ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Vdogg
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7021 Postby Vdogg » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:37 pm

12z gfs, Hwrf, gfdl, and Cmc all run up some portion of NC now. Think they're sensing a stronger trough. Let's see what euro does.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7022 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:44 pm

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/783697576101048320


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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7023 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:46 pm

Euro is now running.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7024 Postby ronyan » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:48 pm

ECMWF 12z init
Ridging is extending further west than yesterday's 12z run.
Image
Last edited by ronyan on Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:49 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7025 Postby Ken711 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:49 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Euro is now running.


I wonder if it continues with the loop or not.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7026 Postby FLLurker32 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:49 pm



This tends to be one of the "not so great" models, right? I'm in the Ocala area (I'm in the SE side of the county. )
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7027 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:49 pm

Euro with slightly more ridging than the GFS at hour 0.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7028 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:51 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7029 Postby stormlover2013 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:51 pm

ridging is stronger
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7030 Postby ronyan » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:53 pm

Image

Deepened significantly.
Last edited by ronyan on Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7031 Postby stormlover2013 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:53 pm

24 hours ridge is stronger than previous run
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7032 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:55 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7033 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:55 pm

Yeah, thats pretty strong...considering its not even full resolution.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7034 Postby ronyan » Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:58 pm

A closer look at 24 hr position.
Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7035 Postby stormlover2013 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:01 pm

48 hours pretty much inline with GFS seems like!!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7036 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:01 pm

Out through 48 hours and looks like the Euro is a very slightly west of the 00Z run
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7037 Postby ronyan » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:02 pm

48 hour position.
Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7038 Postby bqknight » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:02 pm

Euro and GFS are VERY similar at this point. Pretty good model consensus on what is going to happen 48 hours out.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7039 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:02 pm

Looking at the WB graphics, trending NW and stringer from 0z run.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#7040 Postby GeneratorPower » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:03 pm

From this run, and other models, all signs point to a landfall at the Space Coast. Somewhere from St Lucie County through Flagler County.
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