ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8881 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:26 pm

Everybody is talking about how lucky we were and how we have been spared. Keep in mind that the storm has not even come in yet. The worst conditions were not even expected until 11pm in the first place.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8882 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:26 pm

Freeport likely will be leveled in an hour or two
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8883 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:28 pm

blp wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:4pm position update shows Matthew right on track with 140mph winds.


The 5pm update is not out. I am waiting to get confirmation from NHC. If they say NW at 5 then I will believe they are tracking the outer eye wall. Otherwise if it shows NNW or N which I doubt then I know they are following the inner eye wall still and believe it will continue to dominate.


I suppose we'll find out here in 20 minutes or so...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8884 Postby Airboy » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:28 pm

Is not the "north jog" some are talking about the inner eye rotating north inside the new outer eye?, looks to be the bigger outereye is on the track.
Last edited by Airboy on Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8885 Postby tolakram » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:28 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8886 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:28 pm

Recon getting ready for another pass.

(dang, didn't get post 8888...)
Last edited by 1900hurricane on Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8887 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:29 pm

oh look now the inner eye is moving WNW.. as expected.. next west then wsw .. loops loops and more loops till its dies.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8888 Postby adam0983 » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:29 pm

The worst of the weather was supposed to be from 6pm to 3 am in palm beach county the storm is right on track I expect hurricane conditions tonight from 8 to 2 am. Just an opinion not a forecast.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8889 Postby Frank P » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:32 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:oh look now the inner eye is moving WNW.. as expected.. next west then wsw .. loops loops and more loops till its dies.

Yep, looping within the outer eye wall... thus tracking the inner eye is not what one should be doing atm... question is, when will it die... most likely it would really enhance the storm surge with a much larger eye.. expecting surge 7-11 feet off the coast of central FL.. geesh..
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8890 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:32 pm

Ok, here is some levity on the subject...so we can chuckle before we get down to business..this is the Saffir-Simpson Scale as depicted by cats...look at Cat 5...LOL


https://www.instagram.com/p/8adl6uP3t-/
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8891 Postby SFLcane » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:32 pm

Yet to see any sustain TS force winds in dade. Few weak bands so far
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8892 Postby srva80 » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:33 pm

planning on working tomorrow to remove all the hurricane shutters... don't get me wrong.. I'm glad this missed us here in SoFlo.. but the hype was real
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8893 Postby Blinhart » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:33 pm

http://www.espn.com/college-football/st ... ne-matthew

according to ESPN they will be trying their best to reschedule it
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8894 Postby ronjon » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:33 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:oh look now the inner eye is moving WNW.. as expected.. next west then wsw .. loops loops and more loops till its dies.


yep...you called it Aric..wish some on this board would follow your advice. I notice the outer eyewall is also becoming more elliptical - perhaps the first sign it is contracting.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8895 Postby Blinhart » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:33 pm

srva80 wrote:planning on working tomorrow to remove all the hurricane shutters... don't get me wrong.. I'm glad this missed us here in SoFlo.. but the hype was real


It hasn't missed you guys yet.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8896 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:33 pm

looks like that weird northerly shear that was there the last 12 hours has stopped.. expanding CDO to the north..
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8897 Postby NWFL56 » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:33 pm

Frank P wrote:
gatorcane wrote:TV mets in West Palm are tracking the wrong eye...they should be tracking the large eye,

Weather guys from WFTV Orlando have been right on about tracking the outer eye wall, with the inner eye wall rotating within the outer eye wall... watching via streaming all day... wx guys are doing a great job.. they are really concerned about storm surge off the central coast of FL...

Do you have a link for their live stream?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8898 Postby shortwave » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:34 pm

Alyono wrote:wobbling back west, just as expected


Will that convection less area in between the outer and inner fill in being that the inner eye is not collapsing? Think the inner eye staying intact will eventually rotate around westward?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8899 Postby WPBWeather » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:34 pm

ronjon wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:oh look now the inner eye is moving WNW.. as expected.. next west then wsw .. loops loops and more loops till its dies.


yep...you called it Aric..wish some on this board would follow your advice. I notice the outer eyewall is also becoming more elliptical - perhaps the first sign it is contracting.


WPB TV mets still focusing on probable wobbles as direction changes, unfortunately.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#8900 Postby blp » Thu Oct 06, 2016 3:34 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:oh look now the inner eye is moving WNW.. as expected.. next west then wsw .. loops loops and more loops till its dies.


Aric what do you make of this. Do you think the Outer eye wall will take over?
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