any one remember these fun times? Hurricane Frances 2004

Florida Power and Light reported power outages occurred to 659,000 customer in Palm Beach, 590,000 in Broward, 423,000 in Miami-Dade, 39,200 in Collier, 2,500 in Hendry and 1,700 in Collier. An estimated 17,000 persons sought refuge in public shelters in Palm Beach County and nearly 7,000 in Broward County.

[TJRE]

subtle reminder of possible impacts upstream

48hr qpf


http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif

[JPmia]

I have family near Cooper City, in Broward. They are pretty far inland, what should they do to prepare?

The obvious things-food, water, gas, batteries, flashlight, candles. A weather radio. Power outages can happen fairly quickly even inland as trees go down. Tornadoes are a very real possibility...you will want to monitor this. I make sure my yard is free of anything that can blow around or away. A manual can opener-learned that lesson the hard way after Charley. People are going to go through far, far worse, but I was without power for 9 days after Charley. It is unpleasant to say the least. Have the basic necessities and you'll adapt.

Yes to all of the above and most importantly they need to be prepared to cover the openings in the house with shutters or plywood. Be prepared to install them if a warning is issued. There's a lot of preparation work when covering the windows, finding the screws, aligning the holes, fixing any issues, etc. Most folks have probably not touched their shutters for 10 years down here.. so some will be surprised when they don't go on smoothly.

[ozonepete]

Very tough track to buy along Florida East Coast... Storm coming into Florida from the SE during October is so rare, makes it hard to buy!!! I guess Matt is setting a new record no matter what...

Just don't let climatology cloud your thinking. Current conditions trump climatology.

Absolutely right my friend!

[SeGaBob]

Local met said the track shifted east at it's closest approach to Ga. That didn't sound right to me...

Anyone want to clear this up for me?

[AutoPenalti]

Ridge is weakening at 6 hours

[CourierPR]

Ridge is weakening at 6 hours

Yes, but it strengthened prior to that.

[ozonepete]

This has completed the turn north and so now can dominate over the "blob" to the east. Look at it already. It's a whale...

[marciacubed]

Any one remember these fun times? Hurricane Frances 2004

Florida Power and Light reported power outages occurred to 659,000 customer in Palm Beach, 590,000 in Broward, 423,000 in Miami-Dade, 39,200 in Collier, 2,500 in Hendry and 1,700 in Collier. An estimated 17,000 persons sought refuge in public shelters in Palm Beach County and nearly 7,000 in Broward County.

Remember it well we were out of power almost 2 weeks and then Jeanne came through and we were out of power for another 2 weeks

[AdamFirst]

This has completed the turn north and so now can dominate over the "blob" to the east. Look at it already. It's a whale...
http://i189.photobucket.com/albums/z174 ... pbx8yr.gif

Quite an interesting little appendage it's carried over the past few days. Hispaniola will probably rip it off tonight though.

[Exalt]

Is this going through an ERC or is this just effects from being close to land? The eye is looking jumbled and like it's caving after having shrunk again, almost like a new eyewall is forming. I'd expect a new (likely bigger) eye after landfall and reintensification, yet it looks like something is happening prior.