Severe Weather Nov 29th,2016

[EF-5bigj]

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html I don't know what this system will do but the SPC is warning about a few strong tornadoes. TWC has the Torcon at a 7 out of 10 in some parts of Mississippi. And it looks like dew points are climbing with more then enough wind shear.

[WeatherGuesser]

Upgraded to Moderate for much of MS.

[EF-5bigj]

Well this has escalated quickly.

[Tireman4]

For the newbies not sure of Tor Con values..

TOR:CON Value Descriptions

8+ Very high probability of a tornado
6 - High probability of a tornado
4 - Moderate chance of a tornado nearby, but hail and/or high wind gusts possible
2 - Low chance of a tornado, but hail and/or high wind gusts possible
0 - Near-zero chance of a tornado or a severe thunderstorm

The TOR:CON index ranges from 0 to 10. Multiply the value by 10 to get your percentage chance of a tornado within 50 miles of a location. For example, a TOR:CON index of 6 means there's a 60% chance of a tornado within 50 miles of any location in the indicated area.

For more on all severe thunderstorm threats, including damaging winds and large hail, check our Tornado Central page.

Note: By definition, a severe thunderstorm contains one or more of the following: hail at least 1 inch in diameter, wind gusts 58 mph or higher, or a tornado.

[EF-5bigj]

All of the cells are discrete and it's supposed to getting worse overnight for MS,AL. LLJ hasn't kicked in yet

[EF-5bigj]

New watch mentions intense tornadoes.

[EF-5bigj]

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1841.html New watch likely

[Tireman4]

Still rough weather today.....

XUS64 KMOB 301224
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
624 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z issuance...A line of thunderstorms is approaching Southeast
Mississippi and will move into Southwest Alabama by mid to late
morning and through South Central Alabama and the Western Florida
Panhandle by mid to late afternoon. Breezy southerly
winds...scattered showers and a mix of MVFR and VFR ceilings will
precede the line of storms. Gusty winds...thunderstorms...and IFR
conditions will accompany the line and last for a couple of hours.
A front just behind the band will bring northerly winds...initially
gusty...and gradual clearing this afternoon and evening. /08

&&

[EF-5bigj]

4 deaths so far from this event