ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ftolmsteen]

Port Nassau webcam, for as long as it lasts. http://www.portnassauwebcam.com/

Looks very windy there already. Conditions are deteriorating and Matthew's core isn't even there yet.

[Aric Dunn]

Expecting 130 to 140mph when I wake up tomorrow. The only reason they kept it at 115mph is because they want to make sure strengthening phase isn't temporary

That is flat out ignorance. Data only supports 115. The NHC does not wishcast.

the statement might be a little off. but the pressure is falling and the winds will follow..

[stephen23]

Expecting 130 to 140mph when I wake up tomorrow. The only reason they kept it at 115mph is because they want to make sure strengthening phase isn't temporary

That is flat out ignorance. Data only supports 115. The NHC does not wishcast.

I agree. Now, the reported gusts are much higher. 144mph gust reported out of Moss Town. But those are not sustained winds.

[Steve]

Expecting 130 to 140mph when I wake up tomorrow. The only reason they kept it at 115mph is because they want to make sure strengthening phase isn't temporary

That is flat out ignorance. Data only supports 115. The NHC does not wishcast.

the statement might be a little off. but the pressure is falling and the winds will follow..

When he wakes up, it's 120.8 per NHC. Dinner time? 132.34mph. Close enough with an impending landfall.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.4N 79.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.

[ConvergenceZone]

Expecting 130 to 140mph when I wake up tomorrow. The only reason they kept it at 115mph is because they want to make sure strengthening phase isn't temporary

That is flat out ignorance. Data only supports 115. The NHC does not wishcast.

They don't have to be -removed- to keep a storm at the same strength. I have following storms for decades.. 130 to 140 mph by late morning due to a period of RI due to pristine conditions. I've seen it time and time again

[marionstorm]

Port Nassau webcam, for as long as it lasts. http://www.portnassauwebcam.com/

Looks very windy there already. Conditions are deteriorating and Matthew's core isn't even there yet.

They are really getting it. I had to disable my adblocker software for the site but it was worth it.

[marionstorm]

Miss Piggy (NOAA) is on way from Tampa. Air force plan is behind it in the Gulf.

[stephen23]

Port Nassau webcam, for as long as it lasts. http://www.portnassauwebcam.com/

Looks very windy there already. Conditions are deteriorating and Matthew's core isn't even there yet.

They are really getting it. I had to disable my adblocker software for the site but it was worth it.

And still 85 nm away from them

[marionstorm]

Looks very windy there already. Conditions are deteriorating and Matthew's core isn't even there yet.

They are really getting it. I had to disable my adblocker software for the site but it was worth it.

And still 85 nm away from them

I just hope my part of Marion County doesn't get winds like that. We will be on the weak side but I'm worried because our trees fall over when gopher tortoises bump against them.

[hurricanefloyd5]

Friday
Hurricane conditions expected. Periods of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. High near 83. North wind 50 to 70 mph becoming west northwest. Winds could gust as high as 85 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.


These are the kind of conditions that my family will see Friday

[stephen23]

Friday
Hurricane conditions expected. Periods of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. High near 83. North wind 50 to 70 mph becoming west northwest. Winds could gust as high as 85 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.


These are the kind of conditions that my family will see Friday

We don't have to worry about hurricanes here in Fort Worth Tx. Just have to worry about tornadoes and hail larger then softballs coming through the roof deck and into your living room. We get lucky that that is a short event usually less then 30 minutes and is only a few times all spring.

[hurricanefloyd5]

Friday
Hurricane conditions expected. Periods of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. High near 83. North northeast wind 100 to 120 mph becoming west southwest 55 to 65 mph. Winds could gust as high as 145 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.


This is actually south of Kennedy Space Center this is in the City of Cape Canaveral

[chris46n]

Hurricane Jeanne had a 50 mile eye. I guess this will be much smaller. I remember watching it on radar.

[Happy Pelican]

I really fear my family member and her family are going to lose everything. Their home is on a barrier island around Melborne. They evacuated already but I can't imagine how you rebuild, especially with kids.

I know first hand from Sandy. I'm still rebuilding and the sad reality is, the storm is actually the easy part in relation to what the recovery involves. Should this result in them needing help on where to start, you may absolutely reach out to me.

[Aric Dunn]

This should be an interesting next 36 hours..

[Hammy]

Inner core breaking down again as per satellite and it looks like it's moving NNW as well and may miss the forecast point to the east by a good amount. I'm still wondering if this may just keep moving NNW given the cloud flow, not getting any closer than Floyd in 1999 did.

[WeatherHoon]

Inner core breaking down again as per satellite and it looks like it's moving NNW as well and may miss the forecast point to the east by a good amount. I'm still wondering if this may just keep moving NNW given the cloud flow, not getting any closer than Floyd in 1999 did.

I'm seeing the same thing, but it could easily be a wobble.

[hiflyer]

Of course airlines are pulling down flying to South Florida for thursday ..Central Florida later. Check with your carrier if you were scheduled to fly today or tomorrow. Major airlines have Apps for your cellphone which can give you up to date flight information on your reservation.

[AtlanticWind]

Inner core breaking down again as per satellite and it looks like it's moving NNW as well and may miss the forecast point to the east by a good amount. I'm still wondering if this may just keep moving NNW given the cloud flow, not getting any closer than Floyd in 1999 did.

Not moving NNW ,still moving NW

[JKingTampa]

Inner core breaking down again as per satellite and it looks like it's moving NNW as well and may miss the forecast point to the east by a good amount. I'm still wondering if this may just keep moving NNW given the cloud flow, not getting any closer than Floyd in 1999 did.

Not moving NNW ,still moving NW

Yeah, still looks to a very strong NW motion,maybe slightly more north than west but still NW.