Possible development in Western Caribbean - (Is INVEST 93L)

[tropicwatch]

Winds appear to be increasing in that area.
Buoy 42056 Yucatan Basin
19.918 N 84.938 W (19°55'6" N 84°56'18" W)
Winds ESE 15.5kts
Pressure 1010.3

Station 42057
16.908 N 81.422 W (16°54'30" N 81°25'18" W)
Winds SE 17.5kts
Pressure 1009.9

[tolakram]

saved loop

[wxman22]

The 0z Euro actually takes it to the Texas Mexico border and produces alot of rain from Houston and southward it shows up to 12 inches of rain in some spots in south Texas FWIW of course.

[tolakram]

Here is the link to the GOES-16 imagery. The resolution is awesome, over double that of the current GOES E.

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband02.html

You can't share direct links to the imagery, unfortunately. I used a screen2gif tool to create the animation in a previous post.

[NDG]

Here is the link to the GOES-16 imagery. The resolution is awesome, over double that of the current GOES E.

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband02.html

You can't share direct links to the imagery, unfortunately. I used a screen2gif tool to create the animation in a previous post.

I love the .5 km resolution!

[tolakram]

This is the tool I used to create the GIF. Not an endorsement, use at your own risk, and please don't ask me for help in using it!

http://www.screentogif.com/

[lrak]

This is the tool I used to create the GIF. Not an endorsement, use at your own risk, and please don't ask me for help in using it!

http://www.screentogif.com/

Thank you Mark, nifty program. Also after looking at the latest satellite the new big NW blob blow up looks like it is sucking in moisture on the southern section. Could this be the beginning?

[NDG]

This is the tool I used to create the GIF. Not an endorsement, use at your own risk, and please don't ask me for help in using it!

http://www.screentogif.com/

Very cool tool, thanks for sharing

[BobHarlem]

Here is the link to the GOES-16 imagery. The resolution is awesome, over double that of the current GOES E.

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband02.html

You can't share direct links to the imagery, unfortunately. I used a screen2gif tool to create the animation in a previous post.

Area next to Jamaica looks interesting on this too.

[Nimbus]

Not sure what we are looking at.
The latest convective burst may be signaling a persistent low pressure center.
Looks to me like the convection may be displaced east of the actual surface center(if there is one).
Beginning to look invest worthy so will be moving to active forum soon?

[NDG]

Not sure what we are looking at.
The latest convective burst may be signaling a persistent low pressure center.
Looks to me like the convection may be displaced east of the actual surface center(if there is one).
Beginning to look invest worthy so will be moving to active forum soon?

I am also surprised this is not an invest, very noticeable broad surface circulation now in the GOH, just west of the deep convection.

[Kazmit]

How it looks on nullschool

[cycloneye]

Not sure what we are looking at.
The latest convective burst may be signaling a persistent low pressure center.
Looks to me like the convection may be displaced east of the actual surface center(if there is one).
Beginning to look invest worthy so will be moving to active forum soon?

I am also surprised this is not an invest, very noticeable broad surface circulation now in the GOH, just west of the deep convection.

Anytime today it will be up so stay tuned.

[Kingarabian]

00z Euro Parallel more of the same.

[lrak]

00z Euro Parallel more of the same.

Would more of the same mean the TX / MX border area?

[wxman57]

Lowest pressures are north of Honduras (1009mb). However, pressures have been steadily rising all across the NW Caribbean this morning. Up to 1013mb near Jamaica. Place to look is near those squalls north of Honduras, if a low will form today.

[NDG]

Got it working!

[Kingarabian]

00z Euro Parallel more of the same.

Would more of the same mean the TX / MX border area?

Yes.

[Steve]

12Z mesoscales are in. NAM 32km and 12km bring the low up south of the LA Coast and bend west/wsw apparently waiting for additional steering. GFS 12z out to 78h is off the Mouth of the MS. It consolidates the low much farther north of the Yucatán than NAM. CMC is only out to 24 so that's going to be a few minutes. Pretty cool to be 4/4.5 days out and only able to play probabilities and with limited model agreement.

[Ivanhater]

Yep Steve..GFS looks better organized threatening the north central gulfcoast