Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#681 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:56 am

Image


Sent from my iPhone 7 using Tapatalk
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#682 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:59 am

GFS is still not backing down :double:
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Miami Storm Tracker
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 910
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2010 10:12 pm
Location: Key Largo, Fla.
Contact:
Contact Miami Storm Tracker

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#683 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:59 am

I know no other models are showing anything, with the exception of the GFS. But so many runs back to back I am not so sure about this being another ghost storm,
1 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#684 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:08 am

The GFS appears to be stuck. Will post more as soon as images become available


Sent from my iPhone 7 using Tapatalk
0 likes   
Top
Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6961
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#685 Postby Alyono » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:08 am

GFS coming in stronger
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#686 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:09 am

Alyono wrote:GFS coming in stronger


Wow I can't believe it is coming in stronger. Don't think I have seen the Euro and GFS in such disagreement before :double:
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:10 am, edited 2 times in total.
1 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#687 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:10 am

Image


Sent from my iPhone 7 using Tapatalk
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
stormhunter7
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 762
Joined: Mon May 26, 2008 3:13 pm
Location: Panama City Beach, Florida
Contact:
Contact stormhunter7

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#688 Postby stormhunter7 » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:11 am

July 10 12:00pm EDT: The NOMADS data server appears to be struggling. 12Z GFS data is coming in more slowly than usual.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Top
User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4231
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#689 Postby abajan » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:13 am

stormhunter7 wrote:July 10 12:00pm EDT: The NOMADS data server appears to be struggling. 12Z GFS data is coming in more slowly than usual.

Yeah, some of the hours were skipped, but they're starting to fill in now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3352
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#690 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:14 am

CMC running, looks like it's going to show nothing.
1 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Top
User avatar
tarheelprogrammer
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1793
Joined: Mon Mar 28, 2016 9:25 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC area (Garner, NC)

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#691 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:16 am

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:CMC running, looks like it's going to show nothing.


It has like 50 vorts appearing out of no where. Odd.
1 likes   
My posts are not official forecasts. They are just my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#692 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:16 am

Image


Sent from my iPhone 7 using Tapatalk
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
weathaguyry
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1272
Age: 22
Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
Location: Long Island, NY

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#693 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:17 am

Looks to be a little SW of the last run, maybe another Gulf Rider
1 likes   
My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.

Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Top
User avatar
Miami Storm Tracker
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 910
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2010 10:12 pm
Location: Key Largo, Fla.
Contact:
Contact Miami Storm Tracker

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#694 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:17 am

It's the CMC,

LOL.
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
stormhunter7
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 762
Joined: Mon May 26, 2008 3:13 pm
Location: Panama City Beach, Florida
Contact:
Contact stormhunter7

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#695 Postby stormhunter7 » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:17 am

abajan wrote:
stormhunter7 wrote:July 10 12:00pm EDT: The NOMADS data server appears to be struggling. 12Z GFS data is coming in more slowly than usual.

Yeah, some of the hours were skipped, but they're starting to fill in now.



You know the GFS is scheduled for upgrade on July 19th at 1200 UTC. My question is will they delay it again, or try to go earlier? Since this system will possibly be near the US Coast line around July 19th? *This may become more political, if this were to develop? Upgrade it now, and get a possible better output.... or either this will be a big bust, as other globals are almost exact opposite?
1 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Top
User avatar
Miami Storm Tracker
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 910
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2010 10:12 pm
Location: Key Largo, Fla.
Contact:
Contact Miami Storm Tracker

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#696 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:19 am

Over the years I have seen big differences between the Euro and the GFS run to run, but never anything like this, just crazy.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#697 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:21 am

weathaguyry wrote:Looks to be a little SW of the last run, maybe another Gulf Rider


Actually slightly more east on the 12Z at hour 144.
1 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#698 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:21 am

Image


Sent from my iPhone 7 using Tapatalk
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Siker
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Thu Oct 25, 2012 7:36 pm
Location: Miami, FL

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#699 Postby Siker » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:21 am

Nothing on the UKMET again.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
weathaguyry
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1272
Age: 22
Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
Location: Long Island, NY

Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands

#700 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:22 am

gatorcane wrote:
weathaguyry wrote:Looks to be a little SW of the last run, maybe another Gulf Rider


Actually slightly more east on the 12Z at hour 144.


Hmm, could go anywhere really, very annoying that the server is slow and keeps skipping hours :x
1 likes   
My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.

Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: johngaltfla and 43 guests