ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[HurrMark]

Just updated

A small wobble could push this inland along the lower SC coast.

Anywhere from here to SC. I think that unless the easterly jog starts the "best" shot is JAX to Brunswick, when the coast starts to turn more easterly.

[PTPatrick]

It will be interesting to see what surge does in SC now with landfall projected in Charleston. I am no expert on that area, but I am familiar with what happens when A storm comes at the right angle to pile water against the coast prior to hitting with the full surge, having lived thru Katrina and Georges. We all know Katrina, but George was a large surge in Jackson and mobile counties and it was a cat 2. It really piled water into the bay's and bayous. Matt was a cat 4 south SC, and they are projecting 8 ft in SC. For ref, Hugo was 8 ft and it wasn't as good an angle as this is. I actually wonder if it will surpass that, esp in bayous and inlet where it piles up. Of course if it doesn't quite fully come in with RFQ it will limit that potential.


Edit: Gov Haley just said many people are not leaving barrier islands and imploring them to get off, that they WILL be inundated. Over 100 on Daniel island

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/StuOstro/status/784407559327379456

[FixySLN]

I still don't buy the curl. The path has altered, trended, and changed so many times that I'm having a hard time trusting any of the models. I'm guessing the northern trend continues prior to a turn.

[Jevo]

The big kicker is that South Florida may see more from a remnant low moving across the area next week than it did with a Cat 4 60 miles offshore

[northjaxpro]

Significant damage being reported in Daytona Beach and New Smyrna Beach.

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/TWCAlexWilson/status/784403399924183040

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/ScienceByMaria/status/784399393164328961

[Rail Dawg]

Ormond Beach.

Looking into the abyss but safe.

Post info on eye.

This must be Cat 3?

[sweetpea]

Significant damage being reported in Daytona Beach and New Smyrna Beach.

Where are you seeing this? I have been trying to look and haven't found anything. Very worried about family and friends in Volusia and Flagler counties.

Thank you

[tolakram]

Significant damage being reported in Daytona Beach and New Smyrna Beach.

Where are you seeing this? I have been trying to look and haven't found anything. Very worried about family and friends in Volusia and Flagler counties.

Thank you

I posted some tweets. Twitter is good for this right now, search for #matthew

[CrazyC83]

I'm thinking, based on reports from Cape Canaveral, this will officially go down as a Category 1 impact for Florida, although the hurricane winds were largely in unpopulated areas.

[sweetpea]

Significant damage being reported in Daytona Beach and New Smyrna Beach.

Where are you seeing this? I have been trying to look and haven't found anything. Very worried about family and friends in Volusia and Flagler counties.

Thank you

I posted some tweets. Twitter is good for this right now, search for #matthew

Great thank you!

[Sanibel]

I'm not trying to minimize winds but I watched Alex of TWC report and she was standing on a hotel balcony open to the ocean no problem.

[northjaxpro]

The Fuller Warren Bridge in downtown Jacksonville is now closed. The Fuller Warren is the I-95 bridge.

Yeah not shocked about the Fuller Warren Bridge and zDames Point Bridge being closed. Thr matthews Bride Nd Hart Buckman Bridges will follow right behind.

[WilmingtonSandbar]

Could this thing re strengthen after it loops ? I'm assuming it can if the conditions are ripe. What a weird azz storm.

The computer models are not sure this will be around to complete the loop.

[Rail Dawg]

I must be close to eye.

Major damage S Daytona to Ormond.

I'm stopped N of Ormond watching wind shift by the 10 minutes.

[WilmingtonSandbar]

It will be interesting to see what surge does in SC now with landfall projected in Charleston. I am no expert on that area, but I am familiar with what happens when A storm comes at the right angle to pile water against the coast prior to hitting with the full surge, having lived thru Katrina and Georges. We all know Katrina, but George was a large surge in Jackson and mobile counties and it was a cat 2. It really piled water into the bay's and bayous. Matt was a cat 4 south SC, and they are projecting 8 ft in SC. For ref, Hugo was 8 ft and it wasn't as good an angle as this is. I actually wonder if it will surpass that, esp in bayous and inlet where it piles up. Of course if it doesn't quite fully come in with RFQ it will limit that potential.


Edit: Gov Haley just said many people are not leaving barrier islands and imploring them to get off, that they WILL be inundated. Over 100 on Daniel island

Just curious. What model shows a Charleston landfall now?

[tigerz3030]

Can someone post a good image of the eye, distance it is off the coast, and how far hurricane winds extend out please?

TIA

[La Sirena]

It will be interesting to see what surge does in SC now with landfall projected in Charleston. I am no expert on that area, but I am familiar with what happens when A storm comes at the right angle to pile water against the coast prior to hitting with the full surge, having lived thru Katrina and Georges. We all know Katrina, but George was a large surge in Jackson and mobile counties and it was a cat 2. It really piled water into the bay's and bayous. Matt was a cat 4 south SC, and they are projecting 8 ft in SC. For ref, Hugo was 8 ft and it wasn't as good an angle as this is. I actually wonder if it will surpass that, esp in bayous and inlet where it piles up. Of course if it doesn't quite fully come in with RFQ it will limit that potential.


Edit: Gov Haley just said many people are not leaving barrier islands and imploring them to get off, that they WILL be inundated. Over 100 on Daniel island

We used to live on Tybee island, a barrier island to Savannah. About 2 miles long and a mile wide. Really, just a glorified sandbar. I have many friends who are refusing to evacuate the island. The mayor has been pleading with people to list who's remaining behind. The only road in and out was closed at 11 am because it would be flooded with the tide. There's no way out now. I'll never understand why people choose to stay.