ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Miami Storm Tracker
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6981 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:12 am

I agree SFLcane,

Been questioning this all day. With the lastest GFS run you would think they would. Back to the Models
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6982 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:12 am

That high from the west built in pretty strong from 90-120hrs
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6983 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:14 am

Hour 126, strikes Florida again after making the entire loop. Much weaker of course.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6984 Postby Raebie » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:15 am

Guess everyone is busy putting up their shutters...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6985 Postby Raebie » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:15 am

138 - going into the Gulf.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6986 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:16 am

SunnyThoughts wrote:Hour 126, strikes Florida again after making the entire loop. Much weaker of course.


If this verifies weak or not it will hinder power restoration next week along the EC FL
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6987 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:18 am

CMC BIG shift west. Yes been putting up shutters and sweating all morning not to mention a lot of mosquitoes around early. :double:

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6988 Postby Alyono » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:23 am

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 05.10.2016

HURRICANE MATTHEW ANALYSED POSITION : 21.7N 74.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 05.10.2016 0 21.7N 74.7W 980 67
0000UTC 06.10.2016 12 23.1N 76.1W 983 56
1200UTC 06.10.2016 24 24.6N 77.6W 980 55
0000UTC 07.10.2016 36 26.4N 79.2W 974 60
1200UTC 07.10.2016 48 28.8N 80.4W 966 62
0000UTC 08.10.2016 60 30.9N 80.7W 963 67
1200UTC 08.10.2016 72 32.8N 80.0W 970 56
0000UTC 09.10.2016 84 33.4N 77.8W 985 50
1200UTC 09.10.2016 96 33.8N 75.7W 990 56
0000UTC 10.10.2016 108 32.8N 73.4W 995 54
1200UTC 10.10.2016 120 31.9N 73.1W 998 45
0000UTC 11.10.2016 132 29.7N 73.7W 1002 39
1200UTC 11.10.2016 144 28.3N 75.8W 1003 34
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6989 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:24 am

Alyono wrote:GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 05.10.2016

HURRICANE MATTHEW ANALYSED POSITION : 21.7N 74.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 05.10.2016 0 21.7N 74.7W 980 67
0000UTC 06.10.2016 12 23.1N 76.1W 983 56
1200UTC 06.10.2016 24 24.6N 77.6W 980 55
0000UTC 07.10.2016 36 26.4N 79.2W 974 60
1200UTC 07.10.2016 48 28.8N 80.4W 966 62
0000UTC 08.10.2016 60 30.9N 80.7W 963 67
1200UTC 08.10.2016 72 32.8N 80.0W 970 56
0000UTC 09.10.2016 84 33.4N 77.8W 985 50
1200UTC 09.10.2016 96 33.8N 75.7W 990 56
0000UTC 10.10.2016 108 32.8N 73.4W 995 54
1200UTC 10.10.2016 120 31.9N 73.1W 998 45
0000UTC 11.10.2016 132 29.7N 73.7W 1002 39
1200UTC 11.10.2016 144 28.3N 75.8W 1003 34


Will that avoid NC?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6990 Postby lando » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:24 am

U.K. Met and navgem plots???
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6991 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:24 am

12Z GFS

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6992 Postby bqknight » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:25 am

Does anyone have the full res of the GFS to know what the lowest pressure is around landfall?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6993 Postby cajungal » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:26 am

tolakram wrote:12Z GFS

Image


That is just crazy. Reminds me almost of Betsy. Betsy was way before I was born but remember everyone saying she did a loop.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6994 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:27 am

Closest approach animation. This is not full rez so not the surface pressure.

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6995 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:28 am

Look at strengthening Nicole headed towards Florida as well!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6996 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:30 am

Looks like Nicole takes off east again after hour 162.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6997 Postby SFLcane » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:30 am

Csn someone plot UKMET??
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6998 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:30 am

Here's the Andros Island frame.

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6999 Postby Hamanard » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:31 am

bqknight wrote:Does anyone have the full res of the GFS to know what the lowest pressure is around landfall?


~945mb Cat4
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7000 Postby JtSmarts » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:36 am

I believe that 32.8N 80.0W on the Ukmet is inland SC near Charleston
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