ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9901 Postby Alyono » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:22 am

the eye is now likely to remain offshore
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9902 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:22 am

unless we get a quick wobble no landfall but supper close... extreme cape Canaveral is still possible though ..
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9903 Postby windnrain » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:23 am

Still closing in. Inside of the eye is 12.8 miles away from land.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9904 Postby JKingTampa » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:25 am

Surprised we are still under a Tropical Storm watch. Unless some more rain bands wrap around the western side, I doubt any of the winds will get pulled down.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9905 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:26 am

SSD keeping track offshore. That's it for me. Zzzzzz...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9906 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:28 am

well damn.. last few frames thats a pretty good jog to the coast..
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9907 Postby windnrain » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:32 am

Jogging west. Now 11 miles.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9908 Postby Evenstar » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:32 am

Infdidoll wrote:I haven't logged in in YEARS...But just wanted to give some well wishes to all of you on the East Coast. Missed tracking with you all. Even though I'm in California now where the weather couldn't be more boring, I will have to check in more often. Stay safe!


Greetings from a Temecula transplant to SE Virginia to an East Coast transplant to Temecula!

Home sweet home, sigh...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9909 Postby NDG » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:36 am

Looks like pressure has risen a little bit.

062530 2743N 07947W 6969 02647 9400 +184 +128 267014 021 030 001 03
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9910 Postby psyclone » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:37 am

JKingTampa wrote:Surprised we are still under a Tropical Storm watch. Unless some more rain bands wrap around the western side, I doubt any of the winds will get pulled down.


Some of the best chances for gusty winds may actually happen tomorrow if we get sun...that will yield good vertical mixing which can help bring gusty winds to the surface...plus the vector will be on shore. best chance over the marine environments. having said that I agree the TS watch should be dropped.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9911 Postby stephen23 » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:37 am

Missed something. What was it that made yall think it was going to stay offshore?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9912 Postby Hammy » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:39 am

stephen23 wrote:Missed something. What was it that made yall think it was going to stay offshore?


For me it was a straight-line 12-hour movement NNW earlier in the day--that went out the window with that massive westward jog as it neared Grand Bahama and the slight curve in the track after.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9913 Postby NDG » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:40 am

So based on the recon fixes, in the past 4 hours Matthew is on a heading averaging 324°
If it keeps this heading & speed during the next 4 hours, almost half of its eye will be over Cape Canaveral, IMO.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9914 Postby windnrain » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:46 am

North Beach is only 3.5 miles away from the strongest winds.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9915 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:47 am

outer eyewall only a couple miles offshore.. if it can shift a little west like 5 miles the heaviest winds will come asshore.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9916 Postby NDG » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:49 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9917 Postby NDG » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:49 am

The gulf stream is doing its magic over the next few hours.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9918 Postby windnrain » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:50 am

The INNER eywall is only 26 miles offshore. That's as close as the outer one was 3 hours ago.
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Last edited by windnrain on Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9919 Postby hiflyer » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:50 am

Lot of airlines have pulled down service to Orlando Jacksonville Savannah and Charleston for the day....and will not be staffing the airport. Check with your carrier...using the app on your phone or online may be the best way if phones are busy.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9920 Postby Uhoh13 » Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:52 am

So far hermine looks meaner than this boy. That's a good thing. Keep being a wimp Matthew. (Only talking about fla impact ) no disrespect to Haiti, Cuba or Bahamas. Let's hope he takes a hard right.
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