Texas Winter 2016-2017
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Some type of freezing precipitation hitting the windows on my deer blind. Looks like some flurries mixed in. Just started. Northern Clay Co
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Some type of freezing precipitation hitting the windows on my deer blind. Looks like some flurries mixed in. Just started. Northern Clay Co
Why do I love this board? The Members! Members like Yukon ... out hunting yet he's reporting to us on the weather. Awesome!!

Best of luck out there.
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- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Wow, single digits in Tx panhandle - 7 degrees in Dumas!
@BigJoeBastardi: RT @RyanMaue: Almost 80°F temperature gradient from Texas panhandle to Brownsville. Down to 6°F
@BigJoeBastardi: RT @RyanMaue: Almost 80°F temperature gradient from Texas panhandle to Brownsville. Down to 6°F
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Portastorm wrote:Yukon Cornelius wrote:Some type of freezing precipitation hitting the windows on my deer blind. Looks like some flurries mixed in. Just started. Northern Clay Co
Why do I love this board? The Members! Members like Yukon ... out hunting yet he's reporting to us on the weather. Awesome!!![]()
Best of luck out there.
Ha! Thanks man! I don't post much during the rest of the year but I can't stay off the boards during winter. I can't say it's a pleasant hunt. The windchill is around 10-12 and I'm beginning to wonder if I'm stupid for coming out here today!
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Texas Snowman wrote:Wow, single digits in Tx panhandle - 7 degrees in Dumas!
@BigJoeBastardi: RT @RyanMaue: Almost 80°F temperature gradient from Texas panhandle to Brownsville. Down to 6°F
Actually at 3 pm, it was an 84-degree differential. 91 in the Valley and 7 in the Panhandle.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Portastorm wrote:Yukon Cornelius wrote:Some type of freezing precipitation hitting the windows on my deer blind. Looks like some flurries mixed in. Just started. Northern Clay Co
Why do I love this board? The Members! Members like Yukon ... out hunting yet he's reporting to us on the weather. Awesome!!![]()
Best of luck out there.
My youngest son was also hunting on our Red River Valley deer lease this morning. I met him mid morning and we did some lease chores as the front came through. By the time we left, it had dropped from the low 60s to the low 40s. I always enjoy such outdoor work with a stiff northerly wind and chilly temperatures!
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
southwest southerner wrote:Long time lurker, first post.
Dude you have been trolling this thread for a couple of weeks now. This seems to be a fun positive community, please don't mess with that.
Just because what I post goes against the desires of other forumers doesn't mean I am trolling. You need to look up the term.
southwest southerner wrote:FYI- always have more confidence in the NWS than the "weather" channel.
Both sources create their forecasts based on computer models, and have their pros and cons. Therefore, I use both.
Portastorm wrote:Care to explain with facts? You've got one chance here ... but that branch you're on right now ... sounds like it's cracking.
Nope, it is still staying steady. Even if it cracks, there are so many more on the tree that I can hop to.
Portastorm wrote:Direct snippet from the latest forecast discussion out of NWS Houston/Galveston. Nothing about a cloud deck rolling in. Mentions Freeze Warning forthcoming:
"Clear skies and lighter winds with better radiational cooling
though still some winds will set the stage for even colder
temperatures Sunday night/Monday morning. Hard freeze looks likely
across the northern counties (Brenham to Huntsville to Groveton
temperatures 20-25) and freezing temperatures a good bet all the
way to the coast excluding the immediate coast Monday morning.
Freeze warnings will be needed for the southern counties Sunday
night and Monday morning."
Just watch, the cloud deck will roll right in, and prevent temps from bottoming out. The fact that they are not mentioning it means nothing (except, of course, the matter that they are setting themselves up for a bust).
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- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
A.V. wrote:Just because what I post goes against the desires of other forumers doesn't mean I am trolling. You need to look up the term.
No need. Rule 14 as stated in our rules and guidelines:
viewtopic.php?f=37&t=87189
"14 Trolling: A troll is often someone who comes into an established community such as an online discussion forum, and posts inflammatory, rude, repetitive or offensive messages designed intentionally to annoy or antagonize the existing members or disrupt the flow of discussion, including the personal attack of calling others trolls. Often, trolls assume multiple aliases. For many people, the characterising feature of trolling is the perception of intent to disrupt a community in some way. Inflammatory, sarcastic, disruptive or humorous content is posted, meant to draw other users into engaging the troll in a fruitless confrontation. The greater the reaction from the community the more likely the user is to troll again, as the person develops beliefs that certain actions achieve his/her goal to cause chaos. This gives rise to the often repeated protocol in Internet culture: "Do not feed the trolls."
Portastorm and Ntxw, check your PM.
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- gboudx
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
From jeff:
Powerful Arctic Cold Front Blasting Across Texas.
Freeze Warning issued for tonight along and NW of US 59…and likely the entire area Sunday night and Monday morning.
Arctic boundary extends from south of Dallas to NW of Austin and is plowing southeast. Temperatures range from 6 in the panhandle to a record high of 81 at Houston. Temperature falls with the front are averaging 25-30 degrees in about an hour. Front will reach College Station between 1000-1100pm, metro Houston by midnight and blast off the coast by 200-300am. Temperatures will fall into the 40’s rapidly behind the boundary, then the 30’s and 20’s before sunrise. NW winds of 25-35mph will drive wind chills by Sunday AM into the 15-25 degree range.
Given the intensity of this upstream air mass over NW TX where Wichita Falls has already fallen to 26 degrees, expect the freezing line to move into and cover at least the NW 1/3rd to ½ of the region by sunrise Sunday morning. This will be a damaging advective freeze and any sensitive vegetation should be protected this afternoon as best as possible.
It will be very cold by TX standards on Sunday with highs struggling to reach 40 for a few hours. Wind chills Sunday will remain in the 20’s and compared to today’s warm and muggy feel, tomorrow will be a completely different weather day. Models showing some potential for clouds to linger in the post frontal air mass Sunday night into Monday and this may save parts of the area from a hard freeze. Think a second freeze will occur over much of the region Sunday night and Monday morning…including inland portions of the coastal counties. Hard to say just how low the temperatures may fall with scattered to broken clouds and winds still 5-10mph…think mid to upper 20’s most areas is reasonable at this time. Will have to take a hard look at this tomorrow. But a lot of damage to sensitive vegetation will likely be done tonight with a advective type freeze (at least N of I-10).
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Texas Snowman wrote:No need. Rule 14 as stated in our rules and guidelines:
viewtopic.php?f=37&t=87189
"14 Trolling: A troll is often someone who comes into an established community such as an online discussion forum, and posts inflammatory, rude, repetitive or offensive messages designed intentionally to annoy or antagonize the existing members or disrupt the flow of discussion, including the personal attack of calling others trolls. Often, trolls assume multiple aliases. For many people, the characterising feature of trolling is the perception of intent to disrupt a community in some way. Inflammatory, sarcastic, disruptive or humorous content is posted, meant to draw other users into engaging the troll in a fruitless confrontation. The greater the reaction from the community the more likely the user is to troll again, as the person develops beliefs that certain actions achieve his/her goal to cause chaos. This gives rise to the often repeated protocol in Internet culture: "Do not feed the trolls."
Again, none of what I post would fit those characteristics, it is just a matter of posters not liking the content I post.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Pretty sure the word repetitive is in there... you definitely fit that one
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Stormnut wrote:Pretty sure the word repetitive is in there... you definitely fit that one
Of course the content is repetitive; it is all discussion relating to the current weather front.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
A.V. wrote:Stormnut wrote:Pretty sure the word repetitive is in there... you definitely fit that one
Of course the content is repetitive; it is all discussion relating to the current weather front.
And it'll be great when your forecast becomes an epic failure.
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- jasons2k
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
223 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2016
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA...
.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT WITH
VERY COLD AIR POURING INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL
RAPIDLY TONIGHT AND WITH SOME AREAS FALLING BELOW FREEZING FIRST
IN THE NORTH THEN EXPANDING SOUTHWARD. MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 28 NORTH OF A BRENHAM TO HUNTSVILLE LINE
AND FROM 29 TO 32 SOUTHWARD TO A COLUMBUS TO SEALY TO TOMBALL TO
LIVINGSTON LINE. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE
NIGHT AND WIND CHILL READINGS OF 18 TO 25 WILL BE COMMON ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA. NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH
THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT AND CONTINUING INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS FOR PORTIONS OF AREA. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
TXZ197>199-210>213-180730-
/O.NEW.KHGX.WI.Y.0014.161218T0400Z-161219T0000Z/
/O.CON.KHGX.FZ.W.0003.161218T0600Z-161218T1600Z/
AUSTIN-COLORADO-GRIMES-HARRIS-MONTGOMERY-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE...
COLUMBUS...CONROE...EAGLE LAKE...HEMPSTEAD...HOUSTON...HUMBLE...
KATY...NAVASOTA...PASADENA...PRAIRIE VIEW...SEALY...
THE WOODLANDS...TOMBALL...WEIMAR...WILLIS
223 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2016
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST
SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
10 AM CST SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM CST SUNDAY.
* EVENT...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION
TONIGHT WITH VERY COLD AIR POURING INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL RAPIDLY TONIGHT AND WITH AREAS FALLING BELOW FREEZING
FIRST IN THE NORTH THEN EXPANDING SOUTHWARD. MORNING LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 28 NORTH OF A BRENHAM TO
HUNTSVILLE LINE AND FROM 29 TO 32 SOUTHWARD TO A COLUMBUS TO
SEALY TO TOMBALL TO LIVINGSTON LINE. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT AND WIND CHILL READINGS OF 18 TO
25 WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. COLDER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AND A HARD FREEZE WARNING MAY
BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF THE AREA. NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WILL BE COMMON WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT AND CONTINUING
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS FOR PORTIONS OF AREA. WIND GUSTS OF 30
TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
* TIMING...FREEZING TEMPERATURES LIKELY TO BEGIN AROUND 4 AM AND
THEN RISE ABOVE FREEZING BETWEEN 9 AND 10 AM. WIND INCREASING
AROUND MIDNIGHT BECOMING STRONG AND GUSTY AND CONTINUING
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE HIGHLY LIKELY TONIGHT.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
BE SURE TO PROTECT PETS FROM THE COLD. ELEVATED ROADWAYS WILL BE
SUBJECT TO STRONG GUSTY NORTH WINDS THAT MAY MAKE DRIVING
HAZARDOUS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PROTECT PETS FROM THE COLD WIND AND DRESS
WARMLY IF YOU WILL BE OUT.
DRIVERS OF VANS...CAMPERS...TRAILERS...AND OTHER HIGH-PROFILE
VEHICLES SHOULD BE ALERT TO THE DANGER OF THESE WINDS...
ESPECIALLY WHEN DRIVING ALONG EAST TO WEST ORIENTED ROADS.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
We've gone from the 70s to the 30s here in 3 hours and that wind is biting already 

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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Texas Snowman wrote:Portastorm wrote:Yukon Cornelius wrote:Some type of freezing precipitation hitting the windows on my deer blind. Looks like some flurries mixed in. Just started. Northern Clay Co
Why do I love this board? The Members! Members like Yukon ... out hunting yet he's reporting to us on the weather. Awesome!!![]()
Best of luck out there.
My youngest son was also hunting on our Red River Valley deer lease this morning. I met him mid morning and we did some lease chores as the front came through. By the time we left, it had dropped from the low 60s to the low 40s. I always enjoy such outdoor work with a stiff northerly wind and chilly temperatures!
Man that's great. Nothing better than family time at the lease. Y'all have any luck so far this year?
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- jasons2k
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Cpv17 wrote:A.V. wrote:Stormnut wrote:Pretty sure the word repetitive is in there... you definitely fit that one
Of course the content is repetitive; it is all discussion relating to the current weather front.
And it'll be great when your forecast becomes an epic failure.
Enough with the bickering in this thread! It's the holidays! Lighten up folks!
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- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
400 PM CST Sat Dec 17 2016
.DISCUSSION...
An arctic cold front continues to surge southward across the
forecast area this afternoon and extended southeast of a Sulphur
Springs to Waxahachie to Comanche line. Temperatures in the
northwest zones have fallen below freezing whereas temperatures
across the southern part of the forecast area reached the upper
70s to lower 80s. Northerly winds have increased to 15 to 25 mph
immediately behind the front and 25 to 30 mph winds with gusts up
to 40 mph are possible this evening. Thus a Wind Advisory will be
in effect for the entire forecast area for this evening. Winds are
expected to decrease slightly after midnight.
Some drizzle/freezing drizzle has been reported in the last hour
at Bowie with a temperature of 32 degrees. Some freezing
drizzle...possibly mixed with some sleet or light snow...will be
possible this evening along and north of a Olney to McKinney to
Sulphur Springs this evening as temperatures fall below freezing.
The ground is initially warm and precipitation amounts are expected
to be light. Cannot rule out a few slick spots on elevated
surfaces, but amounts don`t appear to be enough to warrant any
type of winter weather advisory at this time.
The precipitation should quickly come to end by midnight as the
weak area of lift shifts to the east and drier air filters in.
With clearing skies expected overnight, temperatures should fall
into the mid teens northwest to the mid 20s southeast. These
temperatures combined with the winds will result in wind chill
readings overnight ranging from near 0 degrees in the northwest
to the teens southeast.
Despite the mostly sunny skies expected Sunday, strong cold air
advection will keep us on the cold side with highs only in the mid
to upper 20s northwest to the mid 30s southeast. North winds of 10
to 20 mph will make it feel like it is in the teens and 20s during
the afternoon. The northerly winds will decrease in speed Sunday
night. This along with clear skies will allow temperatures to fall
to 10-12 degrees northwest to the lower 20s southeast. This will
be the coldest weather that most locations have seen in nearly 2
years. Assuming a low of 17 degrees Monday morning at DFW, it will
be coldest temperature since January 8, 2015. Assuming a low
temperature of 17 at Waco Monday morning, it will be the coldest
that they have recorded since March 3rd, 2014.
It will still be cold Monday with highs in the 30s. As southwest
to zonal flow aloft develops, we will start to have moderating
temperatures. Lows Monday night will be in the upper teens to mid
20s. Highs on Tuesday with mostly sunny skies will range from the
mid and upper 40s east to the mid 50s west. The moderating trend
will continue Tuesday night and Wednesday with lows in the 30s
and highs Wednesday in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
As a shortwave moves across the Plains, a cold front will move
into the northwestern part of the forecast area late Wednesday
afternoon and move through the rest of the forecast area
Wednesday night. This front will move through dry. Another cold
front will move through the region on Christmas eve.
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
400 PM CST Sat Dec 17 2016
.DISCUSSION...
An arctic cold front continues to surge southward across the
forecast area this afternoon and extended southeast of a Sulphur
Springs to Waxahachie to Comanche line. Temperatures in the
northwest zones have fallen below freezing whereas temperatures
across the southern part of the forecast area reached the upper
70s to lower 80s. Northerly winds have increased to 15 to 25 mph
immediately behind the front and 25 to 30 mph winds with gusts up
to 40 mph are possible this evening. Thus a Wind Advisory will be
in effect for the entire forecast area for this evening. Winds are
expected to decrease slightly after midnight.
Some drizzle/freezing drizzle has been reported in the last hour
at Bowie with a temperature of 32 degrees. Some freezing
drizzle...possibly mixed with some sleet or light snow...will be
possible this evening along and north of a Olney to McKinney to
Sulphur Springs this evening as temperatures fall below freezing.
The ground is initially warm and precipitation amounts are expected
to be light. Cannot rule out a few slick spots on elevated
surfaces, but amounts don`t appear to be enough to warrant any
type of winter weather advisory at this time.
The precipitation should quickly come to end by midnight as the
weak area of lift shifts to the east and drier air filters in.
With clearing skies expected overnight, temperatures should fall
into the mid teens northwest to the mid 20s southeast. These
temperatures combined with the winds will result in wind chill
readings overnight ranging from near 0 degrees in the northwest
to the teens southeast.
Despite the mostly sunny skies expected Sunday, strong cold air
advection will keep us on the cold side with highs only in the mid
to upper 20s northwest to the mid 30s southeast. North winds of 10
to 20 mph will make it feel like it is in the teens and 20s during
the afternoon. The northerly winds will decrease in speed Sunday
night. This along with clear skies will allow temperatures to fall
to 10-12 degrees northwest to the lower 20s southeast. This will
be the coldest weather that most locations have seen in nearly 2
years. Assuming a low of 17 degrees Monday morning at DFW, it will
be coldest temperature since January 8, 2015. Assuming a low
temperature of 17 at Waco Monday morning, it will be the coldest
that they have recorded since March 3rd, 2014.
It will still be cold Monday with highs in the 30s. As southwest
to zonal flow aloft develops, we will start to have moderating
temperatures. Lows Monday night will be in the upper teens to mid
20s. Highs on Tuesday with mostly sunny skies will range from the
mid and upper 40s east to the mid 50s west. The moderating trend
will continue Tuesday night and Wednesday with lows in the 30s
and highs Wednesday in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
As a shortwave moves across the Plains, a cold front will move
into the northwestern part of the forecast area late Wednesday
afternoon and move through the rest of the forecast area
Wednesday night. This front will move through dry. Another cold
front will move through the region on Christmas eve.
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- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017
jasons wrote:Cpv17 wrote:A.V. wrote:
Of course the content is repetitive; it is all discussion relating to the current weather front.
And it'll be great when your forecast becomes an epic failure.
Enough with the bickering in this thread! It's the holidays! Lighten up folks!
What jasons just said. Warnings going out, vacations aren't far behind.
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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