Texas Winter 2016-2017

[starsfan65]

well I dunno last run was pushing 70 on Christmas and stormy...

Here it comes, warming up on Christmas Eve...

How warm?

Mid 50s. This run is warmer than last run on Christmas Eve.

It will change from now til Christmas Eve.

[Brent]

The entire east is a torch on Christmas so at least we're not alone in misery

[starsfan65]

The entire east is a torch on Christmas so at least we're not alone in misery

It will change between now and Christmas Day.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

LOL cold leading up to Christmas Eve afternoon, then warm for 24 hours then cold again

[Brent]

LOL cold leading up to Christmas Eve afternoon, then warm for 24 hours then cold again

Maybe one day we'll live somewhere else. Lol.

Hard to believe the east coast would have 2 warm Christmases in a row though...

[South Texas Storms]

This run is very boring for TX. Much of the state gets less than 0.10 inch of precip over the next 2 weeks. I really hope that doesn't verify.

[Brent]

This run is very boring for TX. Much of the state gets less than 0.10 inch of precip over the next 2 weeks. I really hope that doesn't verify.

what a waste of a really good pattern if true.

Forget snow... where's the rain?

[ThunderSleetDreams]

I leave Houston at 5 am on the 28th with upper 20s and land in Montana to below zero

[Cpv17]

Yawn..next run please

[Brent]

The euro will see out to 0z on Christmas Day

Let us hope...

Fropa Saturday Night appears to be dry in DFW

Sunday and Monday is brrrr

Edit the meteogram stopped loading but looking at the 850 temps on tidbits this run is headed for a disaster... no cold air

Wednesday has gone from a winter storm threat to highs in the 60s.. Dry front late Wednesday.

[Cpv17]

The euro will see out to 0z on Christmas Day

Let us hope...

Fropa Saturday Night appears to be dry in DFW

Sunday and Monday is brrrr

Edit the meteogram stopped loading but looking at the 850 temps on tidbits this run is headed for a disaster... no cold air

Wednesday has gone from a winter storm threat to highs in the 60s..

I'm not so sure I'd worry too much about what the Euro is forecasting for Texas as far as temps go. I think it has a bias towards warmer weather here. The GFS just seems so much more plausible in my opinion. We'll see though

[Brent]

The euro will see out to 0z on Christmas Day

Let us hope...

Fropa Saturday Night appears to be dry in DFW

Sunday and Monday is brrrr

Edit the meteogram stopped loading but looking at the 850 temps on tidbits this run is headed for a disaster... no cold air

Wednesday has gone from a winter storm threat to highs in the 60s..

I'm not so sure I'd worry too much about what the Euro is forecasting for Texas as far as temps go. I think it has a bias towards warmer weather here. The GFS just seems so much more plausible in my opinion. We'll see though

The Euro was right about the winter storm being cancelled last night though. It's not a good trend in any case.

Looking towards Christmas, Euro/GFS in pretty good agreement on a warmup and approaching system on Christmas Eve. Euro is pushing 70 degrees at DFW Christmas Eve, warmer than the GFS.

[Cpv17]

The euro will see out to 0z on Christmas Day

Let us hope...

Fropa Saturday Night appears to be dry in DFW

Sunday and Monday is brrrr

Edit the meteogram stopped loading but looking at the 850 temps on tidbits this run is headed for a disaster... no cold air

Wednesday has gone from a winter storm threat to highs in the 60s..

I'm not so sure I'd worry too much about what the Euro is forecasting for Texas as far as temps go. I think it has a bias towards warmer weather here. The GFS just seems so much more plausible in my opinion. We'll see though

The Euro was right about the winter storm being cancelled last night though. It's not a good trend in any case.

Yeah it's not a good trend, but the Euro is barely even forecasting below normal temps for my area while the GFS is forecasting well below normal temps. This is a freaking Artic blast coming down. How the Euro is barely forecasting below normal temps here is beyond me. That's why I'm hesitant to believe it right now.

[ronyan]

The GFS and Euro temp anomalies at 850mb look very similar for this weekend.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Didn't the models lose this weeks, end of the weeks cold up until just a few days ago?

[Cerlin]

The last time the models changed suddenly like this, it went back to Christmas snow, so I'm hoping the same thing happens with these next few runs.

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

Wow, 34 degrees and drizzle in Richardson this morning. So close to trouble!

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Christmas is considerably colder in the 6z GFS

[srainhoutx]

The morning Updated CPC GFS Super Ensembles Day 11+ Analogs really have not changed regarding the expected Hemispheric Pattern expected around Christmas. Notices the Red shades across the Northern and NE Pacific as well as the SE and Eastern United States. A deep anomalous cold upper trough (indicated by the Blue shades) extends from Eurasia and Western Siberia across the North Pole into Alaska, Western Canada into the Great Basin and into the Great Plains. Also notice the Red (Upper Ridging) over Central Siberia where temperatures are currently running -50+ below zero.

[Tireman4]

Ok..where is Wxman57? Wonder what his take is on this? I know..I know...wait 2-3 days before the event...