EPAC: INVEST 99E

[cycloneye]

EP, 99, 2016101000, , BEST, 0, 102N, 928W, 20, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS036, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 036,
EP, 99, 2016101006, , BEST, 0, 102N, 935W, 20, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS036, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 036,
EP, 99, 2016101012, , BEST, 0, 102N, 942W, 20, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS036, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 036,
EP, 99, 2016101018, , BEST, 0, 102N, 949W, 20, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS036, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 036,
EP, 99, 2016101100, , BEST, 0, 103N, 955W, 25, 1008, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 150, 100, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST

[Kingarabian]

More than likely this will develop.

[hurricanes1234]

I was almost certain it would form too but it hasn't progressed the slightest bit since it was first mentioned. With decreasing 5-day chances, won't be surprised to see it bust like 98E.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred
miles southwest of the southern coast of Mexico are associated with
a broad area of low pressure. Some slow development of this system
is possible during the next several days while the low moves
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

[Yellow Evan]

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a
concentrated cluster of showers and thunderstorms. However, recent
satellite wind data indicate that the system does not have a closed
surface wind circulation. Some slow development of this disturbance
is possible during the next several days while it moves generally
westward at 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

[Yellow Evan]

Looks decent to be honest.

[hurricanes1234]

Interesting...

Shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization
since yesterday in association with a broad area of low pressure
located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula. Satellite wind data indicate that while the
low-level circulation has become a little better organized today, it
remains elongated. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by
early next week while the disturbance moves generally westward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

[HurricaneRyan]

9 days later and nothing.

Hermine 2.0 without the land impact or nothing at all