Florida Weather

[AdamFirst]

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
712 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

FLC069-127-230030-
/O.CON.KMLB.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170123T0030Z/
Lake FL-Volusia FL-
712 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EST FOR
NORTHEASTERN LAKE AND NORTHWESTERN VOLUSIA COUNTIES...

At 709 PM EST, two strong and dangerous tornadoes were indicated by
radar. The first was located 7 miles northeast of DeLand Airport,
and rapidly approaching Daytona Beach. The second was near Umatilla
moving toward Pine Lake and Lake Mack. Movement was northeast at 60
mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

[AdamFirst]

Shooting gallery

[NDG]

What a crazy evening across my area!

[psyclone]

squall line has come through my area with no fanfare. I'll take it! New TOR for storm coming onshore near longboat key. impressive signature on that one

[AdamFirst]

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
739 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

FLC117-127-230100-
/O.CON.KMLB.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170123T0100Z/
Seminole FL-Volusia FL-
739 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EST FOR
NORTHEASTERN SEMINOLE AND SOUTHEASTERN VOLUSIA COUNTIES...

At 738 PM EST, a strong and dangerous tornado was located near
Geneva and Lake Harney, moving northeast at 60 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

[AdamFirst]

Stepped outside to take the trash out here in PSL...clear skies with a stiff southerly breeze. Only a couple hours until we're under the gun...but you can hardly tell anything's bound to go down.

[chaser1]

It looks as if the squall line itself has long cleared east of Jax, has mostly moved through Tampa, is becoming more difuse as it quickly approaches my area north of Orlando. There still appears to be some potent cells racing toward the Northeast and perhaps a greater impact will be felt to the south, as the 500mb vorticity swings southeastward and catches up with the surface signature before morning. It's possible that areas near Ft. Lauderdale to W. Palm and into Stuart might experience some of the severe weather that was forecast to impact broad areas of the Florida Panhandle, West & Central Florida, and especially the N.E. Florida coastal region. Thus far I've heard a few wind gust reports in the 50's. Hopefully daybreak won't uncover some isolated areas where greater winds & damage occured. As for me.... at least a couple of "long tracked cells" flew overhead. Whether they actually moved N.E 50-70 mph or not, I was fortunate to experience nothing greater than some gusts in the 40's. Did have one hook echo pass right overhead without a lot of fanfare, but so did many others as well. I think there's a better chance of some isolated severe weather could occur overnight from a weaker but slightly developing line moving toward Ceder Key and eventually toward the NE Florida area in 2-4 hours.

Otherwise though, it seems to me ( at least thus far) that the volume of "Wolf Cry's from the NWS and SPC - far exceeded the degree and breadth of the severe that ultimately occured. If few or no person's were injured, killed or lost their homes here in Florida, that's a GREAT thing - right now. My prayers go out to the many who's lives were changed forever during the severe outbreak that occured in Georgia. Outside of that area where severe tornado's DID cause death & devastation, I only question whether the masses unaffected will continue to heed future PDS's, OMG's, & other scary warnings.

[psyclone]

this definitely way underperformed...as I hoped it would. we were lucky as the cells ahead of the squall line didn't manage to get very strong...I saw a number of TORs where the cell in question featured little or no lightning...so they just didn't have the pep you'd expect...and the squall line itself was a dud in my neighborhood with no meaningful wind. hopefully those still in the zone continue with the good luck. well now that this mess is clearing out we can talk cool down..which still looks to be on tap. this could be the longest run of cooler than normal temps of the winter coming up. I'm looking forward to some snappy weather.

[chaser1]

Amen to that. Bring on those cool breezes!!

[AdamFirst]

The squall line seemed to pulse up once it got past Lake Okeechobee, the line became fully severe warned over South Florida again...At least two tornadoes reported in SE Florida, with EF0 damage in Juno Beach and possibly EF1 damage in Miami Springs into Hialeah.

[gatorcane]

Yeah woke up to howling winds and heavy rain around 2:45AM EST in Boca Raton - much stronger squall than I thought for my locale even stronger than what the west coast of Florida experienced actually. Had a large clay pot with a palm in it that is pretty difficult to move with one person and the wind had completely knocked it over. Neighbor's large trash can was knocked over and you don't usually see that unless you get some pretty impressive wind gusts. Impressive event indeed! Actually very "El Ninoish"

[HURRICANELONNY]

Probably feel a little El Ninoish this weekend into next week. According to NWS Miami:
https://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDis ... =Hollywood

[gatorcane]

Looking quite cold for Florida according to the GFS (both GFS and parallel GFS runs below)

Will be interesting if the trend is a little colder in the coming days which would bring a freeze into Central Florida.

[Patrick99]

I heard some thunder early yesterday morning, but barely any rain came along with it in my area. It was almost like a dry squall line similar to what sometimes happens in the American Southwest.

[psyclone]

At this point I'd be inclined to bet against a freeze threat and instead expect about a week to 10 day stretch where temps average out on the cool side of normal....which for central Florida would involve highs in the 60's and lows in the 40's.

[otowntiger]

At this point I'd be inclined to bet against a freeze threat and instead expect about a week to 10 day stretch where temps average out on the cool side of normal....which for central Florida would involve highs in the 60's and lows in the 40's.

sounds good to me. Nice to feel seasonal and use the fireplace every now and then. I wouldn't mind a freeze, but 40's are nice too. Just wish it was like this a month ago. (ugh..hard to believe that Christmas was already a month ago. )

[chaser1]

I'm beginning to believe that this weekend will bring 3-4 days of HIGH temps that will really struggle to get out of the 50's for Central and North Florida. There'll be spot throughout interior S. Florida and Central Florida that may well flirt with freezing on a couple nights, but hopefully this advection event will pose a limited risk of an actual significant freeze event. Course, those of you in North Central and North Florida are gonna be a few degrees colder yet. As for you Southern end folks, I feel for ya. Its been a warm winter but you'll enjoy this cool-down for sure!

[gatorcane]

Looks like the ECMWF has trended colder for Florida with the weekend front.

[psyclone]

looks like we're going to get 5 consecutive sub 70 highs for Tampa Bay...not a big deal in a normal Winter but it has yet to occur in this one. Winter looks to retreat once again with the CPC outlooks showing above normal temps returning.

[AdamFirst]

NWS Melbourne calling for a "raw" day on Sunday with temperatures in the low 60s along with steady light rain/drizzle. I can dig it.