Texas Summer 2017

[JDawg512]

It's raining a little bit but would like to see it come down a lot harder.

[JDawg512]

"Look at the much needed rain!!!"

Figured I'd get it out of the way in case I don't get another chance for awhile.

[weatherdude1108]

"Look at the much needed rain!!!"

Figured I'd get it out of the way in case I don't get another chance for awhile.

Cool! Looked like you and Porta's side of town had something. It light rained off and on for about a few minutes or so today here. Nothing worth mentioning really, but it is when it's been weeks to months without substantial rain.

[weatherdude1108]

Latest Euro Weeklies look good for much of Texas. It's showing above normal rainfall for much of August across a large part of the state. Sign me up!

Music to my ears I was just wondering when it might rain again lol

Me too!

[Portastorm]

Should have gone out last night and bought a lottery ticket after a surprise shower dumped almost a quarter inch of rain on the PWC.

Looks like the summer blast furnace is about to take over though.

[weatherdude1108]

000
FXUS64 KEWX 181134
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
336 AM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017

SHORT TERM (Today through Wednesday)...
Upper air analysis last evening showed weak cyclonic flow over Texas
with a trough extending from the Ohio Valley to northeastern Texas.
At the surface, high pressure was centered over the Gulf, but the
pressure gradient was weak. Winds were generally light from the
southeast. The weak upper level trough will continue to give us low
chances for showers and thunderstorms today. This trough will move
away to the east Wednesday leaving rain chances only across the east.

LONG TERM (Wednesday Night through Monday)...
The subtropical ridge will re-establish itself over the south central
part of the country by Thursday and remain the dominant weather
feature through the end of the forecast period. This will mean dry
weather for most of the CWA. There will continue to be slight chances
for convection over the eastern part of the area each day. With the
ridge over us temperatures will increase through the end of the week.
By the weekend we may approach heat advisory level is some places in
the southeastern part of the CWA.

[gboudx]

Notice how our resident Heat Miser hasn't been here to taunt us? He doesn't have to because we know it's summer, we know it's going to be hot so there's no fun in bringing it up. It's only when we see cold and temperature relief that he comes around to squash our hopes. I bet he's riding his bike with a devilish grin and chuckling to himself, "hot enough for you now suckas".

Did anyone notice how Heat Miser turning up the global temps caused an ice sheet to break off the Larsen 3 shelf in Antarctica? I think his ultimate goal is to have beach front biking paths in Houston by raising the sea levels. Next time he's at a conference, someone needs to get him drunk on some Grey Goose and steal the global thermostat.

[Portastorm]

Notice how our resident Heat Miser hasn't been here to taunt us? He doesn't have to because we know it's summer, we know it's going to be hot so there's no fun in bringing it up. It's only when we see cold and temperature relief that he comes around to squash our hopes. I bet he's riding his bike with a devilish grin and chuckling to himself, "hot enough for you now suckas".

Did anyone notice how Heat Miser turning up the global temps caused an ice sheet to break off the Larsen 3 shelf in Antarctica? I think his ultimate goal is to have beach front biking paths in Houston by raising the sea levels. Next time he's at a conference, someone needs to get him drunk on some Grey Goose and steal the global thermostat.

Truth is, he has owned us these last few years ... summer, winter, doesn't matter. We need a comeback!

[Portastorm]

Latest Euro Weeklies look good for much of Texas. It's showing above normal rainfall for much of August across a large part of the state. Sign me up!

I don't know how accurate the Euro weeklies are, but I do know that as of this morning (7/18) both the GFS and Euro operational runs are showing no rain for Austin and triple digit high temps for much of the rest of July. Here's hoping those weeklies come through.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Notice how our resident Heat Miser hasn't been here to taunt us? He doesn't have to because we know it's summer, we know it's going to be hot so there's no fun in bringing it up. It's only when we see cold and temperature relief that he comes around to squash our hopes. I bet he's riding his bike with a devilish grin and chuckling to himself, "hot enough for you now suckas".

Did anyone notice how Heat Miser turning up the global temps caused an ice sheet to break off the Larsen 3 shelf in Antarctica? I think his ultimate goal is to have beach front biking paths in Houston by raising the sea levels. Next time he's at a conference, someone needs to get him drunk on some Grey Goose and steal the global thermostat.

Truth is, he has owned us these last few years ... summer, winter, doesn't matter. We need a comeback!

But he gave up controls for this upcoming winter. Ha!

[Ntxw]

Notice how our resident Heat Miser hasn't been here to taunt us? He doesn't have to because we know it's summer, we know it's going to be hot so there's no fun in bringing it up. It's only when we see cold and temperature relief that he comes around to squash our hopes. I bet he's riding his bike with a devilish grin and chuckling to himself, "hot enough for you now suckas".

Did anyone notice how Heat Miser turning up the global temps caused an ice sheet to break off the Larsen 3 shelf in Antarctica? I think his ultimate goal is to have beach front biking paths in Houston by raising the sea levels. Next time he's at a conference, someone needs to get him drunk on some Grey Goose and steal the global thermostat.

Truth is, he has owned us these last few years ... summer, winter, doesn't matter. We need a comeback!

TPB has mentioned this with the low heights. But the Arctic is running below normal this summer! I'm hoping at least that translates well for us come winter. Heat Miser did promise a cold winter, or just a rouse to dig us in.

[South Texas Storms]

Latest Euro Weeklies look good for much of Texas. It's showing above normal rainfall for much of August across a large part of the state. Sign me up!

I don't know how accurate the Euro weeklies are, but I do know that as of this morning (7/18) both the GFS and Euro operational runs are showing no rain for Austin and triple digit high temps for much of the rest of July. Here's hoping those weeklies come through.

The Euro Weeklies have been pretty accurate lately. In fact, it's been calling for a wet August for several runs now. That helps to increase my forecast confidence and hope of it verifying!

[Brent]

Notice how our resident Heat Miser hasn't been here to taunt us? He doesn't have to because we know it's summer, we know it's going to be hot so there's no fun in bringing it up. It's only when we see cold and temperature relief that he comes around to squash our hopes. I bet he's riding his bike with a devilish grin and chuckling to himself, "hot enough for you now suckas".

Did anyone notice how Heat Miser turning up the global temps caused an ice sheet to break off the Larsen 3 shelf in Antarctica? I think his ultimate goal is to have beach front biking paths in Houston by raising the sea levels. Next time he's at a conference, someone needs to get him drunk on some Grey Goose and steal the global thermostat.

Truth is, he has owned us these last few years ... summer, winter, doesn't matter. We need a comeback!

TPB has mentioned this with the low heights. But the Arctic is running below normal this summer! I'm hoping at least that translates well for us come winter. Heat Miser did promise a cold winter, or just a rouse to dig us in.

I haven't forgotten...

[weatherdude1108]

I was encouraged, until I read the last paragraph. Persistence continues.

My trip to the mountains can't come soon enough.

897
FXUS64 KEWX 181955
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
255 PM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Wednesday)...

Main weather highlight will center around the climbing heat index
values back into the 100-107F range across most of the region as
rainfall chances dwindle. Only isolated rain/storms are expected this
afternoon and even more limited coverage is anticipated for
Wednesday.

The mid and upper inverted shortwave trough that has helped be the
spark in generating the greater than normal rain chances over the
past few days has now shifted west over northern Mexico. While some
of its fleeting influence is evident in shower generation across the
Rio Grande Plains this afternoon, overall coverage across the region
is much lower then previous days. A few sea-breeze showers are
occurring this afternoon as well but coverage and infiltration inland
will be limited. All rain activity is expected to decrease just after
sunset as the atmosphere stabilizes.

For Wednesday, expect temperatures to be 1-2F degrees warmer as low-
and mid-level high pressure strengthen across the central CONUS and
north Texas. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will be likely
across the immediate coastal plains along the sea-breeze but don`t
expect it to reach inland by only a few tiers of counties. Heat
index values will be on the increase into the mid 90s for the Hill
Country and 103-107F range for areas along and east of the I-35
corridor where humidity will be the highest.

&&

.LONG TERM (Thursday through Tuesday)...

The continued weather concern in the long term will be the heat
index values climbing into the upper 90s for the Hill Country and
103-108F for the rest of the region during peak heating hours. Very
limited rain coverage is expected with the exception of the Coastal
Plains.

Strong ridging over the Central Plains through the late week and
early weekend will result in persistently warm conditions across the
region. Low temperatures will only fall into the mid 70s with highs
reaching into the upper 90s and low 100s each day. Please use caution
if prolonged outdoor activities are planned.

By late weekend into early next week, the H5 ridge will break down
and shift west as a retrograding cut-off low shifts across the
northern Gulf of Mexico. This solution now appears more likely with
the ECMWF now following the GFS solution from yesterday (that also
continues today). However, it appears the the cut-off low will stall
before reaching Texas and the ridge will strengthen back by
Tuesday. Rain chances will be quite low during this period while
areas across south-central Texas fall further in to drought
conditions.

[Ntxw]

96 with a dp of 72 at the airport heat index at 105. It will get worse before it gets better. On a good note just 6 more weeks until Meteorological fall and we change threads

[gpsnowman]

96 with a dp of 72 at the airport heat index at 105. It will get worse before it gets better. On a good note just 6 more weeks until Meteorological fall and we change threads

It is the next 5 weeks and 6 days I am worried about. An eternity for summer loathers especially with the HP dome about to settle overhead. Damn it is hot and only two 100 days so far. Oh my.

[Brent]

I'm going to Seattle august 3-7 should be cooler up there... I hope lol NYC in June was somehow worse than dallas

NBC 5 at 10pm had no 100's in the forecast... a bunch of 98 and 99's but no 100's... also brought up that meteorological summer is more than halfway over now!!!

[Ntxw]

Heat streak starts today. 99 forecast but many if not most should see 100. What good is summer if you have to stay indoors or fry.

For you folks in Austin it is nothing new. Just more 100s where you have been all month already

[JDawg512]

Looks like I'm going back into hibernation for the rest of July. Wouldn't it be great if this August is similar to last August? I received 10 inches in my yard. One can only dream.


I've have finally accepted the fact that the average number of 100 degree days has increased and will continue to increase in the years and decades ahead. I knew it was but just didn't want to accept It. I'm half way to emotional stability now lol. It will also become very rare indeed to have a summer with 7 or less triple digit days let alone none at all.

Okay I'm knocking out for a few weeks. Let's hope we continue to see some hope for August.

[Ntxw]

By this weekend some African dust will ride the low level from just east of the Caribbean towards Texas. GOES 16 will be a fun follow. Heat and haze