ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
I am curious if he is going to make a run at a cat 4 or sub 950 pressure. EURO shows around 952mb at closest approach. I really think he can get lower than that...interesting evening / tonight...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
ROCK wrote:I am curious if he is going to make a run at a cat 4 or sub 950 pressure. EURO shows around 952mb at closest approach. I really think he can get lower than that...interesting evening / tonight...
Do you mean when it's around Florida? ECMWF has it down to 942 mb in 24 hours...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
ThetaE wrote:ROCK wrote:I am curious if he is going to make a run at a cat 4 or sub 950 pressure. EURO shows around 952mb at closest approach. I really think he can get lower than that...interesting evening / tonight...
Do you mean when it's around Florida? ECMWF has it down to 942 mb in 24 hours...
yeah I didn't see that resolution.catching up...942mb is pretty low...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Depends how well the core wraps itself up, it will be just as bad if the system drops the pressure but pushes its wind field out, especially if it does stay just offshore and takes a coastal track.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Is that an upper level low south of LA?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Looking at the last eat GFS and Euro I am just praying I have a house left. I'm right there on the space coast. Maybe 3 miles from Canaveral.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
My parents have boarded up and will be evacuating Cocoa Beach. I invited them to stay with me in Key West, but not sure if they will take up the offer.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
ROCK wrote:I am curious if he is going to make a run at a cat 4 or sub 950 pressure. EURO shows around 952mb at closest approach. I really think he can get lower than that...interesting evening / tonight...
Keep in mind the ECMWF on Levi's site is not the full-res version. The MSLP is actually below 950mb by the time the storm makes landfall in Cape Canaveral.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
JarrodB wrote:My parents have boarded up and will be evacuating Cocoa Beach. I invited them to stay with me in Key West, but not sure if they will take up the offer.
I would like to visit Key West but not right now...LOL.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Yeah, that Euro run is horrible for the whole East Coast of Florida
https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/783731619899252740
https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/783731619899252740
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
sancholopez wrote:Michele B wrote:SouthFLTropics wrote:Just checked my closest point of approach on the latest track and it has moved closer to me on this update. Center at closest approach is expected 49 miles from me. Based on recent tracking I expect that to shrink even further.
My dad lives over there, and doesn't think it's necessary to put up the hurricane shutters.
All I can do is pray for them. They say they're just going to sleep until it's over! I'm very concerned. They have 3 sets of big slider doors that need to be shuttered, but they DON'T want to bother....
It's amazing how much those big glass sliders will bend and bow before breaking. I watch glass do things with Wilma I didnt think possible. The glass was panting. Of course and elderly person died in that storm when their slider broke off the track and crush the lady.
Not to bring up a sore subject again, cause we HAD this discussion yesterday about "glass sliders bowing, boarded/not boarded, etc." but mine did the same thing! They WERE boarded up, tho, so I did not fear them popping apart, but it was a scary thing to see the amount of "bowing" that they did!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
hipshot wrote:JarrodB wrote:My parents have boarded up and will be evacuating Cocoa Beach. I invited them to stay with me in Key West, but not sure if they will take up the offer.
I would like to visit Key West but not right now...LOL.
The good news is it wouldnt' be hard to get there, as ALL traffic would be moving in the opposite direction!

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
I am not a professional by any means, but when it comes to Matthew, I really would not be surprised if he regained Cat 5 status by the time he approaches. 1: he wasn't destabilized as much as predicted though going over the Cuban mountains. 2: In general, Matt's intensity was.not expected to blow up as quick as it did. It was a Cat 5 within a blink of an eye.3: it's persistence is evident, and the shear is less involved than once tthought it'd be. I'm not saying I anticipate 1, but th way the convection is ramping up this morning..........

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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:This is not going to help the Zika virus situation in Florida at all. Lots of standing water will be everywhere, and not the priority to address. many folks will also have their windows and screens blown out. if there are small pocket populations of infected bugs, they will literally be transported far and wide by the storm. yeehaw
This is something I was wondering, too! Won't all those mosquitoes FLY with the storm STRAIGHT into OTHER AREAS OF THE STATE???
Bad news. Bad, bad, news.
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Cleo - 1964, Betsy - 1965, David - 1979, Andrew - 1992, Charlie (Francis, Ivan, Jeanne) - 2004, Irma - 2017, Ian - 2022
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
sponger wrote:GFS is just brutal!
What do you mean?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
ROCK wrote:I am curious if he is going to make a run at a cat 4 or sub 950 pressure. EURO shows around 952mb at closest approach. I really think he can get lower than that...interesting evening / tonight...
I don't think that was even full resolution with the 952. Likely lower than that.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
New recon is on its way..
its starting to look better both on radar and sat.. slowly getting its acted together again.
its starting to look better both on radar and sat.. slowly getting its acted together again.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Hey guys and gals....
Just a quick one.... my friends bro and sis in law live in Savannah GA.
They have never had to experience a storm with originally Being from the UK. They are worrying about what they should be doing.
Are they likely to be affected by Matthew and should they were boarding up the windows etc.. if so?
I know that there is probably info already on one of the pages but I have a teething baby and I am struggling to use the phone and look for relevant info.
Thanks in advance

Just a quick one.... my friends bro and sis in law live in Savannah GA.
They have never had to experience a storm with originally Being from the UK. They are worrying about what they should be doing.
Are they likely to be affected by Matthew and should they were boarding up the windows etc.. if so?
I know that there is probably info already on one of the pages but I have a teething baby and I am struggling to use the phone and look for relevant info.
Thanks in advance


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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
A little ragged on IR still, but on microwave and visible, wow. I can't believe how fast it's recovering from hitting Cuba. The core is about as symmetrical as it's ever been and a large eye looks to be trying to form.
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Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
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