Texas Spring 2017

[TheProfessor]

wow that storm SE of Abilene got a classic Supercell look real quick.

[Ntxw]

Some pretty impressive training and heavy rain NW of Brownwood, radar estimates 5+ inches. Not moving very much or very fast.

[bubba hotep]

Things aren't looking good for any significant rain getting into DFW this evening.

[Ntxw]

Yeah it's not looking too hot for rain.

Also for tomorrow and Saturday what looked like a 3-5"+ event is turning out to be 1-2" not that I'm complaining. But it's a far cry from the deluge it was showing earlier in the week.

But cooler temps looks better. 50s in late May for mornings is no easy feat we may see it

[Brent]

Blah this humidity has to go. At least next week looks pleasant for Late May.

There's been quite a few high profile rain busts in DFW this spring and yeah even this weekend looks like a large part of it will be dry.

[bubba hotep]

[bubba hotep]

New tornado warning out there on that cell

[Yukon Cornelius]

The storms ended up moving more East and it turned out to be a pretty eventful evening. Numerous tornado warnings all around us, luckily nothing here except heavy rain on and off and light small hail.

[bubba hotep]

That cell down near Brownwood is still going. Nice radar loop from Ryan

 https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/865386118279286786

[bubba hotep]

Pic of that same cell

[bubba hotep]

High wind warning issued by FWD, I don't remember ever seeing that before.

[TheProfessor]

High wind warning issued by FWD, I don't remember ever seeing that before.

[img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DAKBX7dUMAAqTnS.jpg

I see them every once and a while up north, but never down here.

[gboudx]

I can't believe this weekend changed so much for DFW. My kid has a soccer tourney and it wasn't looking good for it. Amazing how it changes.

[Brent]

I can't believe this weekend changed so much for DFW. My kid has a soccer tourney and it wasn't looking good for it. Amazing how it changes.

yeah looks like most of the rain will come from a squall line between about 11pm tomorrow and 8am Saturday...

and Sunday may almost feel chilly after how humid and hot it's been

Another fropa Monday/Tuesday

Hints on both the GFS and Euro Wednesday could struggle to get out of the low 70s... the average is mid 80s. The record lowest maximum at DFW is only 72 that day and could be threatened if the trends hold.

[bubba hotep]

DFW upgraded to ENH for second day in a row. Let's see what happens today.

[Ntxw]

Today is more confidence in QPF, question remains how much. There should at the very least be a squall line late this evening, though on and off activity before that will be likely. Yesterday, as bad as it was, was never really forecast to be a high precipitation day since cap was in place it was a question of if storms got going far enough south for severe weather and did but too far west.

By Mon-Weds it will be unseasonably cool. Indeed Brent mentioned above the 73/55 GFS forecast for next Weds is close to the 72/54 lowest daily max and daily low for the date

[Yukon Cornelius]

Picked up 1" out of those storms yesterday evening/night. So far this morning, on and off thunderstorms and heavy rain. Will the rain and thunderstorms this morning decrease the chance of severe weather this afternoon? Our forecast has gone back and forth from forecasting heavy rain to severe thunderstorms.

[Tireman4]

Today is more confidence in QPF, question remains how much. There should at the very least be a squall line late this evening, though on and off activity before that will be likely. Yesterday, as bad as it was, was never really forecast to be a high precipitation day since cap was in place it was a question of if storms got going far enough south for severe weather and did but too far west.

By Mon-Weds it will be unseasonably cool. Indeed Brent mentioned above the 73/55 GFS forecast for next Weds is close to the 72/54 lowest daily max and daily low for the date

Could this be, and you are one of our long range guys, a harbinger of things to come sir?

[Ntxw]

Today is more confidence in QPF, question remains how much. There should at the very least be a squall line late this evening, though on and off activity before that will be likely. Yesterday, as bad as it was, was never really forecast to be a high precipitation day since cap was in place it was a question of if storms got going far enough south for severe weather and did but too far west.

By Mon-Weds it will be unseasonably cool. Indeed Brent mentioned above the 73/55 GFS forecast for next Weds is close to the 72/54 lowest daily max and daily low for the date

Could this be, and you are one of our long range guys, a harbinger of things to come sir?

I hope so though I'll be honest out of the past 4 years, this summer i'd be most nervous about being really hot. So far no sign of the Sonoran heat ridge yet.

[bubba hotep]

Today is more confidence in QPF, question remains how much. There should at the very least be a squall line late this evening, though on and off activity before that will be likely. Yesterday, as bad as it was, was never really forecast to be a high precipitation day since cap was in place it was a question of if storms got going far enough south for severe weather and did but too far west.

By Mon-Weds it will be unseasonably cool. Indeed Brent mentioned above the 73/55 GFS forecast for next Weds is close to the 72/54 lowest daily max and daily low for the date

Could this be, and you are one of our long range guys, a harbinger of things to come sir?

I hope so though I'll be honest out of the past 4 years, this summer i'd be most nervous about being really hot. So far no sign of the Sonoran heat ridge yet.

The Euro Weeklies now go out to the July 4th holiday and show no signs of big heat. In fact, things look mostly below normal. There is a chance that May could be the 1st below normal month in over two years!