ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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tolakram
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6661 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:36 pm

What the heck, 925mb
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6662 Postby drewschmaltz » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:36 pm

The upper level setup isn't even that dissimilar.
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SunnyThoughts
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6663 Postby SunnyThoughts » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:36 pm

Well New Orleans hasn't been hit with a model run lately...This one could do it.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6664 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:37 pm

tolakram wrote:http://i.imgur.com/lVwTWbs.gif


Matthew just loved the Florida coast so he decided to come back for another visit
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6665 Postby Raebie » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:37 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:LOL WHAT IS THIS???


The GFS has a little too much to drink tonight.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6666 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:37 pm

Well if it misses Dade this time it is gonna catch it the next time! :double:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6667 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:38 pm

Ok all kidding aside,

What run is this to many things going on to keep track. So are we going from Palm Beach to all of the sudden the keys and South Dade.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6668 Postby sma10 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:38 pm

You realize that it you pitched this track to a Hollywood studio for a disaster movie you would be laughed out of his office.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6669 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:38 pm

I dunno, I'm tired, perhaps this isn't real? Moving NE, looks like it will avoid Florida.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6670 Postby ronyan » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:38 pm

Troll GFS won't landfall.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6671 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:38 pm

I'm laughing so hard right now, probably because I might be going crazy.
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6672 Postby SunnyThoughts » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:39 pm

Yep moving NE...again
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6673 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:39 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Ok all kidding aside,

What run is this to many things going on to keep track. So are we going from Palm Beach to all of the sudden the keys and South Dade.


THe initial approach was very close to Florida, it's a serious issue that should be prepared for. Then it started looping and this is the second approach.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6674 Postby SunnyThoughts » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:39 pm

222 and 228 almost riding up the coast again
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6675 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:39 pm

20 yrs from now we might all be remembering what we were doing when we saw this run! LOL
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6676 Postby drewschmaltz » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:40 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Ok all kidding aside,

What run is this to many things going on to keep track. So are we going from Palm Beach to all of the sudden the keys and South Dade.


This is 200+ hours out. Rakes the shore from palm beach to Jacksonville does a loop and comes back to SFL sits and spins as a 5 on the Bahamas and then recks the shore again.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6677 Postby sma10 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:40 pm

....and all the while, Crazy Nicole still sits and spins... LOL!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6678 Postby T'Bonz » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:40 pm

This is unfreakingbelievable. To hit Florida again, a week later, as a strong hurricane again?

I hope to heck this does NOT verify down the road! Never seen anything like this.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6679 Postby SunnyThoughts » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:40 pm

We are gonna need more hours/panels to find out where this ends up.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6680 Postby windnrain » Tue Oct 04, 2016 11:40 pm

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