Texas Spring 2017

[bubba hotep]

Here we go again... I think this is the 3rd warning of the night

[Brent]

omg I can feel the cool air already

[Brent]

Looking ahead the end of next week looks very active... possibly multiple setups for severe weather between Thursday and Saturday. Lots of model differences right now but the signals are strong.

[gpsnowman]

This air feels fantastic. Enjoy while it lasts. Mid 50's and a north wind probably won't be seen again for several months. Damn.

[Ntxw]

It feels so crisp! Should be like this the whole weekend just wonderful not having to use the AC. Sick and tired of warmth it is about time. Sadly short affair.

[bubba hotep]

Looking ahead the end of next week looks very active... possibly multiple setups for severe weather between Thursday and Saturday. Lots of model differences right now but the signals are strong.

Models seem to be struggling with all the energy. It is starting to look like there will be multiple smaller waves kicking out in the flow. Unfortunately, rain wise, the trend seems to be more of the same with the main energy staying to our north with the flow staying more zonal. That leaves N. TX capped most days and leaves C. & S. Texas watering their lawns. It looks like another week of more of the same. When will a system actually dig into the SW and kickout out across Texas?

[gboudx]

Well I got to see snow falling this year. The wife and I are in Colorado Springs on a much needed vacation together. Light snow is falling. Today was supposed to be taking the Cog train up to Pikes Peak. Doesn't look like that's happening. I see it is pleasant in the Metroplex. I sent that your way. You're welcome.

[Ntxw]

The brisk winds is what makes it feels a little chilly! Had to use a light jacket all morning. Feels more like February than April

[Brent]

The brisk winds is what makes it feels a little chilly! Had to use a light jacket all morning. Feels more like February than April

Seems fitting when February felt like April...

Well some good news, it looks like the models have backed off the 90s next week for the most part. Probably still some mid/upper 80s but nothing we haven't seen already.

[South Texas Storms]

Looking ahead the end of next week looks very active... possibly multiple setups for severe weather between Thursday and Saturday. Lots of model differences right now but the signals are strong.

Models seem to be struggling with all the energy. It is starting to look like there will be multiple smaller waves kicking out in the flow. Unfortunately, rain wise, the trend seems to be more of the same with the main energy staying to our north with the flow staying more zonal. That leaves N. TX capped most days and leaves C. & S. Texas watering their lawns. It looks like another week of more of the same. When will a system actually dig into the SW and kickout out across Texas?

Yep, will be quite dissapointing if that happens again. I don't like the current pattern.

Long range models have consistently indicated a wetter pattern will return across much of the state in May. Hope it happens!

[Cpv17]

Looks like a pretty boring weather pattern for much of Texas over the next week or so. Yawn.

[Brent]

GFS suddenly has another decent cold front clearing the state in the Wednesday Thursday timeframe (yesterday had widespread 90s here) this run has 40s in DFW again

Euro also blasts the front through late Wednesday

No real consistency on good rains though

[Ntxw]

DFW got down to 49F this morning and what will be another beautiful day. Warms up quite a bit by Tuesday but then another front comes in later in the week with a similar chill. Winter...is that you?

[weatherdude1108]

DFW got down to 49F this morning and what will be another beautiful day. Warms up quite a bit by Tuesday but then another front comes in later in the week with a similar chill. Winter...is that you?

It was 49 here also. Nice!

[bubba hotep]

Euro is back to a slower more amped up solution for the weekend storm. That would probably mean several days of svr wx chances for N. Texas and it wouldn't take much trending towards slower and deeper to spread rain chances to more of Texas.

[cycloneye]

There is a thread up for the upcoming severe event of next weekend.

viewtopic.php?f=24&t=118711&p=2578195#p2578195

[Brent]

GFS has a decent rain event next weekend and keeps the fronts blasting through into early May... May starts below normal.

Has over 5000 cape in DFW Friday. Better hope that cap holds.

[1900hurricane]

Based on current trends (subject to change of course), I actually think Saturday has the potential to be the bigger severe weather day for much of Texas. Through some miracle of scheduling, I'll probably be out and about both days. Working targets are the US-81/Red River area for Friday and the I-35/Austin area for Saturday.

[bubba hotep]

Based on current trends (subject to change of course), I actually think Saturday has the potential to be the bigger severe weather day for much of Texas. Through some miracle of scheduling, I'll probably be out and about both days. Working targets are the US-81/Red River area for Friday and the I-35/Austin area for Saturday.

I was just thinking the same there about Saturday while looking over the 12z Euro. FWD has been highlighting Thursday and Friday but I also think Saturday has potential. The latest from FWD:

[Brent]

GFS has winter in the Panhandle next weekend