#386 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Jul 14, 2017 10:06 am
Ntxw wrote:weathaguyry wrote:Ntxw wrote:Fernanda is 3rd hurricane of the season and now 2nd official major on her way to being a cat 4. No sign of a slow season so far. Shear has been very favorable for the EPAC even without bath waters.
By all metrics when this storm is done EPAC will probably be above normal in names and ACE. Goes to show that above normal sst's is not everything, long term favorability in the atmosphere counts just as much if not more
I think that slightly above average is likely, but if the Atlantic starts to pick up in the next few weeks, it may not be as hyperactive as we saw the last few years
I don't know about hyperactive, but at least average or above average is likely. The EPAC is going through a similar phase the Atlantic did from the period of 2002-2005. Things are more clear about the EPAC than Atlantic forecasts as of now which has more questions than answers.
Very true, this season is a big question mark, because all signs point to favorable in the EPAC, but there are also some favorable signs for the Atlantic, so we are going to have an EPAC/Atlantic battle this year
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My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
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