ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[artist]

Just saw this from earlier-

Dr. Rick Knabb

@NHCDirector

5h

Yes it’s possible that #Matthew will make landfall somewhere in Florida as a major hurricane @raileyky@jgigsweather hurricanes.gov

[Hurrilurker]

Matthew could become a major threat to NASA facilities, no? Even if there's no damage, I imagine they will have to mobilize a lot of resources to buckle everything down.

[Aric Dunn]

@ Aric, thanks!! Always good to be over prepared than let your gaurd down.

Also it'll be great if you can elaborate as to why Nicole could disrupt Matthew... thanks,,,

I could elaborate very extensively.. however that would be lengthy..

lets just go with. a hurricane is a well lubed machine.. another circulation would be throwing an wrench in it and would disrupt the structure of the system for a certain time it would take to absorb.

[Aric Dunn]

Matthew could become a major threat to NASA facilities, no? Even if there's no damage, I imagine they will have to mobilize a lot of resources to buckle everything down.

nah the majority of the launch assemblies would be just fine solid metal structures that withstand a lot of shear forces during launches. building themselves yes most are old hangers from the cold war era and a direct cat 4 hit would tear most down. overall infrastructure would be fine though.

[sponger]

Matthew could become a major threat to NASA facilities, no? Even if there's no damage, I imagine they will have to mobilize a lot of resources to buckle everything down.

Fortunately, we no longer have much of a space program. Unfortunately, the Cape had 100 million in damages for Frances.

[Aric Dunn]

Matthew could become a major threat to NASA facilities, no? Even if there's no damage, I imagine they will have to mobilize a lot of resources to buckle everything down.

Fortunately, we no longer have much of a space program. Unfortunately, the Cape had 100 million in damages for Frances.

or was that cost just to replace a broken toilet seat ? lol

[chaser1]

I think what looks like an eye, is north of Cuba. Really looks like he's taken one heck of a beating. Like 4 Wisdom teeth pulled.... without novocaine. Another observation, i'm not so sure that the storm will make its date with its 12Z forecast point. One more wrench to throw into the timing tool box.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Eastern Quadrant:

Flight Level Wind (30 sec. Avg.): 104 knots (119.7 mph)
Peak (10 sec. Avg.) Flight Level Wind: 109 knots (125.4 mph)
Highest SFMR Peak (10s Avg.) Sfc. Wind: 109 knots (125.4 mph)

There is a bit of a secondary wind maximum in the eastern quadrant.

The wind is also higher there, to be expected given its north movement.

Storm slice:



Path of selected storm slice:

[

[SouthFloridawx]

You mean, unfortunately we no longer have much of a space program.

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[NC George]

COnvection building fast around the center as it moves away from land.. wont take long to make a come back. actually im intrigued at how fast the southern portion has developed convection so quickly.

I think I can hear Matt slurping the energy from the ocean from here in NC! A couple of hours ago I was thinking Cuba did a number on him.

[sponger]

You mean, unfortunately we no longer have much of a space program.

Sent from my SM-G900P using Tapatalk

I did!

[Aric Dunn]

central florida has had some systems over the years.. NE florida no.. this would be terrible...

[TheStormExpert]

Down to a Cat.3 with 125mph winds @2am. Hoping he doesn't reintensify.

[chaser1]

Minor update (unless already mentioned); Miami-Dade County had their T.S. Watch upgraded to a Warning, and Broward County had their Hurricane Watch upgraded to a Warning. Meanwhile, took my last look at Matthew for the eve.; swear he's looking like a pizza that's been run over by a bus. Still hard to discern the actual eye

[AutoPenalti]

Minor update (unless already mentioned); Miami-Dade County had their T.S. Watch upgraded to a Warning, and Broward County had their Hurricane Watch upgraded to a Warning. Meanwhile, took my last look at Matthew for the eve.; swear he's looking like a pizza that's been run over by a bus. Still hard to discern the actual eye

Didn't Aric mention convection rebuilding again?

[Aric Dunn]

Minor update (unless already mentioned); Miami-Dade County had their T.S. Watch upgraded to a Warning, and Broward County had their Hurricane Watch upgraded to a Warning. Meanwhile, took my last look at Matthew for the eve.; swear he's looking like a pizza that's been run over by a bus. Still hard to discern the actual eye

Didn't Aric mention convection rebuilding again?

its ok.. takes time.

convection is rebounding is a very organized fashion.

[AutoPenalti]

Minor update (unless already mentioned); Miami-Dade County had their T.S. Watch upgraded to a Warning, and Broward County had their Hurricane Watch upgraded to a Warning. Meanwhile, took my last look at Matthew for the eve.; swear he's looking like a pizza that's been run over by a bus. Still hard to discern the actual eye

Didn't Aric mention convection rebuilding again?

its ok.. takes time.

convection is rebounding is a very organized fashion.

May I ask in what way? I can't discern anything.

[SeaBrz_FL]

Matthew could become a major threat to NASA facilities, no? Even if there's no damage, I imagine they will have to mobilize a lot of resources to buckle everything down.

Fortunately, we no longer have much of a space program. Unfortunately, the Cape had 100 million in damages for Frances.

or was that cost just to replace a broken toilet seat ? lol

Fortunately, we have a VERY active space program these days, and luckily (for all taxpayers) most of the programs right now are run by private enterprise and not by tax dollars. NASA still having a really hard time weaning off the Space nipple.

Will the buildings and structures get damaged by a Cat 3 or higher? ABSOLUTELY (except for the VAB). The great thing these days is that Elon Musk and other new Space Pioneers have enough $$$ or insurance policies to rebuild.

~SeaBrzJo
(18 years on Shuttle; father worked 32 years on DoD launches and Shuttle; brother is currently an active onsite KSC manager.)

[Aric Dunn]

Didn't Aric mention convection rebuilding again?

its ok.. takes time.

convection is rebounding is a very organized fashion.

May I ask in what way? I can't discern anything.

its in the way of the convective pattern. how and where it develops/migrates. hard to describe.you can PM me and can try to help with it.

[TimeZone]

Matthew is certainly feeling the effects of those mountains. YIKES.