ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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psyclone
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7241 Postby psyclone » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:21 pm

well the eye is much smaller than the 30X40 mile elliptical eye it had earlier. it should have a much better chance to wrap up with a 20 mile circular eye. we'll see.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7242 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:22 pm

stormsurf wrote:The storm looks like it's recovered well. Can anyone tell if it's on track or not. On the beach in south Palm Beach County and trying to weigh our options. We can go 3 miles inland in one scenario and 8 in the other however scenario 1 is much better. Unless you've ever evacuated, many people have no idea. My office is open for business tomorrow. Some people are surprised I wont be there. Can anyone imagine? Good luck to everyone and be safe. The weather next week will be beautiful.
on track but the problem is if it goes left which is totally reasonable to expect...evacuate if you are in the zone but do it now or before noon tomorrow...get out of the zone even if its across the street from the evacuation zone..storm surge is a far bigger killer than wind
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7243 Postby latitude_20 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:24 pm

I have friends in New Smyrna Beach, FLA (North of Cape Canaveral) who have secured everything as much as possible. They told me yesterday that one could not get even close to a gas station, as many were depleted and those that had gas had lines stacking back for what seemed miles. Store shelves were decimated in the essential supply areas.

They're going to evac, but have been unable to find hotel space. They've finally decided to simply get out early tomorrow morning, driving northwest while working the phone until they find a hotel with availability.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7244 Postby FLLurker32 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:25 pm

Local met in central FL just said it looked like it might be going through an eye wall replacement cycle and he thinks it will intensify after it completes.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7245 Postby johngaltfla » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:25 pm

northjaxpro wrote:
johngaltfla wrote:
northjaxpro wrote:Also, all the major bridges will be closed down I am sure in Jax during the storm.


Guarantee it. We close our bridges when winds hit 45 mph. Jax is going to get a pretty good whack Friday night as the storm moves north. Daytona looks for now to be the bullseye. Good luck up there guys!


Yes. Thanks for your well wishes! We are going to really need them I can assure you!

Yeah, they will shut down the bridges most definitely here. I must decide by tomorrow if I am leaving to head inland to get away from here with regards to Matthew, or ride it out here at home.


Tough call. A 30-40 mile move west could turn this storm into a nightmare for the Titusville to Savannah, GA areas. Once again, good luck as this is a rarity to see a storm like this.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7246 Postby ZX12R » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:28 pm

FLLurker32 wrote:Local met in central FL just said it looked like it might be going through an eye wall replacement cycle and he thinks it will intensify after it completes.


That's right. It is "poised" to rapidly intensify!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7247 Postby ronjon » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:28 pm

latitude_20 wrote:I have friends in New Smyrna Beach, FLA (North of Cape Canaveral) who have secured everything as much as possible. They told me yesterday that one could not get even close to a gas station, as many were depleted and those that had gas had lines stacking back for what seemed miles. Store shelves were decimated in the essential supply areas.

They're going to evac, but have been unable to find hotel space. They've finally decided to simply get out early tomorrow morning, driving northwest while working the phone until they find a hotel with availability.


They might want to leave early. Have a feeling interstates might be bumper-to- bumper tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7248 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:28 pm

FLLurker32 wrote:Local met in central FL just said it looked like it might be going through an eye wall replacement cycle and he thinks it will intensify after it completes.
john morales in sofla said the same thing
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7249 Postby johngaltfla » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:29 pm

latitude_20 wrote:I have friends in New Smyrna Beach, FLA (North of Cape Canaveral) who have secured everything as much as possible. They told me yesterday that one could not get even close to a gas station, as many were depleted and those that had gas had lines stacking back for what seemed miles. Store shelves were decimated in the essential supply areas.

They're going to evac, but have been unable to find hotel space. They've finally decided to simply get out early tomorrow morning, driving northwest while working the phone until they find a hotel with availability.


West coast of FL pretty well booked. Tell them to look towards Perry, FL and the Panhandle or SW Georgia. Remember, folks in Savannah and Charleston will probably bug out tomorrow towards Valdosta, Macon, August, etc.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7250 Postby jasons2k » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:30 pm

One thing to remember is that it can often take hours for the pressure and wind speed to respond to deeper convection. Especially if the wind field has expanded like it has with Matthew. Sometimes you just need to step away from the monitor for a few hours...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7251 Postby WeatherOrKnot » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:30 pm

Local news just posted that all tolls have been lifted on the Turnpike.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7252 Postby meriland23 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:31 pm

Let's just keep one thing in mind people. As quickly as this storm can degrade, is how quickly it can strengthen. The size of this storm makes it ultra sensitive and prone to rapid changes.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7253 Postby johngaltfla » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:31 pm

jasons wrote:One thing to remember is that it can often take hours for the pressure and wind speed to respond to deeper convection. Especially if the wind field has expanded like it has with Matthew. Sometimes you just need to step away from the monitor for a few hours...


I'll second that.

I boarded up, got ready to ride out a category 2. Took a nap, then 3 hours later Charley was a 4.

Spot on excellent reminder Jasons! :uarrow:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7254 Postby Michele B » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:33 pm

latitude_20 wrote:I have friends in New Smyrna Beach, FLA (North of Cape Canaveral) who have secured everything as much as possible. They told me yesterday that one could not get even close to a gas station, as many were depleted and those that had gas had lines stacking back for what seemed miles. Store shelves were decimated in the essential supply areas.

They're going to evac, but have been unable to find hotel space. They've finally decided to simply get out early tomorrow morning, driving northwest while working the phone until they find a hotel with availability.


Personally, I wouldn'T drive "northwest." Why? think about it! What direction is the storm moving in? NORTHWEST!!! Still in its path!

Go OPPOSITE of the storm. If it's moving NORTHwest, go SOUTHwest!

At least that's what I would do, based on what happened here during Charley. LOTS of people ran from Charley....where did they run? NORTHEAST!!! DIRECTLY TO WHERE CHARLEY WAS GOING!!! So when they got there, they were actually NO SAFER than if they'd just stayed home.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7255 Postby ZX12R » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:34 pm

meriland23 wrote:Let's just keep one thing in mind people. As quickly as this storm can degrade, is how quickly it can strengthen. The size of this storm makes it ultra sensitive and prone to rapid changes.


Indeed. Remain vigilant. The story of Matthew is not yet written.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7256 Postby Stangfriik » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:35 pm

latitude_20 wrote:I have friends in New Smyrna Beach, FLA (North of Cape Canaveral) who have secured everything as much as possible. They told me yesterday that one could not get even close to a gas station, as many were depleted and those that had gas had lines stacking back for what seemed miles. Store shelves were decimated in the essential supply areas.

They're going to evac, but have been unable to find hotel space. They've finally decided to simply get out early tomorrow morning, driving northwest while working the phone until they find a hotel with availability.



Were they beachside or mainside? We are mainside and a couple blocks from the intracoastal river and are hanging tough. Boarded up our other house that we are restoring as it still has the old 1916 single pane wavy glass that you could Crack simply by tapping too hard lol.

We are in a tough little block home in the middle of a bunch of house and trees so we think the wind will be buffered quite a bit from us
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7257 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:36 pm

NEW Video Discussion from Tropical Tidbits Levi Cowan.

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/783827078512840704


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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7258 Postby feederband » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:36 pm

I went south for Charlie too... I was in Tampa... Almost ended up in the middle of it because it hook.. But at least the Roads were clear south...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7259 Postby johngaltfla » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:36 pm

Michele B wrote:
latitude_20 wrote:I have friends in New Smyrna Beach, FLA (North of Cape Canaveral) who have secured everything as much as possible. They told me yesterday that one could not get even close to a gas station, as many were depleted and those that had gas had lines stacking back for what seemed miles. Store shelves were decimated in the essential supply areas.

They're going to evac, but have been unable to find hotel space. They've finally decided to simply get out early tomorrow morning, driving northwest while working the phone until they find a hotel with availability.


Personally, I wouldn'T drive "northwest." Why? think about it! What direction is the storm moving in? NORTHWEST!!! Still in its path!

Go OPPOSITE of the storm. If it's moving NORTHwest, go SOUTHwest!

At least that's what I would do, based on what happened here during Charley. LOTS of people ran from Charley....where did they run? NORTHEAST!!! DIRECTLY TO WHERE CHARLEY WAS GOING!!! So when they got there, they were actually NO SAFER than if they'd just stayed home.


BAD advice. There is no guarantee YET that the storm will not take a more westerly path. Heading to the panhandle region would be the safest area for now. Besides, every room within 60 miles of Sarasota is pretty much booked now per our local news at 6 pm.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7260 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 7:37 pm

Michele B wrote:
latitude_20 wrote:I have friends in New Smyrna Beach, FLA (North of Cape Canaveral) who have secured everything as much as possible. They told me yesterday that one could not get even close to a gas station, as many were depleted and those that had gas had lines stacking back for what seemed miles. Store shelves were decimated in the essential supply areas.

They're going to evac, but have been unable to find hotel space. They've finally decided to simply get out early tomorrow morning, driving northwest while working the phone until they find a hotel with availability.


Personally, I wouldn'T drive "northwest." Why? think about it! What direction is the storm moving in? NORTHWEST!!! Still in its path!

Go OPPOSITE of the storm. If it's moving NORTHwest, go SOUTHwest!

At least that's what I would do, based on what happened here during Charley. LOTS of people ran from Charley....where did they run? NORTHEAST!!! DIRECTLY TO WHERE CHARLEY WAS GOING!!! So when they got there, they were actually NO SAFER than if they'd just stayed home.


Southwest of much of S. FL is the Everglades. Nowhere to go there. West is probably the best bet. Inland, in a sturdy shelter, away from storm-surge prone areas is the way to go.
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