ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6781 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:59 am

WeatherHoon wrote:Is this potentially a sign of the Euro coming in further west?

We'll see.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6782 Postby sponger » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:00 am

Stupid Euro, keeping me up.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6783 Postby LarryWx » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:00 am

24 hour 0Z looks similar to interpolated 24-48 of 12Z run
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6784 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:01 am

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6785 Postby sponger » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:01 am

There is that thumb ridge again.
Last edited by sponger on Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:02 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6786 Postby LarryWx » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:02 am

0Z 48 now looks SW of interpolated 48-72 of 12Z run
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6787 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:04 am

956mb approaching Florida (wb graphics)
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6788 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:05 am

oh but hey there is a east shift .. wait what.. oh im sorry.. just people making statements based on a lack of understanding..
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6789 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:08 am

:larrow:
Aric Dunn wrote:oh but hey there is a east shift .. wait what.. oh im sorry.. just people making statements based on a lack of understanding..

Looks like an even further west track.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6790 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:09 am

Landfall near the cape at 60 hours.

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6791 Postby WeatherHoon » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:09 am

Nobody is going to mistake this run as being more east.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6792 Postby sponger » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:09 am

AutoPenalti wrote::larrow:
Aric Dunn wrote:oh but hey there is a east shift .. wait what.. oh im sorry.. just people making statements based on a lack of understanding..

Looks like an even further west track.


Absolutely!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6793 Postby stormhunter7 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:09 am

Euro... has does it not make landfall... Daytona Beach area 72hr?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6794 Postby SeGaBob » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:10 am

Might be eating crow now...oh well
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6795 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:10 am

Dear God, I want to know what happens between 48-72 hours. I reckon it's a landfall somewhere along the E. Central Florida coast.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6796 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:10 am

AutoPenalti wrote::larrow:
Aric Dunn wrote:oh but hey there is a east shift .. wait what.. oh im sorry.. just people making statements based on a lack of understanding..

Looks like an even further west track.


yeah just pointing out all the false statements over the last nearly 24 hours. the whole "-removed-" things away/or towards.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6797 Postby sponger » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:10 am

Landfall at 72! The impossible, a nw approaching storm in Oct, now quite possible.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6798 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:10 am

The ridge is more prominent in the 0Z than the 12Z

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6799 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:11 am

0Z GFS and Euro are identical with regards to Matthew's position at hr 72.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6800 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:12 am

Looking at the full rez weatherbell maps.

Western eyewall on shore over Melbourne at 60 hours and skirting the shore just south of Daytona at 66 hours.
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