ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[SeaBrz_FL]

Matthew could become a major threat to NASA facilities, no? Even if there's no damage, I imagine they will have to mobilize a lot of resources to buckle everything down.

Fortunately, we no longer have much of a space program. Unfortunately, the Cape had 100 million in damages for Frances.

or was that cost just to replace a broken toilet seat ? lol

Yeah, I'm sensitive about criticism of the US Space Program, but the irony of all of this is that 95% of everything that people use on this storm site for graphics/trends/models are all from satellites that are up there because a rocket launched them. </out>

[LarryWx]

Matthew is certainly feeling the effects of those mountains. YIKES.

Not good news for E Cuba but hopefully good news for the SE US though that may be wishful thinking with the near ideal conditions in the Bahamas. Sometimes when these storms emerge from mountainous sections of the Greater Antilles, they have a real hard time fully getting their act back together. Not betting on that but hoping.

[Aric Dunn]

Fortunately, we no longer have much of a space program. Unfortunately, the Cape had 100 million in damages for Frances.

or was that cost just to replace a broken toilet seat ? lol

Yeah, I'm sensitive about criticism of the US Space Program, but the irony of all of this is that 95% of everything that people use on this storm site for graphics/trends/models are all from satellites that are up there because a rocket launched them. </out>

me too.. i grew up and spent my life in pursuit of the field .. im no stranger...

[wxmann_91]

The inner core is already rebuilding quite nicely and the structure doesn't seem too sprawling. So it could reintensify in the Bahamas. Kicker is that there is some NW shear evident and the GFS forecasts this to continue for another 24-36 hr. Could be intensifying as it approaches the U.S. coastline after that though.

[JKingTampa]

Minor update (unless already mentioned); Miami-Dade County had their T.S. Watch upgraded to a Warning, and Broward County had their Hurricane Watch upgraded to a Warning. Meanwhile, took my last look at Matthew for the eve.; swear he's looking like a pizza that's been run over by a bus. Still hard to discern the actual eye

I would guess the eye is just barely north of the strongest convection in the center, if not under it.

[Johnny77]

CDO is reforming around the center. Wednesday will be a day of transition for Matthew, shaking off the effects of land interaction.

[krisj]

I am in Charleston, SC. My husband wants to evacuate tomorrow before it gets crazy. But now it seems that maybe Matthew will be way off shore? Do we need to bother? If it will be only TS winds or a Cat 1, I'd rather stay here. What do you all think?

[Aric Dunn]

I am in Charleston, SC. My husband wants to evacuate tomorrow before it gets crazy. But now it seems that maybe Matthew will be way off shore? Do we need to bother? If it will be only TS winds or a Cat 1, I'd rather stay here. What do you all think?

its always better safe then sorry. tomorrow os probably a little early for SC .. but making perorations is a good idea.

[LarryWx]

I am in Charleston, SC. My husband wants to evacuate tomorrow before it gets crazy. But now it seems that maybe Matthew will be way off shore? Do we need to bother? If it will be only TS winds or a Cat 1, I'd rather stay here. What do you all think?

But will it already be crazy when you try to leave tomorrow? A lot of people may try to beat the rush causing the actual rush to be early. If so, maybe try tomorrow night or maybe even Thu night as that would still be before the storm gets to CHS. I hope you already made hotel reservations or that you have a place to stay.
For Floyd, that first day was horrible traffic-wise. So, I decided to wait til late evening, when the traffic wasn't nearly as bad.

[sikkar]

Any radar coverage in the caribbean?

[Aric Dunn]

Any radar coverage in the caribbean?

yes but its moving out of range now. so its not much help.

http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?231

[JKingTampa]

Any radar coverage in the caribbean?

yes but its moving out of range now. so its not much help.

Where is the closest station in the Bahamas ?

[MBismyPlayground]

I am in Charleston, SC. My husband wants to evacuate tomorrow before it gets crazy. But now it seems that maybe Matthew will be way off shore? Do we need to bother? If it will be only TS winds or a Cat 1, I'd rather stay here. What do you all think?

I am in Myrtle. Mandatory evac for zone a begins at 3pm

[AJC3]

Any radar coverage in the caribbean?

http://andrew.rsmas.miami.edu/bmcnoldy/ ... 16_gpd.gif

[chaser1]

I'm seeing what looks like a slow NW motion now but honesty the storm is so much more shallow, its hard to tell without a small defined eye to focus on

[NC George]

Any radar coverage in the caribbean?

http://andrew.rsmas.miami.edu/bmcnoldy/ ... 16_gpd.gif

I found this little gem: http://barbadosweather.org/Composite/ki ... 1432869427

Cuba (click on the map of Cuba with Mosaico for a composite view): http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... B1=RADARES

[JKingTampa]

I'm seeing what looks like a slow NW motion now but honesty the storm is so much more shallow, its hard to tell without a small defined eye to focus on

Looking at the Radar images close to that area, it does look to be moving NW, in at least the last few frames. Not very quickly at all though.

[NDG]

I am in Charleston, SC. My husband wants to evacuate tomorrow before it gets crazy. But now it seems that maybe Matthew will be way off shore? Do we need to bother? If it will be only TS winds or a Cat 1, I'd rather stay here. What do you all think?

But will it already be crazy when you try to leave tomorrow? A lot of people may try to beat the rush causing the actual rush to be early. If so, maybe try tomorrow night or maybe even Thu night as that would still be before the storm gets to CHS. I hope you already made hotel reservations or that you have a place to stay.
For Floyd, that first day was horrible traffic-wise. So, I decided to wait til late evening, when the traffic wasn't nearly as bad.

Take it from an expert like myself when I used to live in Nola and we had to evacuate so many times, around 2-3 AM is the best time to leave after evacuations have been called, the least people on people on the road at that time. You always get your first rush of people during the day into the evening, then on the second day you always get another rush but not until at least around sunrise.

[NDG]

New forecast track.

[JKingTampa]

New forecast track.

Very slightly east, but I think the real forecast track will come to better agreement once the land interaction has completely finished and we see how the storm continues on during it's restrengthening. Being near Tampa all east shifts bring us out of any impact whatsoever but I have a feeling it could be more on the western side of that track during landfall which would bring at least Tropical Storm conditions to most of our state.