ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Blinhart
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5741 Postby Blinhart » Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:46 am

AutoPenalti wrote:00z Initialized.
Image


So already starting with the pressure 30 points higher than it actually is. Interesting.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5742 Postby SeGaBob » Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:52 am

:uarrow: From what I understand, there is a high res version but you have to pay for it. This is low res.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5743 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:53 am

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5744 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:53 am

Image

HR 24
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5745 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:54 am

98L showing up on this run.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5746 Postby Blinhart » Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:54 am

And he shoots the gap, that isn't good.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5747 Postby SunnyThoughts » Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:54 am

Right through the passage, barely scrapes Eastern Cuba
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5748 Postby Bocadude85 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:56 am

98l showing up...may weaken the ridge..wouldn't be surprised if this run is east of the 12z..
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5749 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:57 am

Bocadude85 wrote:98l showing up...may weaken the ridge..wouldn't be surprised if this run is east of the 12z..

I don't think it will be strong enough to.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5750 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:58 am

Bocadude85 wrote:98l showing up...may weaken the ridge..wouldn't be surprised if this run is east of the 12z..


It showed up on the last run and had no effect.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5751 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:59 am

SunnyThoughts wrote:Right through the passage, barely scrapes Eastern Cuba


He shot right through the Windward Passage hardly with no interaction of the inner core with Hispaniola. This would be near castastrophic for the Bahamas.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5752 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:00 am

AdamFirst wrote:00z GFDL

beast

Image


915 mb? Wow, that could be the Andrew of this generation if that somehow happened to materialize and he came ashore at that strength. :eek: Hopefully nothing close to that happens.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5753 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:01 am

Image

Beep! Beep! Look at that ridge go!
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5754 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:01 am

Image

Trending west through 48 hours. Stronger ridge.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5755 Postby Blinhart » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:02 am

Texas Snowman wrote:
AdamFirst wrote:00z GFDL

beast

Image


Wow, that would be the Andrew of this generation if that somehow happened to materialize. :eek:


Don't need him to do a Andrew, where he decides to go across the peninsula instead of skirting the peninsula. That would be horrible even than worse than skirting the peninsula. Don't give him any ideas.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5756 Postby MWatkins » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:02 am

FLpanhandle91 wrote:Image

Trending west through 48 hours. Stronger ridge.


LOT of ridge left in that frame...

MW
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5757 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:03 am

Next frame is the critical one.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5758 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:06 am

This pattern is like July instead of early October right noe. What a stout and large ridge shown by. EURO. Ishudder to think this, but I habe seen enough now to conbince me that the ridge nay definitely be strong enough to enable Matthew to make landfall by Friday at the latest
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5759 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:06 am

This pattern is like July instead of early October right noe. What a stout and large ridge shown by. EURO. I shudder to think this, but I have seen enough now to conbince me that the ridge nay definitely be strong enough to enable Matthew to make landfall by Friday at the latest
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5760 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:07 am

Image
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
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