ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ncweatherwizard]

I am starting to wonder what the pro-mets think about a possible Fujiwara effect with Nicole as well. Nicole is now a Cat 2 and meandering very close to where Matthew is heading. If he makes the projected turn, he will be even closer. thoughts?

Maybe if Matthew sort of stalled out then moved on out to sea, it could absorb a sheared and weakened Nicole. Before that, we could see Nicole move counterclockwise relative to Matthew. But that's only if both storms get picked up by a trough several days out.

Otherwise, I just don't see it happening. On the current forecast track, the primary steering flow for Nicole will be ridging in the Atlantic in the 3-5 day range. By then, Nicole may well be the stronger of the two storms.

[jabman98]

I wonder what things are like on the golden isles...or Hilton head on up toward Edisto beach. I'm hoping those people have left or leave tomorrow.

My friend was on vacation at Hilton Head. They were evacuated out yesterday. Don't know if it was just tourists that were evacuated.

[sbcc]

TS conditions at Vero Beach.
https://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:32960.1.99999

Picking up at Stuart, too.
https://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=KSUA

[Aric Dunn]

last hour its making much more progress towards the brevard county coast. if it stays on course now cocoa looks likely of the inner core.

[Hammy]

Something that only just occurred to me, a good way to track movement is use the storm-total radar.

[windnrain]

Dominant wind maximum, only 17 miles away from land.

[JabNOLA]

My thoughts..... The EWR is being completed just as Matt enters the Gulf Stream. The new eye will contract each hour. The starting east position near Freeport will be extremely unfortunate for the Treasure Coast, St Aug. Jax and Savannah no matter the final Category which could easily be high end Cat 4. Hopefully the east move will commence prior to the same catastrophic outcome for South Carolina. This appears to be "The Big One" for the Cape to Savannah. Prayers for all.

[sbcc]

My wife just totaled up power outages for FPL, over 130,000 without power as of midnight, mostly in SW counties.
http://www.fplmaps.com/

[ncweatherwizard]

Doppler velocities in the NW part of the outer eyewall are about 125-130kts based on Melbourne radar about 80 km away. Even with a 20% reduction, that would mean Category 3 winds near the surface in part of the storm that will likely reach land. Looks like aircraft is going to head right to it. Let's see if they find the same.

[Aric Dunn]

shifting more to a nw motion almost wnw.. unless it wobbles back to a more mmw motion landfall will happen in brevard.

[Uhoh13]

I know evacuations on the barrier islands in Georgia was started yesterday. I worry about Savannah. I dont even know the last time there was a hurricane this close to the GA coast.

I have family in that little nipple county in ga that Borders Jacksonville praying for them, not too sure of the geography there, but his wife said they are about 50 or so miles from the coast. Told them to stock up on supplies and beware of flash floods. Im More familiar with tornadoes living in Kansas currently, and fear this storm will spawn many.

[Sanibel]

Inner eye just linked with outer. Outer should contract and maybe get busy...

[Rod Hagen]

Wishing the very best to all of you around Melbourne, Florida. Certainly one time I'm very glad to be in Melbourne, Australia instead!

Stay safe, good people.

[stephen23]

Hurricane chaser in Vero beach reporting sustained hurricane with gusts over a 100

[FLpanhandle91]

So, unfortunately, the western side of both eye walls seem to have the most intense presentation on radar.

[PTrackerLA]

https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/784225204998406144

339 confirmed dead in Haiti

Sadly, I expect this to exceed 10,000 when all is said and done

Let's hope not, but I'm afraid it will rise quite a bit as well, information has been eerily slow to come out.

[Sanibel]

Hurricane chaser in Vero beach reporting sustained hurricane with gusts over a 100

Hammer bands finally made it ashore...

[PTrackerLA]

Hurricane chaser in Vero beach reporting sustained hurricane with gusts over a 100

Link or Twitter to follow?

[FLLurker32]

Wesh 2 Tony Mainolfi looks like he's trying so hard to skirt around saying the NHC last track update was wrong, but he can't avoid it. With the eye wall expanding he just finally gave up and said "This is gonna be a problem here. We're going to see the eye wall come on shore."

[stephen23]

Hurricane chaser in Vero beach reporting sustained hurricane with gusts over a 100

Link or Twitter to follow?

Watching weather NAtion