ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Alyono]

very strong rainband moving into Port Au Prince. Likely will see mudslides with this one

[SeGaBob]

I would be about 50 miles inland from where the UKMET has it in Ga...how concerned should I be?

[Alyono]

This is the exact opposite of Joaquin. Last year, it looked for several days that Joaquin would hit the East Coast. It wasn't until 12 hours before a Hurricane Watch was needed that it became clear that it would miss.

This time, a miss was the most likely scenario. 12 hours before a watch would be needed, it became clear that it would likely hit the coast

So are you saying watches shouldn't go up until its clearer that the storm will make landfall? With a storm this size wouldn't it warrant watches even if it were 100 miles off the coast?

that's not even close to what I said. I said the scenario is playing out 100% in reverse of how Joaquin did last year

[floridasun78]

on twitter i saw pic publix supermarket getting busy

[eastcoastFL]

This is the exact opposite of Joaquin. Last year, it looked for several days that Joaquin would hit the East Coast. It wasn't until 12 hours before a Hurricane Watch was needed that it became clear that it would miss.

This time, a miss was the most likely scenario. 12 hours before a watch would be needed, it became clear that it would likely hit the coast

So are you saying watches shouldn't go up until its clearer that the storm will make landfall? With a storm this size wouldn't it warrant watches even if it were 100 miles off the coast?

that's not even close to what I said. I said the scenario is playing out 100% in reverse of how Joaquin did last year

Ok so you're saying this looked like it would stay clear of the coast and now its looking the opposite as it gets closer, right?

Im not familiar with Jaquin. Did it take a similar path?

[sponger]

There is a big nuclear power plant in Juno Beach which I think is St Lucie County. Right on the ocean. I'm sure they are well hardened against hurricanes but it always makes me nervous.

It's on Hutchinson Island in St Lucie county. Juno is Palm Beach County.

Surfed there a lot. Always a few degrees warmer!

[yzerfan]

There is a big nuclear power plant in Juno Beach which I think is St Lucie County. Right on the ocean. I'm sure they are well hardened against hurricanes but it always makes me nervous.

Remember that Turkey Point in southern Dade County took a direct hit from Andrew, and while the auxiliary areas of the plant took significant damage, the reactor proper came through just fine, and the ride out crew at the plant said that they couldn't hear the storm from the inside.

[psyclone]

It really is the opposite of Joaquin in that regard. I even remember wording in the advisories that watches would likely be needed for the US and then things trended away before any were ever issued. It's actually a great example of why not to jump the gun with watch products.

[GeneratorPower]

There is a big nuclear power plant in Juno Beach which I think is St Lucie County. Right on the ocean. I'm sure they are well hardened against hurricanes but it always makes me nervous.

Sorry not Juno Beach. Thx to other posters pointing that out. It is the St Lucie Nuclear Power Plant.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Lucie_Nuclear_Power_Plant

[eastcoastFL]

on twitter i saw pic publix supermarket getting busy

I went to Walgreens not too long ago to get batteries and it was getting busy with people looking for supplies. One lady was asking if they sell generators.... Not quite sure if she knew what store she was in.

[TimeZone]

Looking like this will be trouble for Carolina.

[floridasun78]

on twitter i saw pic publix supermarket getting busy

I went to Walgreens not too long ago to get batteries and it was getting busy with people looking for supplies. One lady was asking if they sell generators.... Not quite sure if she knew what store she was in.

someone need told her go homedopt

[WeatherEmperor]

Looking like this will be trouble for Carolina.

Looks like trouble for the entire South East coast


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[GeneratorPower]

There is a big nuclear power plant in Juno Beach which I think is St Lucie County. Right on the ocean. I'm sure they are well hardened against hurricanes but it always makes me nervous.

Remember that Turkey Point in southern Dade County took a direct hit from Andrew, and while the auxiliary areas of the plant took significant damage, the reactor proper came through just fine, and the ride out crew at the plant said that they couldn't hear the storm from the inside.

I'm sure the reactor is really safe. But it still makes me nervous.

[TimeZone]

Looking like this will be trouble for Carolina.

Looks like trouble for the entire South East coast


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Carolina in particular bite the bullet on the latest GFS.

[AdamFirst]

on twitter i saw pic publix supermarket getting busy

I went to Walgreens not too long ago to get batteries and it was getting busy with people looking for supplies. One lady was asking if they sell generators.... Not quite sure if she knew what store she was in.

If you need Chia Pets, Walgreens has got you covered...not sure about generators. Or plywood.

[northjaxpro]

For those of you going back to the time when Matthew was a pouch, I stated on several occasions that I had very uneasy feelings about this system at that time in the long range going out past 10 days. I just never even wantedto stick out myneck to venture any ideas or guesses because of so many complexities in theforecast.

So, not only did we get one of the most powerful tropical cyclones we have seen in many years in the North Atlantic basin, but my worst fears are nearly about to manifest. I hadbad vibes about this system allalo g, but to see this emerge and be at my doorstep in just less than 4 days now, I am just awestruck at this point.

I am so very worried that the ridging just may be building strong enough to push Matthew into landfalling anywhere from Ft. Pierce-Melbourne north to the SC coast Friday'-Saturday timeframe.

This could potentially be devastating for the region. This is the real deal and a storm likely we will be talking about from now and here on forever!!

[hurricaneCW]

Further north into mid-atlantic/Northeast wouldn't go unaffected either as gfs develops a PRE event as Matthew transitions and interacts with the trough despite being well offshore by then.

[NYR__1994]

Looking like this will be trouble for Carolina.

Looks like trouble for the entire South East coast


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This!

Usually with hurricanes there is a relatively small area that is facing devastation. With this forecast track, if it verifies has the potential to level the coast from Cape Canaveral to Cape Hatteras....

Think about that for a minute...

[Alyono]

So are you saying watches shouldn't go up until its clearer that the storm will make landfall? With a storm this size wouldn't it warrant watches even if it were 100 miles off the coast?

that's not even close to what I said. I said the scenario is playing out 100% in reverse of how Joaquin did last year

Ok so you're saying this looked like it would stay clear of the coast and now its looking the opposite as it gets closer, right?

Im not familiar with Jaquin. Did it take a similar path?

now you're understanding.

Joaquin had a different path. It hit the Bahamas from the northeast last year