ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[stephen23]

That's only because there's a huge blow-up of convection along the east eyewall - see those clouds that look like thunderheads? That's an indication that the storm is strengthening, not weakening.

Recon shows different. Pressure the same as last flight as well as the winds. Sure vortex will still show eye open to the north

It hasn't weakened.

im saying is hasn't strengthened. Recon showing the exact same pressure they did 4 hours ago with the winds the same as they did 4 hours ago. The eye is clearly open on radar the same as it was 4 hours ago and has been since it left Cuba. The storm is still trying to align itself from the hit it took from Cuba. Im sure the vortex message will still show 964mb and open eye as they did every run from last flight

[Noles2016]

I've been offered, via my school, to go storm chasing somewhere on the Florida east coast.

I've never been in a full-blown hurricane before, although I had gusts of about 70 mph aloft in my apartment during Sandy. I told them I am not prepared to go (don't feel comfortable) but others have suggested that I do so as well. I don't feel safe going into an area during the core of what will likely be a category 4 hurricane. That seems too much for me.

Should I stick with my instincts or go for the resume? It seems like a risk too much to take, even though I am in a broadcast met course.

May I ask how you manage to get that offer? I'm curious, since I'm studying this field.

Well, this is Florida's first hurricane in 11 years. Never know when you'll have the opportunity again. As long as the people you're going with are experienced, I'd take the opportunity.

We just had a hurricane landfall last month.

[WeatherOrKnot]

In the past half hour or so in pbc, the humidity has dropped and we have a nice breeze. It really does kind if feel like the calm before the storm.

[StormHunter72]

I've been offered, via my school, to go storm chasing somewhere on the Florida east coast.

I've never been in a full-blown hurricane before, although I had gusts of about 70 mph aloft in my apartment during Sandy. I told them I am not prepared to go (don't feel comfortable) but others have suggested that I do so as well. I don't feel safe going into an area during the core of what will likely be a category 4 hurricane. That seems too much for me.

Should I stick with my instincts or go for the resume? It seems like a risk too much to take, even though I am in a broadcast met course.

May I ask how you manage to get that offer? I'm curious, since I'm studying this field.

Well, this is Florida's first hurricane in 11 years. Never know when you'll have the opportunity again. As long as the people you're going with are experienced, I'd take the opportunity.

Hermine

[HurricaneFrances04]

Looks like a line of thunderstorms near Andros Island all day. Wonder if Matthew will "pop" when it gets there?

[ronyan]

Recon shows different. Pressure the same as last flight as well as the winds. Sure vortex will still show eye open to the north

It hasn't weakened.

im saying is hasn't strengthened. Recon showing the exact same pressure they did 4 hours ago with the winds the same as they did 4 hours ago. The eye is clearly open on radar the same as it was 4 hours ago and has been since it left Cuba. The storm is still trying to align itself from the hit it took from Cuba. Im sure the vortex message will still show 964mb and open eye as they did every run from last flight

It is definitely creating stronger convection on the east side which is a good sign that it will strengthen if it works out those inner dynamics.

[ZX12R]

For Florida, I'm seeing people say it's west, it's east, the track is heading more offshore, the track is heading more on shore. I mean it is literally all over the place.

I'm not letting my guard down, but I know my mom heard from some random source that track will keep hurricane winds well offshore in pbc and she's becoming complacent.

I know everybody is entitled to their own opionion, but I really wish we'd stick to more facts and or predictions based on currents facts.

I would doubt very seriously, that you could find a more competent group of posters anywhere. I'd be willing to bet also that this site has the highest percentage of fact based comments too. There are just some things that are not strictly black and white. As with most storms. JMO

[dhweather]

Friendly advice - if you are wondering if you should evacuate, then you have probably just answered your own question. Go.

There are a lot of wonderful people on storm2k, and the community is invaluable. None of us know the situation for any specific area better than your local officials. Listen to them. If they are telling you to evacuate, then go.

Fact of the matter is, the East coast of Florida is under a hurricane warning, and odds are MAJOR hurricane Matthew gets really close to, or indeed makes landfall on the Florida East coast. Don't be sitting there wishing you had evacuated or boarded up.

[floridasun78]

police asking who going stay in mobile homes here in dade

[Sanibel]

Center bursts building CDO...

[northjaxpro]

Recent report from Air Force Recon was 959 mb

[Weatherhorse]

University of Florida just cancelled classes for Friday.

[SunnyThoughts]

AF mission just left Biloxi as well...will be good to have 2 missions at the same time.

[baitism]

Looks like it is jogging north a bit. Either that or the convection is deceiving me.

[dukeblue219]

Dropsonde in the center splashed at 962mb. Storm is largely just holding steady for the moment it seems.

[Aric Dunn]

COnvection wrapping around to the west side now wont be long before we get a closed eyewall and deepening.

[ronyan]

Latest NHC discussion doesn't look like they had any recent recon data, but it appears to be undergoing some organizational changes near the center.

[WeatherOrKnot]

For Florida, I'm seeing people say it's west, it's east, the track is heading more offshore, the track is heading more on shore. I mean it is literally all over the place.

I'm not letting my guard down, but I know my mom heard from some random source that track will keep hurricane winds well offshore in pbc and she's becoming complacent.

I know everybody is entitled to their own opionion, but I really wish we'd stick to more facts and or predictions based on currents facts.

I would doubt very seriously, that you could find a more competent group of posters anywhere. I'd be willing to bet also that this site has the highest percentage of fact based comments too. There are just some things that are not strictly black and white. As with most storms. JMO

Oh, I absolutely believe that! There are certain posters who I purposely look for comments from. Not all pro mets either. I'm just worried in general that rumors will cause people to become complacent.

[SapphireSea]

In the last 4 hours looks like movement has been averaging 350/355 degrees at 11kt. Have to see what Recon comes back with later and see if it averages out to 340 as forecast. After the 320 degree jog it seems to have averaged 345 degrees so heading just a tad more NE than expected but negligable.

[ronyan]

Latest 5pm track from NHC is out, very close to landfall.